Prices tend rise in winter as wholesale prices rise to reflect increased cold weather demand. It’s how capitalism and inflation works.
From 1 January 2026, the energy price cap (EPC) will rise by a tiny 0.2% or £3 a year - increased electricity prices outweighing the reduction in gas prices.
The EPC number - £1755 rising to £1758 for people on a standard price capped tariff who pay by monthly dirct debit - is just a guide based on an average family in an average 2-3 bedroomed house using 2,700 kilowatt hours of electricity, 11,500 kilowatt of gas a year.
It doesn’t mean that is what you will pay as you may use more or less energy than that and tariffs vary.
The EPC just puts a cap on the unit prices and standing charges that suppliers can charge. Some keep their standard EPC tariff below that. Octopus do.
MSE Martin Lewis regularly advises people to get off the EPC and fix.
From April 2026, most people should see their bills reduce in response to the removal of green levies. Most but not all suppliers are passing on the savings to customers whichever tariff they are on.
The EPC in 1 January 2023 was £4,059, 1 January 2024 £1,928, 1 January 2025, £1,738 and £1755 from Thursday so an annual trend down but just a 6 pence a week increase for that average dual fuel user from 1 January 2026.
MSE predicts prices will reduce by 7% from 1 April 2026 with an EPC of £1,644.
www.moneysavingexpert.com/utilities/what-is-the-energy-price-cap/
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