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The Uk Government balancing it's financial books.

(65 Posts)
fancythat Fri 19-Jan-24 16:17:17

I have thought 2 or 3 times about starting this thread.
Here goes.

There seem to be a significant number of people in the Uk, or/and who are eligible to vote in the Uk Elections, who appear not to be bothered about such a thing.

That the Uk can be on a never ending spending spree, and there are no consequences to that.

I could have got that wrong. But I do repeatedly see and hear people who seem to think just that.

Am I correct?

Or perhaps you think that spending can be ad infitium on some things, but want cut backs in other areas.

If you do want cut backs, what would you cut back on, please?

Or do you think we should we go further, into owing money?
Or is it something you are not too bothered about?

fancythat Sat 20-Jan-24 14:01:46

MaizieD As Dinahmo's figures show, states can manage perfectly well when running deficits.

I would like to return to this.

And this that I said
*Italy and Greece - well known countries for running into huge financial difficulties.
US - its national debt is now nearly the same percentage to GDP as it was in the 2nd world war years. Anyone fancy having the same national debt as the US? No, I thought not.*

That is the danger of debt.
Governments are not immune.
And QE does not always help either. Else no country would run into financial trouble.

Which ever way anything is sliced and diced, debt can lead to danger. Sometimes.

Countries and local authorities[I read that about 8 more besides Birmingham, are in financail difficulties], and households and individuals, are not immune.

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:14:59

Germanshepherdsmum

If the shares were not purchased when issued would the company exist? We have had this argument before and I have told you that my shares were purchased direct from the company, not on the market.

That is correct but there are millions of people who trade in shares but who have little or noting to do with the company whose shares they own. These are pure investments to make money or gains for themselves.

There are many examples of companies that have done well - such as the Pimlico Plumber - who have sold out to other, larger companies whose shares are traded on stock exchanges the world over.

The flotation of the utility companies was not an investment such as you describe. The companies existed. The govt at that time wanted some money and sold the shares cheaply, ostensibly to individuals to encourage share ownership. The majority of the individual purchasers did not hold on to the shares for very long but sold them at a good profit to various institutions.

I suspect that the shares that you own were purchased from either family companies or were new newly floated and have done sufficiently for you to keep them. (I'm not expecting a response to this statement - I am merely surmising and not after the facts)

In my working life I have known two individuals who made a large income from share dealing. One was a retired partner in a top 3 accountancy firm and his hobby was to invest.
Consequently he spent several hours each day on research.

The other is a former investment banker who retired at a young age and spends his time investing.

Both earned far more from their trades than I did/do from my practice.

MaizieD Sat 20-Jan-24 14:15:53

fancythat

But you didnt say I said it, so maybe you didnt mean me.

I was, perhaps, being defensive. I've had that trope thrown at me so many times grin

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:20:25

MaizieD

How about Japan, fancythat? Is Japan a financial basket case?

Singapore? That's what some Brexiters wanted us to be like - Singapore-on-Thames... 🤔

I remember in the run up to the 2010 election the Tories were banking on about the country's debt and I don't recall debt being a feature of earlier elections. In 2020 most political commentators, in response, talked about the debts of other counties such as the US and Japan which were much higher than the UK's.

I think that the Tories had become much better at spreading misinformation than the LP and are increasingly so now.

MaizieD Sat 20-Jan-24 14:23:40

In my working life I have known two individuals who made a large income from share dealing. One was a retired partner in a top 3 accountancy firm and his hobby was to invest.
Consequently he spent several hours each day on research.

My OH had an uncle, a retired civil servant, who made a considerable amount of money from investment in shares (in the low £millions). Mind you, he left his financial affairs in a nightmare state for the relative who had to sort it out on his demise. He'd never paid tax on anything apart from his pension 😱 He also lived in what amounted to a slum...

Germanshepherdsmum Sat 20-Jan-24 14:36:04

The company in which I have shares is a household name PLC Dinahmo, not a family company. I purchased when it was making a new share issue.

MaizieD Sat 20-Jan-24 14:38:53

Countries and local authorities[I read that about 8 more besides Birmingham, are in financail difficulties], and households and individuals, are not immune.

Local authorities are in financial difficulties because of tory austerity which has cut their budgets to the bone while they are still expected to finance their statutory duties. They do need to raise money via taxation, they are an example of where taxation does fund spending because they can't create any money of their own.

Their plight is the result of small state ideology and the mistaken belief that a national budget is like a household budge; that it has to 'save' money by cutting services. All it did was make many people much poorer and reduce the money circulating in the economy. Without money circulating the economy cannot grow. There is indeed a 'magic money tree' but there sure as hell is no 'magic growth tree'.

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:42:40

fancythat

MaizieD As Dinahmo's figures show, states can manage perfectly well when running deficits.

I would like to return to this.

And this that I said
*Italy and Greece - well known countries for running into huge financial difficulties.
US - its national debt is now nearly the same percentage to GDP as it was in the 2nd world war years. Anyone fancy having the same national debt as the US? No, I thought not.*

That is the danger of debt.
Governments are not immune.
And QE does not always help either. Else no country would run into financial trouble.

Which ever way anything is sliced and diced, debt can lead to danger. Sometimes.

Countries and local authorities[I read that about 8 more besides Birmingham, are in financail difficulties], and households and individuals, are not immune.

After the end of the Napoleonic Wars the UK's debt ratio was 200% GDP. As I mentioned above it was around 30% at the beginning of the 20thC.

You ask who would like to live with the same national debt as the US. After the end of WW2, in 1946 it was 106%. The UK's at the end ofWW2 was around 200%.

Both countries recovered from that high level to much more manageable figures and did so during earlier centuries.

The US and UK govts during the last 3 centuries were immune to debt. Despite 3 centuries with very expensive wars the UK and the USA have survived and are amongst the richest in the world.

Local authorities are a different case - they have suffered from the lack of govt contributions, especially during the last 13 years of Tory austerity. Covid and the Ukraine war has played a part in this too, but we are now over the covid period. In an ideal world, the Ukraine war end and that would result in a reduction of spending on armaments and other aid. Monies that could be diverted to investment in the country's economy.

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:44:12

Having just reread my above post it seems to me that if the people fully understood the part that wars play in a country's economy we would stop all wars. Sadly, that is not going to happen.

MaizieD Sat 20-Jan-24 14:47:42

A reminder that it was Keynesianism that drove the UK's recovery (and the introduction of the NHS) after WW2. If we'd been guided by the current 'neoliberal ruling theory' I doubt if it would have happened so easily.

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:51:36

Germanshepherdsmum

The company in which I have shares is a household name PLC Dinahmo, not a family company. I purchased when it was making a new share issue.

More or less my point. It was issuing new shares for it's own benefit.

Dinahmo Sat 20-Jan-24 14:52:12

MaizieD

A reminder that it was Keynesianism that drove the UK's recovery (and the introduction of the NHS) after WW2. If we'd been guided by the current 'neoliberal ruling theory' I doubt if it would have happened so easily.

Exactly. You have put it more succinctly than me.

Germanshepherdsmum Sat 20-Jan-24 15:08:19

Indeed it was Dinahmo. It needed a cash injection. The money went to the company, not to a seller on the market. Not a utility company by the way.

Grantanow Sat 20-Jan-24 19:39:33

I think, MaizieD, that we shall have to agree to differ about the effects of money creation. I usually agree with most of what you say on other matters.