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Russian massing on the Ukrainian border

(544 Posts)
Daisymae Fri 21-Jan-22 10:30:08

So while our government is debating on what constitutes a party, how many parties may have been held a couple of years ago, there's a terrible threat to world peace going on at the edge of Europe. Anybody else noticed?

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 11:10:29

Whitewavemark2

Yes. Putin cut his teeth on the end of the Cold War when he was in the KCB. He watched as Russian influence was lost (1991) in countries that became independent like Ukraine, Georgia and others. He is determined to regain Russian influence in all these countries and has been working towards this for many, many years.

He has always seen the European economic community as a block to Russian influence in the ex-soviet countries and has worked constantly to de-stabilise Europe.

As much as I am against fracking, if the U.K. were to do this we could be self sufficient in gas and not be reliant on Russian gas via Germany/EU.

In my opinion Mr. Putin along with China are looking to change the world order whilst the rest of us have been concentrating on the Pandemic.

Urmstongran Sat 22-Jan-22 11:08:06

Goodness me Kali2 “UK on its knees” ?
What hyperbolic nonsense you do spout at times.

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jan-22 11:08:00

NATO and EU are two entirely different entities.

One is a Military union the other is a economic free trade union.

You are talking about apples and pears.

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jan-22 11:05:49

Yes. Putin cut his teeth on the end of the Cold War when he was in the KCB. He watched as Russian influence was lost (1991) in countries that became independent like Ukraine, Georgia and others. He is determined to regain Russian influence in all these countries and has been working towards this for many, many years.

He has always seen the European economic community as a block to Russian influence in the ex-soviet countries and has worked constantly to de-stabilise Europe.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 11:03:58

Kali2

Flag waving will not alter this at all.

Well you are certainly waving the EU flag

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 11:02:25

Kali2 I think you should read other posters posts.

Nobody is suggesting that the U.K. will go it alone as you posted.

They are just pointing out that NATO has far more clout than the EU.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:54:59

Flag waving will not alter this at all.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:54:01

It could make some realise that the situation is indeed very dangerous, and that the UK is not in a firm and solid relationship with the rest of Europe, even within NATO.

Said it before, MAD has worked so far since WW2. It got us over the Cold War. But many have been fully aware ever since, that MAD will only work until a Psychopath or two, like Putin (could have been Trump) get involved and want to test it as a legacy.

The current situation is also being called MAD by many- Mutually Assured Delusion.

Do you really think that the UK, on its knees due to the Covid-Brexit combination- and isolated from the rest of Europe, is in a position to get involved in the most dangerous and destructive war ever, with a madman? We have never truly recovered from Blair's decision to join with the US without Europe.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:45:41

Kali2 you can cut and paste as much as you like, it will not alter anything.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:43:15

Whitewavemark2

I do take the point about those posters whose family has a history of military service, but this is a political issue which Putin is determined to resolve with his military.

I agree that those this side of Mr. Putins 100,000+ troops would like it to be a diplomatic issue.

Unfortunately I am not convinced that Mr. Putin views the situation in the same light. He wants to get back to the glory days of the USSR and if he manages to retake any former Soviet States that will ensure he stays in power.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:40:56

UK's February 2020 negotiation guidelines omitted foreign, security and defence policy cooperation, stating that such
areas did 'not require an institutionalised relationship'.

Arguably, this contributed to a difficult start in the relationship.
Theresa May's Conservative government (2016-2019) viewed the notion of a security and defence partnership more favourably than Boris Johnson's (in office since July 2019, also Conservative), and in 2018 had proposed 'an ambitious partnership covering thebreadth of security interests including
foreign policy, defence, development'. For the moment, discussions on such aspects of the future relationship appear to be 'absent in Westminster and Whitehall'. The initial assumption, according to the Centre for European Reform, 'was tha tit would be easier to reach agreement on foreign and
defence policy co-operation than on other issues'.

Similarly, Jim Cloos, former Deputy Director General in the General Secretariat of the Council of the EU, argued that foreign policy and security seemed to be candidates for an immediate agreement because of the close relationship and the
UK's importantrole. British opposition to formalising cooperation could be explained by the perception that the EU
institutional frameworks for external security cooperation offer 'few incentives for the UK', compared to other, more flexible formats (ad hoc coalitions). The EU's proposals for possible foreign and security policy cooperation with the UK include several areas such as coordination in multilateral organisations, sanctions, crisis management, capability development, intelligence, and development. To this end, the Deputy Secretary General of the European External Action Service (EEAS), Charles Fries, argued before the European Parliament's Subcommittee on Security and
Defence (SEDE) in May 2021 that, 'there is huge potential todevelop a relationship with the UK once
London is ready to engage in a discussionon security and defence with us.'' (Official EU document on Brexit implications to European security).

This has not happened yet- and so the relationship with the EU on security matters remains vague and 'up in the air'. Which means that engaging in probably the most dangerous war ever, with a psychopath with his finger ont he nuclear button- is not advisable. Putin knows this, tragically.

Little Chicken and sucking eggs just won't help here.

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:35:50

I do take the point about those posters whose family has a history of military service, but this is a political issue which Putin is determined to resolve with his military.

merlotgran Sat 22-Jan-22 10:30:59

Chewbacca

^We are a military family, I think I am aware of the different world probably more so than^ the majority.

Nothing more irritating than someone trying to teach you to suck eggs is their GG13?

Hear, Hear!

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:28:23

I’m sure that given good diplomacy, those who are prevaricating can be persuaded. France and Spain are the obvious ones to try to change minds.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:25:49

Kali2

Indeed WWmk2- but we are divided. The UK made sure of that.

Utter rubbish, the U.K. army is still training EU army personnel, in Europe and on exercises all over the world.

This has absolutely nothing to do with whether or not the U.K. is in the EU.

Urmstongran Sat 22-Jan-22 10:25:02

Are the French and German subscriptions up to date within NATO yet? I recall Trump calling them out on that.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:24:10

Whitewavemark2

Now is not the time to be divided.

Putin has worked hard for this to happen in Europe and looks as if he is succeeding.

We are cleverer than that ( or should be).

We should use soft power to strike back. We have the resources and the willingness from both USA and Europe.

Remember divided we fall.

Don’t be a fool and play Putins he game

I totally agree with your post Whitewavemark2

The whole of Europe needs to be together on this, regardless of whether or not they are reliant on Russian gas pipes.

They need to speak with one voice, and be prepared to back up their words.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:23:47

Indeed WWmk2- but we are divided. The UK made sure of that.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:22:39

You do understand the concept of MAD.

Whatever you think of 'Europe's position' - it is clear that the relationship of the UK with NATO, separate from 'Europe' - is a very difficult one. It was already clear when Blair rushed us into war, even before Brexit.

Putin is a very dangerous man- he wants to provoke us into action. Why?

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:20:27

Now is not the time to be divided.

Putin has worked hard for this to happen in Europe and looks as if he is succeeding.

We are cleverer than that ( or should be).

We should use soft power to strike back. We have the resources and the willingness from both USA and Europe.

Remember divided we fall.

Don’t be a fool and play Putins he game

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:18:48

Time is running out for the EU to stay on the right side of history

Very apt Urmstongran

GrannyGravy13 Sat 22-Jan-22 10:17:40

The U.K. is a major contributor to NATO along with being involved in the UN.

How the bureaucrats in the EU can prevaricate on a European Country being invaded by an aggressor is beyond belief. The aggressor is knocking on Europe’s door.

If the situation escalates, than all of Europe needs to be ready.

Urmstongran Sat 22-Jan-22 10:03:06

From the Telegraph today:

“This isn’t just about Ukraine, but about democracy, sovereignty, the right of people to determine their own future without being bullied and then subjugated. In short, it’s about freedom – something that 40 million Ukrainians have learned to love, and which the West is privileged enough to take for granted.

Britain and America realise this. Others appear not to.

Time is running out for the EU to stay on the right side of history.”

Callistemon21 Sat 22-Jan-22 09:59:43

The situation is worrying enough without hysteria and misinformation being added into the mix.

Kali2 Sat 22-Jan-22 09:51:23

Greyduster

^The UK is militarily isolated, and not in a position to get militarily involved at the moment, for so many reasons, including financially^.
We are a major financial contributor to NATO, paying in more than France or Germany, who both know that NATO is what keeps them and the rest of Europe safe and has done since it’s inception. As members of NATO we will never be “militarily isolated”. Time to put Chicken Little back in her coop!

Chicken Little ?

The position of the UK within NATO, and with relation to the USA and to Europe- is not well defined at the moment. It will take time for those relationships to become clearer and firmed up. And puts the UK (and my family, children and grandchildren within) in a precarious and difficult position- and certainly not in a position to go it alone, or to be pushed into action by the USA, or anyone else for that matter.

But really, Chicken Little ?!? Despicable.