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Don't look at public sector pay through the wrong end of the economic telescope

(33 Posts)
Quokka Thu 15-Dec-22 14:48:48

MaisieD spot on!

Surely everyone knows that nurses are leaving the profession in droves. So many vacancies. And it’s not simply about pay, per se, it’s also the fact that this government seems to view them as cheap labour and does not respect them enough to come to the negotiating table.

After what the profession has been through, their dedication to duty, at the risk of their own health during Covid, it must feel like a kick in the teeth.

Remind me…who was that Baroness who pocketed millions? The PPE lobbyist?

Quokka Thu 15-Dec-22 14:42:51

Aveline do you really think nurses are that petty?

Aveline Thu 15-Dec-22 14:21:34

What do you think it might be?

growstuff Thu 15-Dec-22 13:32:59

The question which needs to be asked is the real reason the government doesn't want to increase spending on public services.

Aveline Thu 15-Dec-22 13:18:39

I don't think this is the right thread to post on but I couldn't find one about the nurses strike.
Having retired from NHS and knowing many nurses I'm concerned more about what happens after the strike irrespective of outcome. I know some nurses will stoutly refuse to strike and that some angrily will insist on striking. The working atmosphere afterwards is likely to be most uncomfortable and generally unhappy.
If the strike leads to a large pay increase the strikers will be scornful about non strikers reaping the benefits of their actions. Meanwhile the non strikers will be shocked and apply emotional pressure along the lines of, 'How could you abandon your poor patients?'

NotSpaghetti Thu 15-Dec-22 13:12:40

Thought I'd just give this a bump.
👍

Wheniwasyourage Thu 15-Dec-22 13:01:26

Interesting, MaizieD. Thank you. smile

MaizieD Thu 15-Dec-22 12:23:40

I'm posting this as a separate thread so it doesn't get lost in one of the NHS threads we already have running.

I almost called it 'Look, I'm not an economic nutter' grin

I think it's relevant not only to current demands for increased public sector pay, but also to how we fund the NHS.

Anne Pettifor, economist, says clearly that 'Taxes Don't Fund Spending' (so growstuff & I haven't plucked this idea out of thin air, economists are saying it, which is why we say it)

She explains in this post, which is worth reading in full:

annpettifor.substack.com/p/to-pay-for-nurses-wage-rises-raise?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

This quote reiterates what I have said time and time again

(state spending).... if invested in people and infrastructure (like hospitals, railways or universities) spending will generate income in the form of tax revenues for the government. This is because the individuals, households and firms that are beneficiaries of that spending, pay taxes on their income, profits and capital gains - via PAYE and other means of tax collection.

Importantly, they only pay taxes after they have earned income - at the end of the week, month or year.

Once earned, individuals, households and firms spend and invest their new, higher income. They spend on goods, on rent, on food, and on services provided by for example, football clubs, lawyers, accountants, musicians, artists etc. That spending generates additional tax revenues for government, this time paid by football clubs, firms, shops, landlords, farmers, lawyers, musicians etc.

And these taxpayers don’t just pay once; they continue paying taxes for months and even years after receiving a pay rise or government contract.

In other words, tax revenues are multiplied for government by its investment or spending on higher incomes and infrastructure.

*There is no need to raise taxes to fund spending*.

Here she explains how what is being said by politicians, the media and some economic institutions is wrong.

Let us begin the rebuttal with the BBC’s lunchtime news on 13 December - listened to by millions.

Ben Zaranko of the IFS was invited on and declared that to offer higher pay to nurses (something he agreed was necessary to retain essential workers) government:

“would have to provide more funding and that might require them to raise taxes.”

This trope “we can only afford to raise nurse’s pay if we make everyone else pay with higher taxes” is repeated endlessly by microeconomists of the IFS, by BBC journalists (with honourable exceptions) and by politicians.

Ever since 2010, we at PRIME have tried to explain that IFS staff consistently peer at the British economy through the wrong end of a telescope, distorting their analysis. In other words, they view the government’s budget in much the same way as a household might assess the impact of income and expenditure on a family’s budget.

But the government’s budget cannot be judged through a micro-economic lens.

^ The government does not raise finance from taxes ^ (I can't get this to format properly sad )

She disagrees with MMT economists that the government doesn't need to 'borrow' to spend, but that's a minor point here. They both say essentially the same thing , that taxation doesn't fund spending.

This gives us a whole new perspective on how to view the UK's economy and how to judge proposed spending plans.

The question to ask is 'How will this benefit our citizens and the national economy', not, 'How are you going to pay for it?'

I hope you can see its relevance to the question of NHS funding and claims that we don't have to make a financial contribution to fund it. There may be excellent psychological or social reasons for asking for an upfront financial contribution through 'insurance', but it's not strictly necessary.

P.S. 'microeconomics' looks at the economic behaviour of a single company or institution, 'macroeconomics' looks at the economic behaviour of, sectors, or a whole country or globally..