Follow the Polls

Mamie

The interesting question is whether the loss of the Tory campaign director will make the campaign better or worse. 🤔

DH tells me that they have had to withdraw an advert for the party that involves a roulette wheel and mentions gambling. They really haven’t thought this through, have they.

Iam64

I agree Casdon. I see a police officer has been arrested and another employee suspended today. It’s shameful to bet in this way

Even more candidates are involved by the look of it. The you know what is hitting the fan.
news.sky.com/story/general-election-2024-sunak-starmer-conservatives-labour-reform-davey-lib-dem-12593360

The interesting question is whether the loss of the Tory campaign director will make the campaign better or worse. 🤔

I’m confident that they aren’t going to win however dirty they play it now - nobody believes what they say, so people will vote anything but - it’s game over.

Saatchi (speaking on the newsagents) saying that the Tories are losing because they are incompetent and cruel, and the only way that they can possibly turn it around is to play it totally dirty.

So they might have something waiting to come out in the last couple of weeks.

I have to admit that this made me laugh - supreme irony.
news.sky.com/story/general-election-2024-sunak-starmer-conservatives-labour-reform-davey-lib-dem-12593360?postid=7847033#liveblog-body

I'm not sure they have been blessed with a moral compass.

Some while ago I read that brain scan experiments were done where it was possible to tell whether the person was more likely to vote left or right in politics with fairly high degree of accuracy. Even the most innocent of words are interpreted differently.

Interesting, isn't it.

Sorry can't remember any source details but, if googled, I expect this can be found.

The Tories are involved with sleaze and allegedly insider trading.

They still haven’t learned.

What on earth will it take to make them behave with a moral compass firmly in place?

I agree Casdon. I see a police officer has been arrested and another employee suspended today. It’s shameful to bet in this way

Wow , just seen the Telegraph poll, what a Tory wipeout suggested!!

Changing the subject slightly, I think the people who were close to the action who made bets on the date of the election should all have the book thrown at them. It’s a real betrayal at the heart of government. I do feel very sorry for Sunak regarding this, it’s one trouble that should never be brought to the door of any PM.

I hope people vote

I doubt any party has a hidden vote but I think voter apathy and expectations that it's going to be Labour by a long chalk will reduce turn out (especially if it rains) and thus let a few Tories through beyond the poll predictions.

I thought at first glance this was the weather map for last week (cold) and next week (hot!)

Do enough people follow the polls for the predictions to make a significant difference to whether or not they vote?

I wonder if many people will have learned not to be complacent after the Brexit vote disaster?

Sunak on course (allegedly) to loose his seat.

What I think is that many people will either not bother to vote (labour dead cert) or perhaps vote green which they feel they can afford to do as the Tories “aren’t going to win”

I do think this is a real danger for Labour.

Amazing figures in the latest polls! My constituency is predicted as a strong Labour hold (I knew that anyway)👏👏👏

Another new poll from YouGov.
news.sky.com/story/tories-to-slump-to-lowest-number-of-seats-since-partys-formation-new-poll-projects-13155554
Look at the Lib Dems!

Just had a look. I do hope that people vote tactically. This gives you a good idea where to pt your vote if you want the Tories out.

Thanks

Very large Ipsos MRP poll just out, again you can look by constituency, my constituency is still a tossup.
www.ipsos.com/en-uk/ipsos-mrp-shows-labour-on-track-to-win-large-majority

Round here the Tories have/had a habit of putting out a strongly worded leaflet in the last few days, with some gross exaggeration or accusation that no one has time to reply to.
But they may not have the necessary local delivery networks any more so will have to reserve that for the likes of Godalming & Ash.

I’m 69 - will vote Labour.

DH is 73 - he’ll vote Labour.

I wonder if that is true of GN.

I’m 78 - will vote Labour.

Poll showing the age at which the majority would vote Tory has risen to 71!

Hopefully you’re right Casdon🤞