However, I imagine they will vote Farage again, have heard is a die hard Reform voting population.
Oh, I don't know. Vox pops from Clacton are mixed, with some of his previous voters not being too enchanted with the way he is never rarely there and they don't get responses from him.
Don't forget that only 48% of the electorate who voted actually voted for him, 52% didn't (it's that magic pair of numbers again; 52% was a winner in 2016) I can see tactical voting playing an interesting part. Though I'm happy to think that predictions of automatic re-election might lull his supporters into such a false sense of security (think 2016 again) that they don't bother to turn out for him...