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Follow the Polls

(709 Posts)
DiamondLily Thu 23-May-24 08:08:11

The most accurate polls, in recent years, have been by Sir John Curtice and Lord Ashcroft.

But, all of them are only as good as what people tell them.🙂

Casdon Thu 23-May-24 08:02:18

I can’t find an app for Politico Whitewavemark, that why I like the Sky one, because you don’t have to go via the website - I’m lazy. They should be pretty much the same in content though.
I’m hoping that there will be some seat specific polls to predict where big heads will roll. I also think we might see a rash of resignations over the next couple of weeks, from all parties, partly because this date seems to have caught a lot of people on the hop.

Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:54:56

So how to play this?

Perhaps only record on this thread what are considered by the media etc (that’s where the voter will largely see it) to be a gaff?

Or I suppose big impressive remarks will also make a difference, but I don’t expect there to be many of those😄.

V3ra Thu 23-May-24 07:50:28

I'm abroad now until just before the election

We fly out at 6am on July 4th, so we'll miss all the post-election coverage ✈️
(We have a postal vote beforehand).

Joseann Thu 23-May-24 07:39:29

the various gaffs that the politicians will inevitably makethe various gaffs that the politicians will inevitably make
Yes I'd like to follow that one!
I'm abroad now until just before the election, so all my information will be taken from GN! I know which party is likely to win. I've already made up my mind so I won't waste valuable holiday time.

Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:38:31

Casdon

Get the Sky Polltracker Whitewavemark, it’s a running summary of all the pollls, so it’s a more accurate picture than following one pollster. You can download it as an app from Sky News. It’s currently showing a 21 point lead for Labour.

So is politico, but we can do both or if you think Sky Tracker is better go with that. They only show trends anyway, so I’m cool with whatever we do.

I’ll just put up sky trackers as well.

Oh! I’ve had a look they are more or less the same.

So I’ll leave it for now and start say tomorrow if there is any movement.

Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:34:35

13/05

Labour. 44%

Tories. 23%

Reform. 13%

LibDem. 10%

Greens. 6%

SNP 2%

Plaid 1%

UKIP 1%

Casdon Thu 23-May-24 07:33:16

Get the Sky Polltracker Whitewavemark, it’s a running summary of all the pollls, so it’s a more accurate picture than following one pollster. You can download it as an app from Sky News. It’s currently showing a 21 point lead for Labour.

Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:29:20

I am not sure if it will be possible over the next 42 days, but I thought it would be fun to try to see. How the polls perform after the various gaffs that the politicians will inevitably make.

Whilst the gap is huge at the moment, it will almost certainly close as the days go by.

I think I’ll use Politico (poll of polls)