Anniebach
The question of why Wales voted to leave the EU can in large part be answered by the number of English retired people who have moved across the border, research has found.
Despite being one of the biggest beneficiaries of EU funding, Wales voted leave by a majority of 52% to 48% in the 2016 referendum – a result that took some analysts by surprise. However, work by Danny Dorling, a professor of geography at Oxford, found that the result could in part be attributed to the influence of English voters.
“If you look at the more genuinely Welsh areas, especially the Welsh-speaking ones, they did not want to leave the EU,” Dorling told the Sunday Times. “Wales was made to look like a Brexit-supporting nation by its English settlers.”
Darling's research results are rather flawed imo.
In fact, the influx of people from England into Wales has been fuelled by cheaper house prices in Wales which has encouraged many young working couples and families to move to Wales from England. Border areas are within easy commuting distance of large English cities and towns. Areas near the two Severn bridges, where people could commute to England, voted remain (apart from Newport).
The whole central belt, some deprived ex-mining areas, other farming areas, voted Leave.
Other areas where retirees might have moved to, eg coast and pleasant rural areas, appear to have voted remain.
The vote overall was fairly close although in some areas eg Blaneau Gwent, it was decisively Leave.
In 2016, the year of the referendum, estimates put the unemployment rate in Blaenau Gwent at 6.6%, having been at 9.2% the previous year, and as high as 15.5% in 2011, almost double the UK average.
Based on estimates from 2020, the unemployment level is now around 4.3%, marginally higher than the Welsh average of 3.7%, but below the UK average of 4.5%.
Wales online July 2021
Around 1,300 people aged 16 and over in Blaenau Gwent were unemployed in the year ending June 2023. This is a rate of 3.9%. That is lower than the UK average.
9 Nov 2023