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Follow the Polls

(710 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Thu 23-May-24 07:29:20

I am not sure if it will be possible over the next 42 days, but I thought it would be fun to try to see. How the polls perform after the various gaffs that the politicians will inevitably make.

Whilst the gap is huge at the moment, it will almost certainly close as the days go by.

I think I’ll use Politico (poll of polls)

Casdon Sun 23-Jun-24 22:00:06

This is my favourite plan in their manifesto, although I like most of it.
‘Migration of Nets…..We will reduce net migration by making sure that any nets are secured more firmly to the ground.’
wink

Wyllow3 Sun 23-Jun-24 21:41:18

They are linked to monster loony party, Starmer has another one too in Holborn and St Pancras.
Nick the Incredible Flying Brick (The Official Monster Raving Loony Party)

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 21:23:26

Thanks Casdon, yes this has cheered me up👍

Unfortunately there are no Monster Raving Loony candidates in my neck of the woods, but I do like the sound of Incredible Flying Brick – Islington North. They’ll be up against Jeremy Corbyn; could be interestingsmile

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 21:14:30

Oh blimey LLFL - you could say out of the frying pan into the firegrin

Casdon Sun 23-Jun-24 20:35:13

And on a gloomy evening as the sun has gone in, this will cheer everybody up - the names of the Monster Raving Loony candidates.
www.loonyparty.com/4908/6863/our-loony-party-candidates/
I’m in Lady Lily the Pink territory, but I do like the sound of the Mid Sussex candidate, Farmin’ Lord F’tang!

Ladyleftfieldlover Sun 23-Jun-24 19:38:41

He’s fine thanks LizzieD. He left the Marines a few years ago, did a couple of degrees and now works in the intelligence and security sector in Westminster.

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 18:23:51

LLFLflowers

And I bet your son would never expect a fellow veteran to talk about his / her military service, particularly in public, and particularly when that service involves potentially sensitive information. I don’t know what Johnny Mercer was thinking about!

I hope your son is ok after his time serving his country.

Ladyleftfieldlover Sun 23-Jun-24 17:31:47

My elder son was a Royal Marine Commando and served in Afghanistan and Iraq. The only time he talked about his experiences on the front line was very briefly, in the car, when I picked him up from Brize Norton.

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 12:23:39

But he didn’t that is the point. Mercer knows full well that Thomas is unable to talk about his military record because of its sensitivity

Precisely WW.

Mercer has used the fact that Thomas is not allowed to go into detail about his military action, to say ‘oh well he’s lying about it then’.

From one veteran to another - so sadsad

Whitewavemark2 Sun 23-Jun-24 12:00:52

But he didn’t that is the point. Mercer knows full well that Thomas is unable to talk about his military record because of its sensitivity. Thomas happened to mention that he’d been in combat - which military person has not mentioned that!

Mercer then accused him of being a liar knowing full well that sensitive missions (SBS?) can never be mentioned, and took full advantage of that fact.

The man is a menace.

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 11:55:59

GG Mercer has accused the Labour candidate of more than ‘boasting’ about his military career. He’s accused him of lying about it!

GrannyGravy13 Sun 23-Jun-24 11:40:09

LizzieDrip

Yes Casdon I think the Lib Dem’s will benefit from a lot of tactical voting.

WW after you mentioning Johnny Mercer as your Portillo moment, I googled what he’s said (I hadn’t heard anything about it). It’s unforgivable. Isn’t Mercer a veteran himself? He should know better!

Boasting is never a nice trait, Mr.Mercer called the Labour candidate out for boasting about his service record.

All the forces and ex forces people I know never talk about their combat missions, due to them being harrowing.

Whitewavemark2 Sun 23-Jun-24 11:30:07

LizzieDrip

Yes Casdon I think the Lib Dem’s will benefit from a lot of tactical voting.

WW after you mentioning Johnny Mercer as your Portillo moment, I googled what he’s said (I hadn’t heard anything about it). It’s unforgivable. Isn’t Mercer a veteran himself? He should know better!

Yes it is dreadful, particularly that mercer himself is ex-military. He must know that the Labour candidate can’t talk about his military service ( i reckon he was in the SBS) and so felt able to accuse him of lying.

Why! Just why!

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 11:09:40

According to Adam Bolton (Sky News online):

if the Conservatives win this election the entire political polling industry should be shut down for being wrong and useless

Strong words indeed, but I agree with him. We’ll just have to wait and see🙈

LizzieDrip Sun 23-Jun-24 10:47:28

Yes Casdon I think the Lib Dem’s will benefit from a lot of tactical voting.

WW after you mentioning Johnny Mercer as your Portillo moment, I googled what he’s said (I hadn’t heard anything about it). It’s unforgivable. Isn’t Mercer a veteran himself? He should know better!

Iam64 Sun 23-Jun-24 08:27:53

Yes, it’s hard to listen to so many disillusioned people, many saying the won’t vote.

Casdon Sun 23-Jun-24 08:25:50

I think you’re right Iam64, I don’t think the majority will be as large as predicted, but I don’t think it will be just the Tories who benefit because the electorate is completely disillusioned. I’m still betting on the Lib Dem’s coming up on the rails.

Iam64 Sun 23-Jun-24 08:18:29

The polls may not have the majority correct but listen to any phone in, any audience at debates etc and the mistrust of the tories is loud and clear. People know what they’ve experienced and who is responsible

Whitewavemark2 Sun 23-Jun-24 07:55:14

Labour are saying that they reckon that the polls are wrong. Well, I don’t think that I disagree, but I do hope that they are not so wrong that in fact there will be a Tory majority.

If that is the case then I reckon they should be banned.

LizzieDrip Sat 22-Jun-24 22:10:49

Oo, I’d forgotten about Rees-Mogg and Truss. I’m adding them to my Portillo listgrin

Whitewavemark2 Sat 22-Jun-24 21:31:05

That made me grin - delightful.

Casdon Sat 22-Jun-24 21:15:43

That’s who I’m waiting for too Siope, he’s Beaker.

Siope Sat 22-Jun-24 21:07:56

I think I’m hanging out for Rees-Mogg. And I’ve read today that Truss might lose which would definitely be a Portillo moment.

Casdon Sat 22-Jun-24 20:40:47

The hair is the wrong colour, but you know who I mean.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=VnT7pT6zCcA

winterwhite Sat 22-Jun-24 20:36:36

My weathervane seat is Portsmouth North.

I’ve come across a poll site called Electoral Calculus. In addition to predictions it lists stats for each constituency plus something called ‘Tribe’ 😳. Godalming & Ash (Jeremy Hunt) is down as ‘Kind yuppy’…