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Follow the Polls

(710 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:29:20

I am not sure if it will be possible over the next 42 days, but I thought it would be fun to try to see. How the polls perform after the various gaffs that the politicians will inevitably make.

Whilst the gap is huge at the moment, it will almost certainly close as the days go by.

I think I’ll use Politico (poll of polls)

GrannyGravy13 Tue 04-Jun-24 09:10:05

Whitewavemark2

Badenoch latest wheeze over sex identity was embarrassing.

Listening to her explanation, it became clear as she spoke that she didn’t understand what the implication of her policy would be. When the interviewer tried to explain she got really tetchy.

When questioned she just gets annoyed. I suppose that has worked for her before, but the voter won’t be fooled.

So I don’t think that will change the polls.

I saw her interviewed on ITV yesterday, this subject definitely needs to be addressed, as there is a constant drip drip of circumstances infiltrating everyday lives.

Sport in particular needs addressing before a young girl gets seriously injured or worse by a male identifying as female.

She was grilled by the interviewer and conducted herself well.

P.S. I am not a Ms, Badenoch fan, but hey ho some dislike just because of the colour of their rosette.

Whitewavemark2 Tue 04-Jun-24 08:56:57

Interesting to read foreign press who are talking about a centre left party miles ahead.

Starmer, it seems has achieved what he set out to achieve and taken the Labour Party firmly onto the centre.

Anniebach Tue 04-Jun-24 08:39:27

Polls ?

Whitewavemark2 Tue 04-Jun-24 08:21:24

Badenoch latest wheeze over sex identity was embarrassing.

Listening to her explanation, it became clear as she spoke that she didn’t understand what the implication of her policy would be. When the interviewer tried to explain she got really tetchy.

When questioned she just gets annoyed. I suppose that has worked for her before, but the voter won’t be fooled.

So I don’t think that will change the polls.

Siope Tue 04-Jun-24 08:13:47

Whitewavemark2

Only 8% of under 50s intend to vote Tory.

Blimey!

I guess ‘vote for us and get a free short back and sides’ wasn’t the cut-through to the youth vote they hoped for.

DiamondLily Tue 04-Jun-24 07:56:20

Even the Daily Mail seem to be losing the will to live, after yesterday’s polls putting Labour 24% ahead, and Farage making a lot of noise, as usual. They are calling it Rishi’s darkest hour.👏

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13490623/Rishis-Farage-No-10-Labour.html

growstuff Mon 03-Jun-24 22:42:18

Dickens That's happened to me three times. The e-consult system closes when there are no more appointments. I contacted 111, answered all the questions and was told to contact my GP today (even though they weren't emergencies). Each time I've written a letter marked "urgent" and I've received a response. The latest letter was headed the "latest instalment of the merry-go-round". Even the patient services co-ordinator (or whatever she's called) laughed about, but she did end up making me a future appointment, which is what I wanted in the first place.

If we want to start somewhere with improving the NHS, I would suggest re-evaluating the triage system, which the government is foisting on GP practices. Combine that with better education about minor injuries and self-limiting conditions. My opinion of the triage system is that it takes more patient and medical time for worse results (but does make more money for the providers of digital systems).

MaizieD Mon 03-Jun-24 20:52:01

I'm happy to see that I'm surrounded by a glorious sea of red, all recovered from the aberration of 2019. 😆

Whitewavemark2 Mon 03-Jun-24 18:57:15

Only 8% of under 50s intend to vote Tory.

Blimey!

Casdon Mon 03-Jun-24 18:09:22

Joseann

That's interesting. My seat is a light blue TossUp too. Currently Conservative, and I know Labour can't possibly win, so that must mean a likely Lib Dem grab.

That’s the downside of it, it doesn’t tell you who it’s a tossup between. I’m guessing my seat is Tory/LibDem too.

Joseann Mon 03-Jun-24 18:06:09

That's interesting. My seat is a light blue TossUp too. Currently Conservative, and I know Labour can't possibly win, so that must mean a likely Lib Dem grab.

Casdon Mon 03-Jun-24 17:57:35

If you click on the constituency it tells you what the prediction is. I found it works better on the YouGov site because the map is too small on the Sky News article. My constituency shows as light blue, I assume because it is a Tory seat now, but the prediction is tossup.

Whitewavemark2 Mon 03-Jun-24 17:53:37

So what do the pale blue areas indicate?

DiamondLily Mon 03-Jun-24 17:46:04

Whitewavemark2

Thank you diamondlily I can’t do links on this I-pad.

Perhaps Badenoch’s plan to protect biological sex will work😄😄.

Oh, I supplied it on my IPad. Weird. 🤷‍♀️

Pantglas2 Mon 03-Jun-24 17:41:14

Love that Casdon!

We’re on for Labour again which is par for the course - in my voting life (1974>) we’ve gone back and forth between red and blue with pretty good MPs of either colour truth be told.

Most of the time my vote counts for nowt - I’m proud owner of the claim I never voted for Thatcher or Blair!

Casdon Mon 03-Jun-24 17:31:50

Here it is. I’m excited, my seat is down as Tossup!
news.sky.com/story/labour-could-be-on-course-for-194-seat-commons-majority-yougov-poll-13147370

Whitewavemark2 Mon 03-Jun-24 08:00:53

Ah - that might tie in with some local newspapers reports I’ve seen talking about their seats. For example I think it was a Shropshire local reporting that their seats which at the moment are Tory will be labour after the election. Keep seeing reports like that.

Casdon Mon 03-Jun-24 07:44:43

This is coming at 5pm today, a seat by seat prediction based on an extensive YouGov poll. It will be interesting to see how it matches against the generic polls.
news.sky.com/story/general-election-live-uk-latest-politics-sunak-starmer-davey-economy-tax-immigration-tories-labour-lib-dems-12593360?postid=7763259#liveblog-body

Whitewavemark2 Mon 03-Jun-24 07:34:22

Thank you diamondlily I can’t do links on this I-pad.

Perhaps Badenoch’s plan to protect biological sex will work😄😄.

DiamondLily Mon 03-Jun-24 07:18:46

Today’s collated polls, BBC tracker:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-68079726

LizzieDrip Sun 02-Jun-24 16:37:15

I’m too nervous to predict anything

Me too WW! I just can’t let myself believe the polls … no matter how much I want to.

Whitewavemark2 Sun 02-Jun-24 14:45:09

I’m too nervous to predict anything. But I do think the figures the polls are showing are ridiculous.

Casdon Sun 02-Jun-24 12:39:45

I predict that the Lib Dem’s will do well, I think they will reach the predicted maximum number of seats the polls are suggesting.

Oreo Sun 02-Jun-24 12:37:54

We can all be political pundits and have a guess as to how things will go on the day.As polls can’t be truly trusted but give an indication the truth is likely to be somewhere in the middle.
I predict that Labour will win easily but not so much that it’s a total landslide.

Casdon Sun 02-Jun-24 11:39:11

Sir John Curtice agrees.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/cqllzg4wz5lo

It’s worth reading the headlines in the Daily Express, which portray an alternative UK, I think their columnists are on the happy pills.