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Is this the government you thought was safe with the economy?

(96 Posts)
trisher Tue 08-Oct-19 13:16:51

The Insitute for Fiscal studies is currently forecasting a total failure to balance the budget
www.ifs.org.uk/publications/14430
In view of 10 years of austerity which hasn't paid off how do people feel about being conned?
And how do they feel about the rich getting tax cuts?

GracesGranMK3 Sat 12-Oct-19 13:48:28

Getty and Maizie how lovely to see sense written.

Even on the "household budget" model I sincerely hope that no advisor would suggest living on the bread-line for 10 years or more! I can understand pulling back, downsizing your outgoings for a year to 18 months but during that time you would also be suggesting the person increased their income. This might mean slowing down the payback a little in order to invest in that growth. Keynes reminded us that bad economics leads to extremism. In households it can lead to crime, in this country it has lead to extremism in politics which often seem akin to crime.

Large families are indeed very rare and most of them have very rich parents. In is yet another of the straw man arguments of the socially conservative will keep trying to use in order to prove we live in a just society. This is so they can continue to believe they are comfortable because they worked hard and obeyed societies rules therefore those who end up struggling must have done something wrong. It really does make you wonder which century we are living in.

I think the mixed economy and Social Capitalism (a description used in other countries) can work for the good of many more people if not actually all. I am certainly all for that Maizie. The only thing people could complain about is that those at the top do not get a disproportionate share of any wealth generated.

MaizieD Sat 12-Oct-19 12:50:48

Thanks, Hetty blush

You, know, the more I think about it, the more I think that the 'mixed economy' model we enjoyed before Thatcher went on the rampage, was a very good system. If you follow the money, apart from the wages and salaries paid directly to people employed in a 'nationalised' service, every single penny spent by that service went to private companies, both large and small. Equipment, uniforms, fixtures and fittings, vehicles, drugs, printed matter, locomotives (perhaps not, were the huge engine building centres run by BR or private companies? hmm) Do you get my drift?

About the only thing private companies didn't have a chance to make any profit from was actually running public services.

In return we got uniform services available for all citizens...

spabbygirl Sat 12-Oct-19 12:37:51

I think this gov't is a disgrace, just look at the state of the NHS, Schools, Police & after 10 yrs of Tory/Lib Dem rule we ought to have the wonderful world they promised a decade ago. This gov't are very good at emphasising the parts of their message which will appeal to the working class and slipping in huge tax cuts for the well off. Just look at this research by Oxfam, so motivated by hunger, not politics.https://www.oxfam.org.uk/get-involved/campaign-with-us/inequality-and-poverty

Hetty58 Sat 12-Oct-19 12:20:16

MaizieD is spot on. Austerity, not needed anyway, caused great harm. A lot of people (unfortunately) do compare the economy to a household budget (Thatcher did) and believe that 'cutting back' is the answer - it isn't.

Why do people always bring up large families and benefits? There are very few large families. They are insignificant.
The overwhelmingly greatest drain on the benefits system are elderly people. We are all living too long! We have avoided (but are well overdue) a recession. They do happen regularly, always have.

Finally, while the ignorant masses keep voting in these clowns to run our government, we will always be in trouble!

varian Sat 12-Oct-19 12:05:50

1,000 days without government: Stormont’s shutdown has cost taxpayers £100m, says economist

www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/1000-days-without-government-stormonts-shutdown-has-cost-taxpayers-100m-says-economist-38583161.html

varian Sat 12-Oct-19 10:54:33

"anyone who thinks a no deal Brexit is OK is not paying attention, doesn’t eat fresh food, doesn’t need medication, has lots of fx to hedge against sterling and couldn’t care less about people’s jobs"

twitter.com/DeborahMeaden/status/1169336262848892929

GracesGranMK3 Sat 12-Oct-19 10:24:11

I know Maizie. Apparently the ERG are beginning to recognise this too. They have gone very quiet.

varian Sat 12-Oct-19 10:14:17

trade? who needs it?

Dinahmo Thu 10-Oct-19 15:56:00

I've posted this a few times before but it seems that it could do with repeating.

The National Debt started with William 111 who asked a syndicate of City traders and merchants to issue for sale an issue of government debt. This evolved into the Bank of England. The purpose was to improve the army to fight in the European wars at that time.

In 1815, at the end of the Napoleonic Wars, the debt stood at 200% GDP. By the beginning of the 20th Century it had been reduced to 30% GDP but it increased again as a result of WW1 and again after WW2. It has fluctuated thereafter.

Government Debt is financed by the issue of interest bearing Government Stocks (Gilts) which are safe investments for the general public. So the interest provides an income for the stock holders.

Bridgeit Thu 10-Oct-19 15:35:14

Brilliant MaizeD, but also so accurately sad.

MaizieD Thu 10-Oct-19 10:33:30

Oh, come on, GGMk2. You know the answer.

There was never going to be a good time to leave the world's largest trading bloc, the fact that it happens to be at a time when a world recession is threatening is nothing to worry about.

There are plucky Leavers out there ready to die for lack of medicines if we leave without a 'deal'. How can we be so timid as to fail to celebrate their courage; we should be inspired by their example.

It will be challenging, if not impossible, for businesses to deal with the added cost and red tape involved in abolishing free movement of goods and services but think of the benefits it will bring...

No, I can't keep this up. angry

GracesGranMK3 Thu 10-Oct-19 10:12:43

The figures for the last month have just come out and are looking worse than expected. We have to wait until next month to find out if we are in a technical recession but whether we are or not this is very poor.

There is an additional, knock effect to the global downturn from the possibility of our leaving the EU, with companies not investing as much as expected. We cannot expect to recapture this if we do leave as most of it depends on access to the larger market.

Productivity stats were out yesterday and they were pretty awful. Again, partly to do with a global downturn and partly to do with our shrinking economy. Productivity has now been poor for the last 10 years.

We may just avoid a recession. We cannot avoid a global downturn so could someone please tell me why we are tying our hands behind our backs at this precise moment by leaving the EU?

growstuff Wed 09-Oct-19 09:58:38

If people ever worked together for a "common good", we wouldn't get into a mess. The fact is that there will always be people who don't want to give up what they have and want even more. They won't work together with those they perceive as wanting a greater share of the wealth and will pay for a position of power.

Bridgeit Wed 09-Oct-19 09:51:20

No , but I don’t believe any other party has the answers either.
Time for a coalition government, they should all be working together to get us out of the mess we are in.

growstuff Wed 09-Oct-19 09:42:38

Your comments are never irrelevant Pantglas. I learn something too.

growstuff Wed 09-Oct-19 09:41:52

When people think about paying their way, they usually only think about paid work and benefits and whether they paid for the roof over their head and food, etc. They should also consider whether they paid a fair share for our armed forces, roads, courts, clean air and all the other things which make the UK a reasonably safe and pleasant place to live. Although I've paid in the past, I know that I don't now because I pay little tax and have virtually no disposable income for luxuries such as holidays and new clothes. I'm quite a heavy user of the NHS, although I no longer have children at school or receive child benefit (family allowance). It all balances out, which is how it should happen in a well-balanced society.

Pantglas2 Wed 09-Oct-19 09:36:50

Thank you - I’m genuinely in awe of some of the political/economist folks on these threads and I do learn an awful lot from all the back’n forth that goes on! My tuppence worth may seem irrelevant but I’m sure there are lots more like me in the great outdoors!

MaizieD Wed 09-Oct-19 09:06:51

Apology from me, then, Pantglas. I misinterpreted it as sarcasm..

Pantglas2 Wed 09-Oct-19 08:39:04

It was an apology and a polite explanation MaizieD - I don’t do huffy grin

MaizieD Wed 09-Oct-19 08:34:31

Don't get huffy, Pantglas. I'm not talking about people's personal circumstances. I'm talking about people's ignorance incomprehension of how a national economy works.

Pantglas2 Wed 09-Oct-19 08:26:06

Apologies for my economic illiteracy MaizieD - I never got past a handful of o levels but I’ve never been in debt (apart from a mortgage which I managed to pay off 10 years early) and I’ve never not worked.

However, I have always know that I was fortunate in those three things as I’m now in a position to help others which I do on a regular basis - my friends families as well as my own. If all of that means there’s more in the pot for those less fortunate, how could anyone think it was a bad thing?

growstuff Wed 09-Oct-19 03:38:51

Thank you Maizie. I so wish people would get away from the idea that the nation's finances are like a household budget.

Government borrowing actually means some people are getting richer because they lend the government money and charge interest.

However, as you say, much of the money only exists on a balance sheet because a country with a sovereign currency (which the UK is) can produce as much money as it wants and then reclaim it in tax. It's a way of controlling inflation and redistributing wealth.

Another little fact - something like 70% of people (including the sanctimonious) take more from the economy than they give over a lifetime.

Most people at some stage go through a stage when they take considerably more than they pay. People's lives change and a socialist government recognises that.

Something for those who think they've always paid their way to think about.

I think it was the IFS who did a detailed study on the subject, but it's the middle of the night and I'm off to try and get some sleep, so I don't have the energy to look for the paper (which most posters probably wouldn't read anyway).

MaizieD Tue 08-Oct-19 23:19:20

If only most of you weren't so economically illiterate.

Taxes do not 'fund' government spending. Taxation is a way of stopping the economy overheating by taking money out of circulation.

A national budget is not like a household budget, governments can spend as much as they like so long as there is something to spend it on. They issue the money for heavens sake, where else do you think it comes from?

Money 'spent' by the government goes into the economy; it doesn't disappear into a big black hole. It pays people's wages. It purchases goods and services from private companies which in turn pay their employees and buy goods and services from other private companies. People's wages are spent in the economy, which supports yet more private enterprises providing consumer goods, food, entertainment, transport etc. etc.

Austerity starved the economy, it destroyed people's jobs, it destroyed people's businesses, it destroyed public services. It wasn't necessary. It was an ideological move, designed to destroy public services, to 'shrink the state'. Unfortunately, shrinking the state shrinks the whole economy. Most economists will tell you that that is a really bad idea..

But who takes any notice of economists...

GracesGranMK3 Tue 08-Oct-19 22:12:02

Do you never think GracesGranMK3 that those of us who are fortunate enough to be able to work and pay taxes etc should do so in order that there is money available for the state to take care of those who can’t, for whatever reason?

I'm not sure what you read Pantglas but I don't think it could have been my post.

trisher Tue 08-Oct-19 22:11:02

I suppose a great deal more honesty is being exposed than was before. There were so many people posting once about how they had to vote Tory because Labour couldn't be trusted to manage things. Now it seems they are revealing their true colours, that they actually don't care. I would point out one thing, today's children are the tax payers of tomorrow. Children raised in a caring society where they are supported and nurtured grow up to do better and make more contribution to society, if they grow up in poverty, underfed and uncared for they are less likely to become able to sustain the society we are used to. So when some of the younger grans reach old age there will be no NHS, no care services and no support. I do hope their families are prepared to do everything for them.