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Exit from Brexit

(505 Posts)
varian Mon 06-Aug-18 18:13:52

Brexit has not yet happened, and there can be no certainty that it ever will.

www.gfmag.com/topics/blogs/uk-could-exit-brexit

MaizieD Sun 26-Aug-18 16:50:07

Here is one medium size transport company's view of what they fear post Brexit:

Documentation they will need:

Start

In order to process a single Customs Export of one consignment (and assuming one truck equals one consignment) is estimated at 20 minutes based upon all the correct information having been forwarded to the Customs agent including:

 Valid VAT Registration / Eori Number
 Customs Commodity Code
 Valid Description of Goods
 Gross and Nett Weight
 Value
 Customs Office of Destination
 EU Border Crossing Points
 Vehicle registration number
 A centralised Customs Clearance system;
 Customs Officers on site to physically check vehicles;
 Export Clearance Depots to marshal vehicles;
 Import Clearance Depots

End

data.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/committeeevidence.svc/evidencedocument/transport-committee/freight-and-brexit/written/84590.pdf

The whole is worth reading

Grandad1943 Sun 26-Aug-18 18:17:34

Quote MaizieD [ Should there be a no deal UK lorries with British drivers won't even be allowed into the EU as their driving licenses will not be recognised, nor will they have permits for doing business in the EU.] End quote

MaizieD, the problems with British LGV and PSV driving licence holders carrying out their profession in Europe following a "no deal" Brexit is just one of any number of dire situations facing the road haulage industry in regard to brexit

The other problems facing the industry include heavy trailer licencing, certificate of professional competence training (CPC) and the number of travel permits available for British truck drivers. The foregoing are just a few of the problems and situations that have no resolution in sight and seemingly very little discussion taking place on these subjects

James Hookham, the deputy chief executive of the FreightTransport Association, has stated "what’s needed immediately is concrete solutions to enable all those involved in moving goods and services across the UK’s borders to plan with certainty for a post-Brexit future, whatever that future is to be"

It has now been over two years since the referendum and yet the above fundamental problems that affect everyone living in Britain are reliant on a deal being struck that will accommodate the existing status within it. However, various government ministers have stated that the chances of such an agreement being brought about are reducing as the Brexit timeline becomes ever shorter.

The various EU councils of ministers have remained available for discussion throughout the summer. However, the UK Parliament decided to give itself a six week holiday followed by three weeks of party conferences (nice work if you can get it).

In the meantime many thousands remain deeply concerned for the future on their employment especially in the road transport industry.

I find the above totally disgusting and an insult to the entire British electorate.

Fennel Sun 26-Aug-18 18:34:07

I agree Grandad.
But being selfish, personally I'm concerned about the possible delay in importing some medications.
Last week I read somewhere that the govt. was planning to stockpile 6 months supply, ' just in case.'
It could be a matter of life or death for some people.

Grandad1943 Sun 26-Aug-18 21:02:44

Yes, Fennel, and those drugs have to be transported from Europe to the UK by the Road Haulage Industry on one of its trucks traveling through the ports.

It is worth bearing in mind that 98% of everything any person owns and uses has at some time been transported on a truck. In that, our British politicians by their ineptitude have left an industry we all totally rely on in total chaos as to what the future holds and how they are supposed to prepare for that future.

MaizieD Mon 27-Aug-18 15:05:11

This is interesting. An article from the '*Leave EU*' website, published in Feb 2017, but now, for some unaccountable reason it has been taken down. However, copies were saved...

It's about what a disaster for the UK trading under solely WTO terms would be (as we would have to if we left with no deal).

Last paragraph:

One can say, unequivocally, that the UK could not survive as a trading nation by relying on the WTO Option. It would be an unmitigated disaster, and no responsible government should allow it. The option should be rejected.

leavehq.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=128

Buffybee Mon 27-Aug-18 15:51:43

Why would trading under WTO Terms be a disaster for the UK and yet it isn't for all the other countries in it already?
What do these countries have that we do not?

MaizieD Mon 27-Aug-18 16:12:10

What every single other country in the world has is trading agreements with other countries; some in large blocs. It is an illusion that other countries trade solely under WTO rules. They get away from them as fast as they ;possibly can.

Did you even read the blog post, Buffybee?

The WTO Option advocates will tell you that countries such as China, the United States and Australia all trade with the EU without formal trade agreements, and therefore operate under WTO rules. They don't have these problems so why would the UK? The answer, however, is remarkably simple. These countries don't rely solely on WTO rules.

Buffybee Mon 27-Aug-18 16:52:36

No I didn't read the blog post Maize thought I'd just ask as question.
And now you've answered it, so I'm off!

MaizieD Mon 27-Aug-18 17:36:02

Did the answer satisfy you?

GillT57 Mon 27-Aug-18 17:36:13

Just read it Buffybee. And anyone else who thinks it will all be ok, or that the trusted wonderful government won't allow anything awful to happen, or that the delivery of goods will not be disrupted...... just read it and weep.

varian Mon 27-Aug-18 17:57:20

Well spotted Maizied for your post of 15.05.11.

This is indeed chilling but only yet another example of the leavers' lies.

Sometimes they have even told the truth, but later deny it. How blind or stupid would you have to be to trust them an inch?

Fennel Mon 27-Aug-18 18:31:57

Either lying deliberately, Varian, to protect their interests.
Or carelessly irresponsible, caring nothing for the future of the people they're supposed to represent.
Or both.

Grandad1943 Mon 27-Aug-18 19:54:11

I believe that the worm has turned in the Brexit debate. There now seems to be a new realisation of just what Brexit will mean for the country, especially a "no deal" Brexit

Many who supported the leave cause now seem to have changed their minds as the full facts of Brexit have been drawn out in the many months since the referendum.

I feel that if any Brexit occurs at all, it will be in name only.

varian Tue 28-Aug-18 15:07:29

Britain’s biggest carmaker Jaguar Land Rover has joined dissenters to a “hard Brexit”, saying that Britain leaving the EU without a trade deal would cost it 1.2 billion pounds ($1.59 billion) a year and curtail its future UK operations. Chief Executive Ralf Speth said the car market needed “free and frictionless trade with the EU and unrestricted access to the single market” in order to ensure future success.

uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-jaguar-ld-rvr-at/carmaker-jaguar-says-bad-brexit-would-mean-it-could-not-stay-in-uk-idUKKBN1JU2T1

humptydumpty Tue 28-Aug-18 15:52:49

Sadly the "people have spoken" juggernaut seems to roll on without any regard for possible changes in public opinion; so much for democracy, the attitude of government seems to be "you shall leave because you're not going to have a final say"

GillT57 Tue 28-Aug-18 19:26:50

We need a few more of the big car manufacturers to speak out as well. I wonder how many it will take before Brexit believers finally accept there may be a problem? BAe MD was dismissed as being part of Project Fear, Mark Carney was dismissed, many, many owners of logistics and transport companies, even Dominic Raab talked about (but carefully did not recommend) stockpiling food and drugs, how many more will it take before people realise?

varian Tue 28-Aug-18 20:17:28

MyCatsBonkers on Mumsnet has just summed uo the latest pronouncement from Theresa May.-

"So 'sunlit uplands' became

'the exact same benefits as we have now' which became

'adequate food supplies' which changed to

'enough lettuce' and now

'we won't all die'

It's not very encouraging. Where will we be by March next year? 'Some may die but not as many as in WW2 and we survived that'? Or 'the strong will feast on the flesh of the weak and Britain will be great again'?"

www.mumsnet.com/Talk/eu_referendum_2016_/3348747-So-relieved-to-hear-its-not-the-end-of-the-world?pg=1#prettyPhoto

varian Wed 29-Aug-18 20:30:57

Under UK law the referendum result is advisory and not binding on Parliament, a large majority of whose members are opposed to leaving the EU.

As the constitutional lawyer Geoffrey Robertson QC points out: ‘Democracy in Britain doesn’t mean majority rule. It’s not the tyranny of the majority or the tyranny of the mob…It’s the representatives of the people, not the people themselves who vote for them.’

It is only when elected MPs vote in favour of a new bill to repeal the 1972 legislation that brought Britain into Europe that Article 50 can be invoked and divorce proceedings begin in earnest.

And that is unlikely to happen until after the Conservative party has elected a new prime minister who, in all probability, would call a general election to confirm the authority of parliament to vote on such a crucial issue.

The main opposition party, Labour, has already made moves to remove its leader, Jeremy Corbyn, on the grounds of his weak support of the party’s pro-European stance during the referendum campaign. And the Scottish Nationalists are likely to demand a new referendum on Independence should their country’s overwhelmingly pro-European vote be overruled by Brexit.

So no irretrievable move by Britain to leave the EU is likely to happen before this fall. Apart from anything else, the UK has virtually no trained negotiators to do a new deal with Europe or, indeed, other trading partners around the world, as everything has been done through the EU for the past 40 years.

www.gfmag.com/topics/blogs/uk-could-exit-brexit

Joelsnan Thu 30-Aug-18 08:53:44

www.politico.eu/article/brexit-anxiety-disorder-britain-middle-class/

Nicenanny3 Thu 30-Aug-18 09:11:18

Great article Joelsnan thanks for the link. A few sufferers on gransnet I think.

Greta Thu 30-Aug-18 11:20:00

Joelsnan, why post a link to an article by Politico; an American political company? We could turn the tables and write an article about Leavers' EU-Angst; let's blame the EU for everything we are unhappy about. Let's not analyse our own governments' failings. Rule Britannia! Sadly, this 'Rule Britannia' has appeared a few times now on GN. It scares me.

humptydumpty Thu 30-Aug-18 11:57:16

News today that Panasonic are moving their headquarters from UK to Amsterdam in October ahead of Brexit:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45351288

GillT57 Thu 30-Aug-18 12:04:17

Indeed Nicenanny, I am a sufferer, and I am desperately worried about the implications of the social and economic turmoil that you voted for.

petra Thu 30-Aug-18 12:13:22

Greta
Are you going to complain next time Varian puts up a link to Politico. Probably not.
joelsnan
Great link. Sums up the mood completely.

petra Thu 30-Aug-18 12:21:57

GillT57
social turmoil
I think you need to look at what is happening in Germany, that's social turmoil
UKIP is more or less a spent force, how often do you hear or see the extreme right wing 'groups'
Whereas in Germany the Afg is gaining ground by the day.