Wilma I'm not arguing that you can't lose weight by eating less, I'm suggesting that eat less and exercising more are not equivalent because the body has evolved to adapt to it's environment, and the two stimuli are opposites.
If you exercise more, that's a stimulus for your body to increase it's metabolic rate in order to provide the extra energy to fuel the exercise. If there's no extra food forthcoming, then your body will be forced to burn fat to make up the shortfall.
However, if you eat less, that's signalling to your body that there's an impending famine, and you will survive longer if your body can reduce it's metabolic rate as much as possible before it starts burning fat reserves. There's plenty of scope for your body to reduce your metabolism if you do no exercise, and so I think you will become less fit before you lose any weight. If you react to this by becoming less active, then you just descend into a downward spiral.
I have a record of my daily exercise and calorie intake for the last 13 years, and I think I can see this happening. During periods when I have been unable to exercise for health reasons, I have found that eating less just makes me weak, cold, and fatigued, but most of all my leg muscles get so painful I become even less active. Hence the downward spiral, and I lose no weight.
By contrast, when I have been able to return to exercising I have found that the weight falls off easily even though I'm eating hundreds of calories more. In 2008/2009 I was losing weight at 1.1kg/month on a calorie intake of 3100kcal/day, after a period when I had previously been gaining weight on 2600kcal/day.
Clearly people do lose weight by eating less, I just think that's the hardest way to go about it. People who take up exercise always comment on how much better they feel, and how the weight seemed to drop off without them even noticing. On the other hand, people who are endlessly dieting are always complaining how hard it is, and how they can't keep it up for very long. I've seen research quoted that those who do succeed in losing weight have all put it back on again within 5 years.
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