It doesn't look as if Labour's lead is softening

I'll try a chart.

Unfortunately posting a twitter link isn't helpful these days as one can only read it if one is signed up to twiiter.

For anybody who is a bit of a politics nerd, it’s worth signing up to the Sky Poll Tracker app. It is a running percentage, updated every week, of all election poll results.
news.sky.com/story/sky-news-poll-tracker-how-are-political-parties-performing-as-an-election-looms-12903488

Thank you Casdon - that has my name all over it.

Early days!

Never count your chickens.

The most important thing is to vote

I wonder what impact the newly redrawn constituency boundaries will have? Also it could be a long wait until the actual election… need to pace yourself!

They favour the Tories

Yes but do the opinion polls take this into account? Wwm2

I don’t know

I don't have much faith in polls and I know there are still staunch Tory voters who keep a low profile but will vote to keep Labour out.
This is worrying.

" Health/NHS is top for 64% with Economy second with 42%!" This adds up to 106% ! I assume that those taking part could list more than one thing to be most concerned about, and didn't have to choose just one?

ronib

Yes but do the opinion polls take this into account? Wwm2

They are weighted polls which take demographics and often also voting history into account. They are population samples though, not constituency specific polls. The slight bias towards Tory seats in the new constituencies is unlikely to make any difference to polls therefore.

I think we need a GE sooner rather than later. All we are doing is treading water at present. Labour will win. Maybe it’s time for a change. I’m beginning to think things surely couldn’t be much worse.

Labour intends to take us closer to the EU, Ug. Can you live with that?

I belong to Opinium, but never seen the results. Sometimes I put in Reform to send a message to the Conservative Party. It doesn’t mean I will vote for them though. I’ll make up my mind nearer to the day.

A recent poll showed a slight gain for the Tories and a slight loss for Labour: probably too small to worry about.

This map lets you see notional changes to results in the new constituencies (pop in your postcode for your own). It lets you see which parties are competitive in the new constituencies which can be used to consider if you might want to vote tactically.

www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2024/jan/16/find-your-constituency-uk-general-election-2024-boundary-changes-votes-map-postcode?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

There are some stats in the accompanying article about what the changes mean for the two main parties.

AGAA4

I don't have much faith in polls and I know there are still staunch Tory voters who keep a low profile but will vote to keep Labour out.
This is worrying.

Presumably it’s only worrying if you want to see a Labour government.

Casdon

For anybody who is a bit of a politics nerd, it’s worth signing up to the Sky Poll Tracker app. It is a running percentage, updated every week, of all election poll results.
news.sky.com/story/sky-news-poll-tracker-how-are-political-parties-performing-as-an-election-looms-12903488

I tried your link, Casdon. It takes me to the explanation of how their tracker works, but it's not showing me the actual tracker.

I was listening to a woman on the bus this morning and she spent almost an hour minutes denigrating the Conservative party. She railed against our local (Tory) MP who she described as a “useless waste of space” and complained about Rishi Sunak being out of touch and leading the most corrupt and dishonest government the UK has seen, she complained about how the NHS has been ruined, the police are underfunded etc. etc.

So I, and I suspect from the reaction most other listeners were too, was flabbergasted when she finally said she won’t enjoy voting Conservative this year, but it had to be done to keep labour out. The woman next to (not with) her pointed out that the local opposition are LibDems not Labour, at which point she said she would still have to vote Conservative because her dad would turn in his grave if she didn’t. She’d already said she’s 77 years old! 🤯

GSM It's worrying because despite being disillusioned by their party Tory voters will vote for them mostly
to keep Labour out.
I live in Wales where there is a Labour government and I won't be voting for them but it's almost certain that Labour will win here.

This is interesting from Statista. Voting intentions (as at this month) by age

www.statista.com/statistics/1379439/uk-election-polls-by-age/

There’s an interesting discussion on Twitter about whether voting Conservative/other right-wing party is linked to ageing, or whether it’s a result of age.

Given the 50+ cohort (in this survey and elsewhere) are not moving rightwards, and due to some other lifestyle data and persuasive viewpoints, I’m thinking it’s age, not ageing. Anyone agree or disagree?

And please don’t shoot the messenger; I don’t determine, or necessarily agree with, the wide 65+ cohort that is routinely used.

Let me re-phrase part of my previous post: the 50+ cohort are not as likely to vote for the right as the current 65+ cohort were when we were that age (generalisation because that’s how political polling works).

MaizieD

Labour intends to take us closer to the EU, Ug. Can you live with that?

I’m resigned to it now MaizieD. The Tories had their chance and blew it. I shall just go with the flow now with whatever Labour decides is best for me.

MaizieD

Casdon

For anybody who is a bit of a politics nerd, it’s worth signing up to the Sky Poll Tracker app. It is a running percentage, updated every week, of all election poll results.
news.sky.com/story/sky-news-poll-tracker-how-are-political-parties-performing-as-an-election-looms-12903488

I tried your link, Casdon. It takes me to the explanation of how their tracker works, but it's not showing me the actual tracker.

news.sky.com/topic/poll-7187
I think this one has the link, I downloaded it ages ago and I can’t find how I signed up, sorry.