I think they're going to split or go to the far right.
If they split, Reform will mop up the far right elements who have been in the driving seat since Johnson took over. Then, perhaps, they could rebuild a more centrist party with what is left.
But they're going to be demolished at the next GE and I wonder firstly, what will be left to work with and secondly, what will the defeated MPs, and would be MPs, who will have fought the GE do next? Will they continue as politicians/activists, looking for election to Parliament at some time, or will they go back to their old day jobs?
Thirdly, I'm curious as to what the people who will be or have been selected for the constituencies where current MPs are standing down are like. Are they far right or more centrist? We don't seem to have much of a centrist tendency among our current crop of tory MPs. Are there enough to revive the tory party along Street's sensible, traditional tory, lines?
Despite Braverman being convinced that the tories need to move even further to the right, Truss lurking in the background ready to rush in to help and the ever opportunistic Farage still on the scene I'm wondering how much appetite there actually is in the UK for a far right party. The far right has never managed to achieve much dominance in the UK during my lifetime. I think Thatcher was about the furthest right I can recall and she would, I think, be considered quite centrist in the current political climate.
I feel that Johnson and Cummings between them did a pretty comprehensive demolition job of the tory party as we have known it and it is questionable whether or not it can recover.