@dj
Goldsmith was hugely popular as an individual, which was how he increased his majority in 2015 - as well as the LDs' huge unpopularity BUT it was a LD seat from 1997 - 2010.
Richmond Park voted 75% to remain in the EU, while Goldsmith voted to leave. I can't imagine they were impressed with the Conservatives' antics in the London Mayor elections.
If Goldsmith does stand as an Independent, he could split the Conservative vote.
I wouldn't assume a by-election will be a Conservative win. I suspect the LDs will throw everything at it.
I’m a Pear/Apple - Part 5. Still going!!
Being asked for an honest opinion


