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Does anyone here believe, as I do, that Johnson is finished (and I am sure HE does know himself)

(245 Posts)
Kali2 Sat 25-Sept-21 18:48:07

All the signs are there, no?

Lincslass Tue 28-Sept-21 08:18:44

growstuff

Urmstongran

???

Boris is still Mr Popular so far. Annoyingly to most on here. If Labour can stop their in-fighting they might make themselves a credible alternative. Or not.

Where's your evidence for that claim?

The most recent evidence indicates the contrary.

Sir Keir Starmer and Boris Johnson are neck-and-neck on who would make the best Prime Minister, according to a new survey–the first time the pollster has found the Labour leader is not behind in this key rating in 13 years.

The exclusive Ipsos MORI poll for The Standard was published as senior ministers were set for more emergency talks on tackling Britain’s petrol crisis.

Panic buying has led to thousands of petrol stations running dry. Preparations are being made for the Government to be able to call in the army if needed.

However, ministers hope that more reassurance to the public that overall petrol supplies will not run out will calm the situation and people will return to normal fuel buying habits.

The survey found Sir Keir and Mr Johnson are level-pegging, with 38 per cent of adults backing each of them as the most capable premier.

The last time the Tory leader was not ahead on this measure, according to the pollster, was January 2008, when Gordon Brown was on 37 per cent and David Cameron 33 per cent.

The poll results came as Britain faced the prospect of a looming winter crisis of soaring energy bills for millions, fuel companies going bust, rising food prices, wider inflation, the axing of the £20-a-week uplift to Universal Credit and then hikes in National Insurance in the spring.

However, despite the grim outlook, the survey suggested Sir Keir does not appear to have made his desperately sought-after breakthrough in the nation’s eyes, with his rating as most able Prime Minister unchanged on 38 per cent since June 2020, having dipped by one point in March 2021.

Instead, the gap between the two current party leaders has disappeared after Mr Johnson saw the percentage backing him plunge from 47 per cent in March after the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan and as the energy crisis grew.

Labour is also up six points in the Westminster voting intentions, to 36 per cent, compared to August, with the Conservatives down two points to 39 per cent, and the Liberal Democrats down four points to nine per cent.

However, just 25 per cent say Labour is ready to form the next government.

In a sign of wider disillusionment with both main parties, just 32 per cent agree that the Conservative government deserves to be re-elected.

Yet, as Labour’s annual rally got underway amid a bitter row which saw Sir Keir having to water down reforms to leadership election rules, the party is staring at a series of dismal poll findings.

They include a string of results which are the worst, or equally bad, for the party since 2015 including:

Only 20 per cent believe the party has a good team of leaders, compared to 30 per cent in October 2020.
Thirty-nine per cent say Labour understands the problems facing Britain, a significant drop from the 51 per cent a year ago.
Forty-eight per cent believe the party is concerned about people in real need in Britain, a drop of 12 points since last October.
Eighteen per cent think Labour keeps its promises, marginally lower than in October 2020.
Just 27 per cent of adults say Labour is fit to govern, down from 35 per cent a year ago, and the lowest since October 2016.
Just 33 per cent believe the party looks after the interests of “people like me”, down from 40 per cent a year ago, the lowest since October 2016.
Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, said: “As we enter conference season, the Conservatives seem to be experiencing some mid-term wobbles, with satisfaction with the running of the country dipping (probably due to issues other than Covid-19), and with the lowest likeability scores for the Prime Minister and his party since he became leader.

“However, while this may have given an immediate boost to Labour in the headline figures, the more detailed data is less rosy, showing a long way for them to go to persuade voters they would be a credible alternative government at the ballot box, while Keir Starmer faces many more critics of his leadership among his own supporters compared with Boris Johnson who has a much happier base.”

Amid the heated row between Sir Keir and the Labour Left over his attempts to change the party leadership rules, the survey also showed a majority of adults, 56 per cent, think Labour is a divided party, up from 52 per cent a year ago, but far lower than the 75 per cent of November 2019 when the party was riven with splits on Brexit.

Sir Keir’s satisfaction rating among Labour supporters is far worse than Mr Johnson’s among Tory backers, 40 per cent to 76 per cent.

Among the public as a whole, they are little changed from August, with both down two points, the Prime Minister to 39 per cent and Sir Keir to 25 per cent.

The satisfaction rating for the Government was down four points to 35 per cent.

Half of adults say they are disatisfied with the Labour leader, similar to Mr Johnson and Ed Miliband after his first 17 months as Labour leader, but compared to 62 per cent for Jeremy Corbyn in February 2017.

However, on a positive note for Sir Keir, just 16 per cent now see Labour as extreme, compared to 50 per cent in November 2019 when Mr Corbyn was leader.

The percentage saying the party is “out of date” has fallen from 51 per cent to 41 per cent over the same period, and from 68 per cent to 51 per cent when asked whether it will promise anything to win votes.

Labour is again more liked than the Conservative Party, 45 per cent to 36 per cent.

Mr Johnson is slightly more liked than his party, with the reverse for Sir Keir, especially so among Labour supporters with 35 per cent saying they like the party but dislike him.

This is twice as many as the 18 per cent of Conservative supporters who say they like the party but dislike Mr Johnson.

Among the public as a whole, 41 per cent like Sir Keir and 45 per cent the Labour Party (down ten points for him but up seven for Labour compared to a year ago), while 39 per cent like Mr Johnson and 36 per cent the Tories (down from 45 per cent and 42 per cent).

* Ipsos MORI interviewed 1,008 GB adults 18+ by telephone 17-23 September 2021. Data are weighted to the profile of the population. For full details see www.ipsos-mori.com

www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-boris-johnson-ipsos-mori-poll-b957432.html

17 to 23 year olds are going to be left wing, you don’t need a “rigged” poll to see that.

Lincslass Tue 28-Sept-21 08:17:05

growstuff

Racingsparrow

You seem to forget that the position that Boris inherited in the Brexit negotiations was the deal agreed to by Teresa May and her ministers. This deal was approved by a large majority in parliament. No politicians of the last ten years and more can be said to have been competent. It was Tony Blair’s government who negotiated the Northern Ireland protocol.

No, it wasn't. You're getting confused.

Think you’ll find he did, Major started Blair finished.

www.theguardian.com/politics/2007/may/11/tonyblair.labour4

growstuff Tue 28-Sept-21 08:06:35

Urmstongran

???

Boris is still Mr Popular so far. Annoyingly to most on here. If Labour can stop their in-fighting they might make themselves a credible alternative. Or not.

Where's your evidence for that claim?

The most recent evidence indicates the contrary.

Sir Keir Starmer and Boris Johnson are neck-and-neck on who would make the best Prime Minister, according to a new survey–the first time the pollster has found the Labour leader is not behind in this key rating in 13 years.

The exclusive Ipsos MORI poll for The Standard was published as senior ministers were set for more emergency talks on tackling Britain’s petrol crisis.

Panic buying has led to thousands of petrol stations running dry. Preparations are being made for the Government to be able to call in the army if needed.

However, ministers hope that more reassurance to the public that overall petrol supplies will not run out will calm the situation and people will return to normal fuel buying habits.

The survey found Sir Keir and Mr Johnson are level-pegging, with 38 per cent of adults backing each of them as the most capable premier.

The last time the Tory leader was not ahead on this measure, according to the pollster, was January 2008, when Gordon Brown was on 37 per cent and David Cameron 33 per cent.

The poll results came as Britain faced the prospect of a looming winter crisis of soaring energy bills for millions, fuel companies going bust, rising food prices, wider inflation, the axing of the £20-a-week uplift to Universal Credit and then hikes in National Insurance in the spring.

However, despite the grim outlook, the survey suggested Sir Keir does not appear to have made his desperately sought-after breakthrough in the nation’s eyes, with his rating as most able Prime Minister unchanged on 38 per cent since June 2020, having dipped by one point in March 2021.

Instead, the gap between the two current party leaders has disappeared after Mr Johnson saw the percentage backing him plunge from 47 per cent in March after the chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan and as the energy crisis grew.

Labour is also up six points in the Westminster voting intentions, to 36 per cent, compared to August, with the Conservatives down two points to 39 per cent, and the Liberal Democrats down four points to nine per cent.

However, just 25 per cent say Labour is ready to form the next government.

In a sign of wider disillusionment with both main parties, just 32 per cent agree that the Conservative government deserves to be re-elected.

Yet, as Labour’s annual rally got underway amid a bitter row which saw Sir Keir having to water down reforms to leadership election rules, the party is staring at a series of dismal poll findings.

They include a string of results which are the worst, or equally bad, for the party since 2015 including:

Only 20 per cent believe the party has a good team of leaders, compared to 30 per cent in October 2020.
Thirty-nine per cent say Labour understands the problems facing Britain, a significant drop from the 51 per cent a year ago.
Forty-eight per cent believe the party is concerned about people in real need in Britain, a drop of 12 points since last October.
Eighteen per cent think Labour keeps its promises, marginally lower than in October 2020.
Just 27 per cent of adults say Labour is fit to govern, down from 35 per cent a year ago, and the lowest since October 2016.
Just 33 per cent believe the party looks after the interests of “people like me”, down from 40 per cent a year ago, the lowest since October 2016.
Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, said: “As we enter conference season, the Conservatives seem to be experiencing some mid-term wobbles, with satisfaction with the running of the country dipping (probably due to issues other than Covid-19), and with the lowest likeability scores for the Prime Minister and his party since he became leader.

“However, while this may have given an immediate boost to Labour in the headline figures, the more detailed data is less rosy, showing a long way for them to go to persuade voters they would be a credible alternative government at the ballot box, while Keir Starmer faces many more critics of his leadership among his own supporters compared with Boris Johnson who has a much happier base.”

Amid the heated row between Sir Keir and the Labour Left over his attempts to change the party leadership rules, the survey also showed a majority of adults, 56 per cent, think Labour is a divided party, up from 52 per cent a year ago, but far lower than the 75 per cent of November 2019 when the party was riven with splits on Brexit.

Sir Keir’s satisfaction rating among Labour supporters is far worse than Mr Johnson’s among Tory backers, 40 per cent to 76 per cent.

Among the public as a whole, they are little changed from August, with both down two points, the Prime Minister to 39 per cent and Sir Keir to 25 per cent.

The satisfaction rating for the Government was down four points to 35 per cent.

Half of adults say they are disatisfied with the Labour leader, similar to Mr Johnson and Ed Miliband after his first 17 months as Labour leader, but compared to 62 per cent for Jeremy Corbyn in February 2017.

However, on a positive note for Sir Keir, just 16 per cent now see Labour as extreme, compared to 50 per cent in November 2019 when Mr Corbyn was leader.

The percentage saying the party is “out of date” has fallen from 51 per cent to 41 per cent over the same period, and from 68 per cent to 51 per cent when asked whether it will promise anything to win votes.

Labour is again more liked than the Conservative Party, 45 per cent to 36 per cent.

Mr Johnson is slightly more liked than his party, with the reverse for Sir Keir, especially so among Labour supporters with 35 per cent saying they like the party but dislike him.

This is twice as many as the 18 per cent of Conservative supporters who say they like the party but dislike Mr Johnson.

Among the public as a whole, 41 per cent like Sir Keir and 45 per cent the Labour Party (down ten points for him but up seven for Labour compared to a year ago), while 39 per cent like Mr Johnson and 36 per cent the Tories (down from 45 per cent and 42 per cent).

* Ipsos MORI interviewed 1,008 GB adults 18+ by telephone 17-23 September 2021. Data are weighted to the profile of the population. For full details see www.ipsos-mori.com

www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-boris-johnson-ipsos-mori-poll-b957432.html

Calendargirl Tue 28-Sept-21 06:42:58

Hope you managed to read the missing link PippaZ.

vegansrock Tue 28-Sept-21 04:54:38

Johnson’s deal was worse than May’s. He just had more nodding donkeys to get it over the line.

growstuff Mon 27-Sept-21 23:36:16

Racingsparrow

You seem to forget that the position that Boris inherited in the Brexit negotiations was the deal agreed to by Teresa May and her ministers. This deal was approved by a large majority in parliament. No politicians of the last ten years and more can be said to have been competent. It was Tony Blair’s government who negotiated the Northern Ireland protocol.

No, it wasn't. You're getting confused.

growstuff Mon 27-Sept-21 23:34:35

... or bitter.

growstuff Mon 27-Sept-21 23:34:16

Racingsparrow

I am new to Gransnet and looking around the forums it seems to very anti government. I have seen lots of negativity but very few solid ideas of what could be done to address the problems this country has at the moment. We seem to be a country of moaners but still carry on electing useless people to govern us. I have lived in or visited many countries in Europe and around the world and this is a common theme, all politicians are deemed to be useless. We keep voting because the alternative could be a dictatorship.

Quite a few people have put forward all sorts of ideas in the time I've been a member of GN. They usually get called a communist, a leftie or a traitor and get fed up bashing their heads against brick walls.

LadyGracie Mon 27-Sept-21 22:26:06

Some very bitter people about, life is too short.

PippaZ Mon 27-Sept-21 22:10:07

I'm not sure why you think he is still popular? Other than with you of course and a few others on this thread. However, that seems to surround leaving the EU and that's not going exactly well, is it.

Urmstongran Mon 27-Sept-21 21:47:03

???

Boris is still Mr Popular so far. Annoyingly to most on here. If Labour can stop their in-fighting they might make themselves a credible alternative. Or not.

lemongrove Mon 27-Sept-21 21:46:03

Yes, our memories are better than we thought ( and anyone else thought)?

Calendargirl Mon 27-Sept-21 21:43:28

Just read it lemongrove thank you.

Yes, quite a number of GN’ers were very sure that Boris would throw in the towel, let me see, over 18 months ago?

grin

Calendargirl Mon 27-Sept-21 21:36:55

lemongrove

Calendargirl www.gransnet.com/forums/chat/1285282-Boris

??

Racingsparrow Mon 27-Sept-21 21:35:23

I am new to Gransnet and looking around the forums it seems to very anti government. I have seen lots of negativity but very few solid ideas of what could be done to address the problems this country has at the moment. We seem to be a country of moaners but still carry on electing useless people to govern us. I have lived in or visited many countries in Europe and around the world and this is a common theme, all politicians are deemed to be useless. We keep voting because the alternative could be a dictatorship.

lemongrove Mon 27-Sept-21 20:57:01

Calendargirl www.gransnet.com/forums/chat/1285282-Boris

Kali2 Mon 27-Sept-21 20:53:11

Nought so blind ...

Well, wait and see.

Racingsparrow Mon 27-Sept-21 20:52:42

You seem to forget that the position that Boris inherited in the Brexit negotiations was the deal agreed to by Teresa May and her ministers. This deal was approved by a large majority in parliament. No politicians of the last ten years and more can be said to have been competent. It was Tony Blair’s government who negotiated the Northern Ireland protocol.

Gwyneth Mon 27-Sept-21 20:49:29

No what signs? Must have missed them.

lemongrove Mon 27-Sept-21 20:42:58

Calendargirl

lemongrove

Or 29th Sept ?but 2020 and September.

Was it under ‘News and Politics’ lemongrove?

No, it’s under ‘chat’ ?

M0nica Mon 27-Sept-21 20:39:07

He was regularly criticised for fabrications and untruths, but Johnson was never one to let the truth get in the way of a good story.
No good journalist regularly fabricates stories and writes things that are wrong. No good journalist gets the sack for making things up.

Yes, anyone can make mistakes. But these aren't mistakes these are deliberate lies and untruths, told again and again and again.

Neither side showed up with any honour in the Brexit referendum. Boris just determined to get us out at ny price, after manufacturing cliff-edge moments. He didn't give a toss about any of the issues, he was prepared to let everything else go hang, as long as the history books said he was the one that sealed the deal

What is happening now is that the chickens ar coming home to roost. The botched Northern Ireland deal, the great deal with the US that isn't. Problem after problem, all because of Boris's posturing.

PippaZ Mon 27-Sept-21 20:32:35

He did, indeed MayBee. Given time I think almost any politician other than Boris could unravel the mess - but we will take years to recover from this government. Our children will be referring back to it for decades.

MayBee70 Mon 27-Sept-21 20:19:27

But he’s the one that got us into it in the first place.

Racingsparrow Mon 27-Sept-21 20:09:49

If you take a narrow view ,such as this article, you could find mistakes and stupid things done by most politicians or even by most people. It is too easy to find faults and too hard to find the best in people. I am not a fan of Boris and I know he is not perfect but he was needed to give the push to get us out of Europe. There are many many faults with the deal we got and the government has not capitalised on opportunities we have now we have left the European Union. This is mainly the fault of the idiot politicians on all sides of the political spectrum. Name me one politician who you think could get us out of the mess this country is in.

M0nica Mon 27-Sept-21 19:43:53

I can not understand how someone who was such a good journalist, erudite, intelligent and with such a good grasp of the subject he was reporting on turn into a bumbling idiot.

Racingsparrow, was he such a good journalist? He lost jobs because he made stories up and told lies //www.business-standard.com/article/international/from-journalist-to-uk-pm-boris-johnson-s-career-summed-up-by-the-numbers-119072400158_1.html