Yes Maremia 12.56- exactly what is the plan? What are Trump's goals, the measures of success, the timescales and how are risks being minimised and mitigated? If anyone knows- pray do tell!
Potential goals:
1)Trump can instigate military action to destroy paramilitary forces and command structures to reduce Iran's military power.
2)US/Israel can attempt to destroy missile facilities and damage nuclear sites. Trump did this June 2025 and boasted he "obliterated" nuclear sites. So Iran has them up and running again? Rinse/repeat/rinse/repeat.
3) US/Israel can seek to force regime change/collapse- with no guarantee/clarity what will follow.
4) US/Israel can seek to reduce Iran's regional influence
Risks:
1) Potential chaos- instead of a new stable Iran government, the collapse could result in power vacuum, civil war and/or humanitarian and refugee crisis. Ayaltollah was assassinated- son takes the helm yet untested. Regime may become harsher and lead to greater upheaval.
2) Retaliation- Iran has vowed to retaliate potentially causing damage to US war ships, laying mines in the gulf and endangering regional allies- could involve US military casualties and domestic push back against war
3) High costs- conflict threatens/impacts on global energy security, global energy costs and likely impact on oil prices- has already been happening. Trump recently on speed dial to media outlets trying to reassure them the war in nearly over.
Trump's messages shape shift- he accuses Starmer 2 days ago of "seeking to Jon the war after we've already won". Yesterday he tells reporters " I have a plan for everything. You'll be very happy...the war is complete, pretty much ...we're far ahead of schedule" Asked whteher the operation would end soon therefore: ' I don't know, it depends. Wrapping it up in my mind, nobody else's. Just days ago Trump said he would not stop the war until Iran's "unconditional surrender."
Smileless your quote "Who is the biggest fool? The fool that leads or the fool that follows" resonates in current circumstances. Trump is the fool leading, persuaded, prodded, aided and abetted by Netanyahu, with no stated clearly thought out plan. Anyone who blindly follows, at Trump's bidding, without consideration, without question, without sight of a clearly thought out plan ( just as Starmer has stated) in my view would also be foolish.