valdali … even if Reform got a majority & formed a government, they couldn't make it happen. And I'm sure Reform know this, but they seem to think their supporters are too stupid to realise.
It won’t make anything happen. A Reform "government" simply wouldn’t be able to function.
Parliament would grind to a halt within weeks. The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029. I doubt Reform could make it past October 2029 conference season.
For a start, there are 149 ministerial posts to fill, currently shared by 122 people. There are 22 cabinet ministers.
Currently Reform has only 8 MPs. Only two have any ministerial experience (Braverman (sacked twice) and Jenrick (sacked once) and one with a small amount of shadow experience (Kruger). Current polling says that if there was an election now, all three would lose their seats. Their constituents are not happy that they defected.
If that were the situation come 2029 or sooner and Reform were able to win a simple majority of 326 seats, what would happen next?
Assuming the other five MPs retained their seats, there would be a Prime Minister and four other MPs none of whom have any ministerial or shadow ministerial experience whatsoever plus 321 completely new MPs. Looking at the poor calibre of people standing (and elected as local councillors last year), chances are the calibre being elected to Westminster would be the same.
In addition, there would be an unelected Home Secretary (Yusuf) who could not enter the House of Commons to make statements and answer questions. The “Great Offices of State”, are the Prime Minister, Chancellor of the Exchequer, Home Secretary, and Foreign Secretary. Whatever we may think of past and present holders of that office, they were experienced MPs.
How could Farage possibly fill 149 ministerial posts without bringing in a large number of unelected people, again who could not enter the House of Commons? It would be an undemocratic, unworkable shambles.
(In 2024, when Labour took office, there were also a lot of new MPs but also 180 with previous experience including shadow Ministers rot from a new Cabinet.
People forget that there is a huge amount of committee work done in Parliament that the public never sees (unless it tunes in to watch coverage on Parliament Live TV); people to serve on select committees, people to scrutinise legislation and so on. And that’s before legislation goes to the House of Lords which Reform would have to stuff with hundreds of new peers to get anything passed. And that would have to get past HOLAC and the King.
In other words, it doesn’t matter what outrageous and divisive schemes Reform propose in order to appeal to their supporters, they could never function as a democratic government.
Farage is a lot of things but he isn’t a fool. For all his noise and bluster he knows this and will be gone before 2029 after which the cult that has grown around him will collapse. If the Parliamentary Committee on Standards has any teeth over the £5 million bung from Harborne he will be gone by Christmas.
Meantime, he will do all he can to disrupt so expect to see more local councils come under Reform control on on Friday. The chaos that will ensue from that as adult social care and SEND budgets are cut to pay for flags and floral St George crosses on roundabouts will be bad enough but that’s as far as it can go.