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It doesn't look as if Labour's lead is softening

(116 Posts)
Grantanow Mon 29-Jan-24 12:50:16

A recent poll showed a slight gain for the Tories and a slight loss for Labour: probably too small to worry about.

25Avalon Mon 29-Jan-24 11:49:34

I belong to Opinium, but never seen the results. Sometimes I put in Reform to send a message to the Conservative Party. It doesn’t mean I will vote for them though. I’ll make up my mind nearer to the day.

MaizieD Mon 29-Jan-24 11:22:53

Labour intends to take us closer to the EU, Ug. Can you live with that?

Urmstongran Mon 29-Jan-24 11:16:27

I think we need a GE sooner rather than later. All we are doing is treading water at present. Labour will win. Maybe it’s time for a change. I’m beginning to think things surely couldn’t be much worse.

Casdon Mon 29-Jan-24 11:15:22

ronib

Yes but do the opinion polls take this into account? Wwm2

They are weighted polls which take demographics and often also voting history into account. They are population samples though, not constituency specific polls. The slight bias towards Tory seats in the new constituencies is unlikely to make any difference to polls therefore.

Elegran Mon 29-Jan-24 11:09:46

" Health/NHS is top for 64% with Economy second with 42%!" This adds up to 106% ! I assume that those taking part could list more than one thing to be most concerned about, and didn't have to choose just one?

AGAA4 Mon 29-Jan-24 10:35:26

I don't have much faith in polls and I know there are still staunch Tory voters who keep a low profile but will vote to keep Labour out.
This is worrying.

Whitewavemark2 Mon 29-Jan-24 10:30:18

I don’t know

ronib Mon 29-Jan-24 10:28:34

Yes but do the opinion polls take this into account? Wwm2

Whitewavemark2 Mon 29-Jan-24 10:26:13

They favour the Tories

ronib Mon 29-Jan-24 10:21:00

I wonder what impact the newly redrawn constituency boundaries will have? Also it could be a long wait until the actual election… need to pace yourself!

Whitewavemark2 Mon 29-Jan-24 10:15:36

Early days!

Never count your chickens.

The most important thing is to vote

Chocolatelovinggran Mon 29-Jan-24 09:45:40

Thank you Casdon - that has my name all over it.

Casdon Mon 29-Jan-24 09:44:22

For anybody who is a bit of a politics nerd, it’s worth signing up to the Sky Poll Tracker app. It is a running percentage, updated every week, of all election poll results.
news.sky.com/story/sky-news-poll-tracker-how-are-political-parties-performing-as-an-election-looms-12903488

MaizieD Mon 29-Jan-24 09:40:30

I'll try a chart.

Unfortunately posting a twitter link isn't helpful these days as one can only read it if one is signed up to twiiter.

DaisyAnneReturns Mon 29-Jan-24 09:12:03

Today's Opinium poll is interesting for those who like this sort of thing.

You can find it here twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1751334275721400502?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

I'm afraid I still can't put the charts on here and would be grateful if anyone can help.

Opinium is well regarded amongst those who know about these things. It does differ from other polls in that it awards more of the "don't knows" to the Conservatives. This is not a good or a bad thing, just something to be aware of.

The most striking thing to me is in the most important issues facing the country. Unsurprisingly, the NHS is top followed by the Economy. But is the gap that is a surprise. Health/NHS is top for 64% with Economy second with 42%!