Allira The middle classes will often find a way to get a good education for their children, they can afford to move to the catchment area of good schools and pay the premium on housing costs, they are able to buy coaching so they can get their children into the grammar schools that still exist, they can buy in top up tuition if a child is struggling in an important subject and they also step forward to become school governors and work to improve a failing school etc etc when all else fails they know about bursaries that can reduce the fees of independent schools so they become affordable.
I don't worry as much about kids from most middle class homes as they have the back up from parents and possibly financial help from grandparents, it's the ones from poorer homes, the disadvantaged kids that worry me most. It's difficult to run a school on the per pupil allocation, there's very little flesh on the bone let alone any fat! We need good state schools for every child regardless of which social class they come from.
I won a state funded scholarship to an independent girls day school, the fees are now over £21Kp.a., OH was also state funded at a boarding school as his father was a senior civil servant posted abroad, fees there are now nearly £60K p.a. These days you need to be really wealthy (or have generous grandparents) to afford private education for a couple of children, if adding VAT means more middle class children stay in state schools I think that will be a very positive thing and I'm sure their parents will ensure the school they are at gives them a good education!