Reporting on BBC this morning that a poll shows almost 1/3 of Labour voters regret voting for them in the 2024 election.
I can find no BBC source for that but GB News report a poll by Savanta of just * 2111 people* from the 28.8 million who voted. I assume the report comes from that.
Let’s be realistic here.
The electorate numbers 48.2 million people. Turnout in 2024 was 59.7% so 28.8 million people voted.
Labour had 34% of the vote and Reform 14.3%. This equates to Labour winning 9.8 million votes and Reform winning 4.1 million.
According to this very small survey, 64 per cent of Labour supporters feel confident in their vote, compared with 83 per cent of Conservative and Liberal Democrat voters, and 81 per cent of those who backed Reform UK.
So 6.7 million Labour voters are happy and 3.3 million Reform voters are happy with their decision.
Fair enough. Some Labour voters are unhappy with some of the decisions the Labour government has made. But at least they have something to point to that makes them dissatisfied.
I think the bigger questions, one which GB News ducked, and using the word the channel chose to use in it’s headline, why do 19% of people who voted for Reform in 2024 now regret their decision and why?
That’s almost 800,000 million people regretting their decision to vote for Reform. What is that based on? What has Reform done in the last nine months that makes these voters unhappy?
Remember the margin for Leave was only 1.7 million.