Casdon
Urmstongran
Casdon
Urmstongran
Maybe he’s standing against Yvette Cooper in her Leave voting marginal constituency!
I hope he does, she will trounce him. I suspect though that if he does stand it will be in a current Tory seat with a dodgy MP, as he’s got more chance of winning that than any red wall seat. I’d be surprised if he wins any seat though, he is, as keepingquiet said, a chancer.
Yvette Cooper has a very slim majority c.2k votes. Plus it was a Leave constituency and she was rubbishing those who voted for it. Put Farage in there to set the cat amongst the pigeons maybe as voters have long memories when they feel they’ve been diddled.
I know, but that was the 2019 election, the YouGov/Sky seat by seat poll coming out later today will I’m sure show she has increased her majority substantially. Hers is not a target seat for Reform, they are going for seats where UKIP did well in 2019, which is where there are suspect Tory MPs. With a big swing to Labour, going for seats which Labour already hold would be pointless.
Survation did a piece of work showing which seats they are most likely to win, although probably none.
www.survation.com/will-reform-uk-win-any-seats/
Just for completeness, if the poll is correct Yvette Cooper will get 54% of the total vote, and Reform will get 20% in her constituency.