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With UK Covid deaths the highest in Europe, is this living with Covid?

(140 Posts)
marq66 Fri 15-Oct-21 08:19:00

For the month of September, the UK recorded 45,066 deaths due to Civd (compared to 420 in Sept 2020) and Covid cases have shot up to 4500 per day (Oct 14th). Why is the government not leading better action to control this position? I have just travelled through Europe where in Spain, Italy, Croatia and France masks are worn in shops and on all transport with 99% compliance. Their Covid cases are less than 5000 per day and deaths are substantially lower than UK (c25 per day). If these countries can control their cases, alleviating the pressure on their health services with all its consequential benefits (other medical issues being dealt with, economy able to recover etc) why is the UK blindly pretending we can live with Covid at these stupidly high rate with its consequential pain for GPs, the NHS and the poor families affected? When Sajid Javid fails to face doctors face to face at their conference, as promised, this tells you all you need to know!

growstuff Sat 16-Oct-21 11:15:32

I agree with you polnan. The way to "live with it" and get back to any sense of normality is to to be careful, not pretend it's all over.

auntiejantie Sat 16-Oct-21 11:11:00

Back to the original post. Masks are still worn in shops, restaurants, indoor venues and on transport in Scotland - a much more cautious approach - long may it continue - I feel much safer than I did during my recent visit to the beautiful Lake District.

polnan Sat 16-Oct-21 10:59:08

Way, way, bac, yes, I am that old.

we knew and were told that statistics can be argued to any case.. I don`t think I have phrased that correctly, but you get my drink

why are we so .... keeping on about this! wear masks, wash hands, social distancing, where is reasonable...

and ventilate... ventilate.. ventilate... fresh air!!!! I find so many places/buildings are NOT doing that.

That , for me, is living with it.. and God forbid if I say... we have lived with flu and other very contagious etc.. diseases for centuries! how? by not ignoring it is there, by being sensible... and not expecting things to go back to NORMAL!

Annaram1 Sat 16-Oct-21 10:58:38

I have been shot down in flames before for suggesting that we should have another lockdown. I suggest it again. The country should be locked down until the numbers halve.

Hetty58 Sat 16-Oct-21 10:53:45

I feel really sorry for all those in poor health, with various conditions, that have no real choice but to continue isolation. They must feel very let down.

katy1950 Sat 16-Oct-21 10:52:40

We have just returned from a 4 day trip to Gibraltar.They are alot stricter than Britain. You can't get on a bus without wearing a mask .In the airport you must wear a mask and you are approached by airport staff and told to put on a mask. But in Manchester airport the public announcements are constantly telling you to wear a mask but it's not implemented lots of people were walking around without masks we are not strict enough in Britain

Buttercup1954 Sat 16-Oct-21 10:48:46

The more tests the more cases discovered. The figures to watch are deaths, hospitalizations and those in ICU.

TanaMa Sat 16-Oct-21 10:45:32

All the while there is a minority of people refusing to be vaccinated everyone else is at risk. How do you know whether the person closest to you has/has not been vaccinated. Big gatherings at events and not a mask in place! No wonder I am reluctant to go anywhere, living alone with no close neighbours and pets to care for.

growstuff Sat 16-Oct-21 10:40:58

Shirlb

Really? Not the numbers we’re reading about?

I'm not sure what you mean. Which numbers?

growstuff Sat 16-Oct-21 10:40:22

The average daily number of deaths within 28 days of a positive test in the UK is currently 111. I don't see how keeping that figure from anybody has a positive effect on mental or physical health.

The figure is relatively stable, although it's still too high.

It's just not realistic to think that all those people tested positive and then died from a completely unrelated condition. The figure also ignores people who died 29+ days after a positive test and it's known that some people are ill with Covid for longer than that.

Growth in the number of cases isn't exponential at the moment, but as anybody who knows anything about maths knows, exponential growth is difficult to spot at the beginning of the curve.

Shirlb Sat 16-Oct-21 10:38:49

Really? Not the numbers we’re reading about?

growstuff Sat 16-Oct-21 10:29:49

Alegrias1

We're not going to have the exponential discussion again, are we?

Sorry growstuff blush

I wasn't planning to, but why not? Some people don't seem to understand what it is. Some people don't seem to understand the word "if" either. I wrote "if". At the moment , nobody knows whether the growth in case numbers is exponential, but there certainly seems to be an upward trend. Almost half of the cases are in young people, so the growth isn't reflected in deaths, although death rates and hospitalisations are creeping up. Only a fool wouldn't be aware and cautious.

M0nica Sat 16-Oct-21 10:23:06

We have been COVID free until the end of this September, when our vaccinated DDiL caught it and both unvaccinated children went down with asymptotic COVID. DDiL has an auto immune disease, but although she felt really unwell for a week, by the end of the following week, she was up, about and racing around as usual. She is in her 50s, so now in the age group where the illness can be serious.

She caught the illness from a friend of her children. Unvaccinated children seem to be both, numerically the group with the highest frequency of COVID, and the main cause of transmission so the sooner we vaccinate those 14 and over and continue to investigate the safety of innoculating even younger cchildren, the sooner the disease will be under control.

MayBee70 Fri 15-Oct-21 13:34:01

I would assume that the excess death figure (which I don’t happen to have unfortunately) will show that those people did actually die from covid.

Josianne Fri 15-Oct-21 13:31:48

Alegrias1

growstuff

Josianne

Thanks for the graph WWM2.
I don't think anyone was deflecting, unless it was meant to be a political argument? Just choked on breakfast with the first line and thought I might have to cancel my lunch in town. A bit scary too in the Health forum for those of a less robust nature.
We are always reminded to get the facts straight on GN.

Covid doesn't avoid people of a less robust nature.

Telling people that the death rate is 100 times what it really is can't be good for anyone's health.

That's what I meant. A lot of people have been feeling emotionally fragile. The OP saying 1500 deaths from covid per day could affect both mental and physical health.

nanna8 Fri 15-Oct-21 13:29:43

Whatever, it is far too high in the UK just now. I don’t understand why you don’t have to all wear masks at least in shopping areas and inside. Not much to ask really. We are having total kniptions here with nothing like your numbers.

Calendargirl Fri 15-Oct-21 13:19:52

The deaths are people who tested positive for Covid in the last 28 days I think.

To me, that doesn’t mean they died of Covid, it means they died with Covid. And perhaps they had recovered from it, and died of something else?

marq66 Fri 15-Oct-21 12:36:42

Mea culpa! The OP should have read: 4,506 deaths in Sept ie 10 times more than Sept 2020. Ok I made an error but the rest of my points are true: cases for 14 Oct 45,000 (a 10k rise on average of 34000 in previous days). UK is average case numbers are 10 times the cases of our neighbours (and I monitor it every day). Why is so little being done to get on top of this? As seen in subsequent posts, these case and deaths not reducing despite the vaccine levels. Something has to change!

Katie59 Fri 15-Oct-21 12:27:02

Travelled through Germany and Austria last week you could do nothing without a vaccination certificate and a high grade mask mandatory at every indoor venue, hotel, restaurant, we are far too relaxed in the UK

Mamie Fri 15-Oct-21 11:52:02

This thread is fascinating.
www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/4372169-The-great-South-west-PCR-mystery
Suggests the problem might be more like under reporting.....

Alegrias1 Fri 15-Oct-21 11:49:47

We're not going to have the exponential discussion again, are we?

Sorry growstuff blush

growstuff Fri 15-Oct-21 11:44:05

Alegrias1

^I find the numbers unbelievable, at this rate it means soon the whole of the country will have had Covid.^

12% of the population of the UK have had a positive test. At a rate of 40,000 a day it will take a little over 4 years for everybody to have caught it.

Not if the rate is increasing exponentially.

growstuff Fri 15-Oct-21 11:42:54

Juliet27

I think you’d better start again marq66 as everyone is getting muddled by your figures.

I think she's got muddled too. There are currently about 4,000 deaths a month.

growstuff Fri 15-Oct-21 11:40:49

Mamie

The point is SpanielNanny that for the rate to be ten times lower in France than in England you would have to have a mighty lot of unidentified asymptomatic cases in France.
My GD and 100 of her year group in England got Covid within three weeks of returning to school. My GD passed it on to my twice vaccinated DD and SiL. All three had significant symptoms and had two weeks away from school / work.
I am inclined to think the higher number of tests reflects the higher number of cases rather than believing in a mysterious mainland European asymptomatic Covid strain. ?

I think that too.

Alegrias1 Fri 15-Oct-21 11:40:23

growstuff

Josianne

Thanks for the graph WWM2.
I don't think anyone was deflecting, unless it was meant to be a political argument? Just choked on breakfast with the first line and thought I might have to cancel my lunch in town. A bit scary too in the Health forum for those of a less robust nature.
We are always reminded to get the facts straight on GN.

Covid doesn't avoid people of a less robust nature.

Telling people that the death rate is 100 times what it really is can't be good for anyone's health.