Gransnet forums

Coronavirus

We should have locked down earlier

(118 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Tue 29-Dec-20 09:37:57

The government was strongly advised to lock down around half term in order to avoid NHS overload.

It ignored the advise.

Consequence

We are already at a higher level than during the spring, and we haven’t even seen the Christmas and New Year infections begin to take effect.

Hundreds of extra beds in the form of Nightingale hospitals were built at massive cost.

The government were warned at the time that it would not be possible to staff them.
Nine months later not a single extra clinician has been trained for them. They are now being dismantled, even though we know that there will be an absolute tsunami in a few weeks time when the NHS may well be overwhelmed.

Of course we could take the attitude of JH-Brewer and ignore lockdown, because it is only the old who suffer badly and they according to Brewer seem expendable.

Rufus2 Tue 29-Dec-20 12:00:54

Having troops on the streets of the UK or sealing folks in their homes which happened in China is unpalatable to the majority? I have no idea what the solution is

Grannygravy
A good, but rather belated solution, would be to copy Australia! We didn't achieve our current situation by chance. tchhmm
We too had troops "on the street" to assist police in handing out severe fines to rules transgressors and helping out with the logistics associated with things like traffic control at testing stations.
"Sealing folks in their homes" sounds hysterical when it should be called "lockdown'"
Self control and a strong sense of community spirit plus hefty fines for breaches of the rules have turned out to be very effective! tchsmile
Good Health

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 12:00:47

GrannyGravy13

growstuff Covid complacency is rising across the UK, I am not a fan of house arrest but have no idea how to cajole the population into compliance.

The ex-teacher in me says there are times when people just have to do as they're told and be made to do so. There isn't any other solution.

Violettham Tue 29-Dec-20 12:00:08

I agree Alexa

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 11:58:05

westendgirl Schools still haven't been told what's happening. It's rumoured that pupils will be expected to administer the tests themselves. In Liverpool, self-administered tests were less than 50% accurate.

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 11:55:03

EllanVannin

To have had a complete lockdown would have been virtually impossible. Which would have meant no movement whatsoever, planes/trains or any other vehicles, as this would have been the only way to have eradicated such a disease----which is why we still have it floating around and it'll be with us for the rest of next year too until every living soul is vaccinated and practices cleanliness in every way.

Cleanliness isn't the answer - social distancing is.

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 11:54:09

Nezumi65

They’re now messing up school.

Headlines ‘army will support schools in testing’

Reality. Army are at the end of a phone line hmm

The lateral flow tests are not reliable enough anyway (50%? Even less against the new variant) & if I have understood correctly the plan is to not send bubbles home to isolate but to keep pretty much everyone in schools. Madness. And you don’t need hindsight to tell you that.

Essex County Council have asked parents to organise a test for their children up to a week before they're supposed to return. I don't understand the sense in that. They could be tested negative and be infected half an hour after they walk out of the test centre.

EllanVannin Tue 29-Dec-20 11:49:10

To have had a complete lockdown would have been virtually impossible. Which would have meant no movement whatsoever, planes/trains or any other vehicles, as this would have been the only way to have eradicated such a disease----which is why we still have it floating around and it'll be with us for the rest of next year too until every living soul is vaccinated and practices cleanliness in every way.

westendgirl Tue 29-Dec-20 11:48:56

Why the haste to open school, especially as the Science has advised against, but then this government has selective hearing.? Teachers are not trained medical people and I seem to have read somewhere that there will no medical grade PPE equipment for Teachers after their "training. "Of course the School Nurse is a thing of the past. Quite honestly I think the idea is a non starter, too fraught with difficulties and is using a testing system which is known to be quite ineffective..
It seems that again the Education Sec. has sat on his hands ,has done no planning and this is his idea of getting out of an impossible situation.

GrannyGravy13 Tue 29-Dec-20 11:47:03

growstuff Covid complacency is rising across the UK, I am not a fan of house arrest but have no idea how to cajole the population into compliance.

GrannyGravy13 Tue 29-Dec-20 11:43:34

Jaxjacky I agree, our business was deemed essential so we remained open. This entailed financial outlay to ensure Covid safe compliance throughout the offices, warehouse, stores and yard. Decisions on who to furlough, a rota system to ensure no unnecessary mixing of staff.

It is easy for those with a guaranteed income to call for a further hard lockdown.

The last nine months have taken its toll on the mental health and well-being of so many which has to be addressed.

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 11:40:34

Numbers actually fell in Manchester after it was moved to Tier 3 and now has fewer than half the number of cases per 100,000 than my area, which seems to have become very complacent.

In Sydney, the solution was "Let's go early, let's go hard and let's get this baby".

Jaxjacky Tue 29-Dec-20 11:34:37

GrannyGravy13 the numbers also dropped significantly in March as it was a proper lockdown, no garden centres or others now deemed essential. This has of course a huge financial hit and it’s ok for me, with my jolly nice pension thanks, but devastating for others. If you have a mild dose and no food in the house isolation and staying off work is not going to happen, however irresponsible it may be. People have also become blasé, we’ve all seen it. I really don’t know the answer, nor would I want to be a decision maker.

Nezumi65 Tue 29-Dec-20 11:29:42

You’ve got a Tory MP on Twitter at the moment saying that driving is more dangerous to under 60’s without underlying health conditions than Covid.

Older people of Telford I think she’s just let you know what she thinks of you.

GrannyGravy13 Tue 29-Dec-20 11:11:44

The UK locked down in March, the numbers dropped dramatically.

When things began to open up over the summer months numbers remained relatively low.

Numbers began to rise when Education at all levels returned.

There have been numerous regions under different levels of lockdown since March, but numbers in Leicester and Greater. Manchester for instance continued to rise despite the restrictions.

Lockdowns are only as effective as the populations willingness to fully comply, you only have to read some of the threads on GN to see that non-compliance is rife.

There are many conspiracy theorists with large followers on SM who simply deny the very existence of Covid, along with the growing anti-vaccine movement.

Having troops on the streets of the UK or sealing folks in their homes which happened in China is unpalatable to the majority? I have no idea what the solution is.

The balancing act between civil liberties and civil constraints is very delicate.

Whitewavemark2 Tue 29-Dec-20 11:10:35

Money thrown down the drain

Nightingales, £220 million.

Test and Trace £22billion!!

Surely the biggest scandal of the decade?

Shinamae Tue 29-Dec-20 10:35:55

Throws hands up in the air and decides to hibernate under the duvet for 12 months ????

Nezumi65 Tue 29-Dec-20 10:34:58

My youngest missed 5 weeks of school last term - in an exam year and we are in a. Area with one of the lowest rates of infection.

If they go ahead with their plan as it is I predict new variant rapidly increasing here (& we have an elderly population with few beds).

Rather than last minute changes of plan, they need to scan the idea of exams (Gove’s reforms have made that much harder, but also harder to keep fair external assessment) & concentrate on the pandemic response and supporting children who need the wider supports provided by school.

Nezumi65 Tue 29-Dec-20 10:31:03

They’re now messing up school.

Headlines ‘army will support schools in testing’

Reality. Army are at the end of a phone line hmm

The lateral flow tests are not reliable enough anyway (50%? Even less against the new variant) & if I have understood correctly the plan is to not send bubbles home to isolate but to keep pretty much everyone in schools. Madness. And you don’t need hindsight to tell you that.

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 10:27:08

Lucretzia

I'm hoping they make an announcement about schools

My daughter doesn't know what to do about shifts at work and I'm sure many people are in the same boat.

I suffer with chronic pain. I'll take the boys if need be but it's not easy. The not knitting is adding to the problem

I'm sure many people are in the same boat

Yes, they are. Pupils are in and out of school like yoyos. They and their families need certainty, even if it's not ideal.

Lucretzia Tue 29-Dec-20 10:26:48

Absolutely, growstuff

Many people just couldn't afford to isolate.

Lucretzia Tue 29-Dec-20 10:25:44

Not knowing!

I should proofread my posts

I'm not a knitter ?

growstuff Tue 29-Dec-20 10:25:30

Lucretzia

Sadly the British public weren't great at isolating, growstuff

Less than 20%complied

I know and that's why there should have been better incentives to comply.

Unfortunately, the system itself didn't work well because it didn't have the local knowledge. It didn't manage to trace contacts, either those who could have been infected or the source of the infection. It was an expensive disaster.

Now the lateral flow tests are the latest expensive fad - and it really doesn't need an expert to predict they won't work in suppressing transmission either.

Lucretzia Tue 29-Dec-20 10:24:30

I'm hoping they make an announcement about schools

My daughter doesn't know what to do about shifts at work and I'm sure many people are in the same boat.

I suffer with chronic pain. I'll take the boys if need be but it's not easy. The not knitting is adding to the problem

I'm sure many people are in the same boat

Willow73 Tue 29-Dec-20 10:20:37

Well said, Dorsetcupcake61. Much too late on decisions, but nothing we can do about it now apart from lockdown. Idiots out there still socialising and all the government says is it trusts the British people to do the right thing! They haven't been for the last 8 months so does he really think they are going to now at Christmas and New Year. Wonder how many fireworks are going to be let off at private garden parties on New Years Eve.

twinnytwin Tue 29-Dec-20 10:17:35

Hindsight is a wonderful thing. It's made Covid experts of many GNs.