Right I have had a look at the polls today and at the moment the Tories are likely to get more seats than the Labour by a margin of 9. So Tories 276 Labour 267 Libs 26 UKIP 2 SNP 56 Green 1 Others 22
Given that a practical majority is 323, who do you think will be likely to be able to form a government and how will the coalition look?
My guess is if Labour steadfastly refuse to have anything to do with the SNP than the Tories will form a coalition of themselves plus libs and ukip which makes 276+26+2= 304 so they will need at least 19 more seats - not sure where these will come from though.
If however the SNP comply with Labour's manifesto (unlikely) than the next Government will be formed by a Labour coalition with a good working majority of Lab plus libs plus greens plus snp. So 267+26+1+56= 350.
However if the SNP can't comply with Labour than neither parties seem to be able to form a government so what then? Back to the drawing board?
Look at the political presenters and editors of the BBC and they are largely drawn from the right wing media or have stated right wing sympathies, so no I don't think the BBC is left wing.
However the press is slightly different -
Mirror Group - left of centre Guardian - centre Murdoch Group - right Mail Group - right Express - right Telegraph - right Standard- right Independent - sits on the fence The Sundays - all Tory except the Observer
So the Tories have a huge help from most of the media, no doubt they will be suitably grateful when the gongs are given out.
The combined voices of the right wing press is far larger than the left wing and so their voice is heard much more.
Most of the BBC political commentators are right wing. The Guardian is one newspaper. I agree with you, whitewave and Iam64. I would like a referendum on the NHS or TTIP rather than the EU, although that would probably take too long to set up. In the meantime private healthcare will have won.
I'm with you whitewave, if the majority reject right wing politics it seems so wrong for the tories to continue to slash and burn public services. I'd prefer a referendum on the bed room tax over one on europe.
Reading about what will happen after the election if it is hung. Cameron will try to cobble together a working majority and then presumably present a Queen's speech, which if he can't get a majority should be voted down.
Clegg mentioned that he would have to go with the Party who won the most seats, as the smaller party would be seen a illegitimate, even if there was only a couple of seats between them. But looking at it another way - if the majority of votes cast in the UK have resulted in a rejection of the politics of the right then as far as I can see it would be illegitimate to side with the right.
This is where the media will scream blue murder, if they think Labour stand a chance of forming a government.
Yes, that's the New Statesman one I have on my bookmarks, along with the other two, whitewave. I will ignore the remarks to follow telling me how sad I am.
It's not a question of who has the most seats, but of who can collect enough support to get a Queen's Speech through the House of Commons, whether by coalition, confidence & supply, or just enough MPs voting for it on the day, so you're quite right whitewave
Any talk of "moral" anything, victory or anything else, seems a bit strange in the context of all the bare-faced cheek in some of the statements about other parties being made by all sorts of politicians.
I think you've made a mistake there, whitewave. You've got SNP on 2, and the last time I read it they had 56!
Is there morality in politics?
I have been reading an article about universal credit, and wondered what will happen to it if the Tories do not win? Will Labour still have to continue with it? Anyway, it got me wondering where IDS was, so I googled his name, and found this.
Some Lord in Scotland (unsure of his political affiliation - possibly Lab) suggested that if DC got more seats than Lab. than morally he has won, but I would rather disagree, as if there are more seats gained by left of centre parties than this is what the electorate want.
Statement from the NHA candidate opposing Jeremy Hunt. She was the bookie's second favourite even before the Libdem was kicked out of his party. She was also interviewed on the Daily Politics show yesterday.
Farnorth, it doesn't say they cannot tell everybody, fortunately. Louise Irvine is in lots of the main papers and the local news broadcasts, so hopefully lots of liberal thinking people will be reading and listening.
"They rely on the media to reach the parts of the electorate they refuse to reach out to."