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The opinion of the IFS on the parties’ manifestos

(71 Posts)
Germanshepherdsmum Mon 24-Jun-24 13:16:47

Doesn’t make for good reading.
ifs.org.uk/sites/default/files/2024-06/Paul%20Johnson%27s%20Opening%20Remarks.pdf

Germanshepherdsmum Tue 25-Jun-24 08:45:08

I deeply dislike his party and a number of his shadow ministers. I don’t see him as a strong leader. I am no more vitriolic about him and Labour in general than other posters are about Sunak and the Conservatives. Perhaps tell some of the Tory bashers and those who despise independent schools to be more open minded.

westendgirl Tue 25-Jun-24 08:40:28

Second sentence should start I know you wont as

westendgirl Tue 25-Jun-24 08:38:48

Yes Gsm I read the supplement from cover to cover and found the article about Keir Starmer good reading. I know you as you have already made up your mind about his future potential.
Can i suggest you try to be more open minded as your deep dislike of the man is spoiling your usually good posts.

Vintagewhine Tue 25-Jun-24 08:24:35

How many of the recent Conservative ministers had much experience of being an MP before being offered government posts? Keegan became an MP in 2017 and held a number of junior posts for five minutes before being given education. Every time there was a new PM she got promoted or demoted depending on who she'd supported not how competent she was. This is true of all the cabinet, in and out like a fiddler's elbow. BTW did you know she's married to the former UK head of Fujitsu? He was also a government advisor until quite recently. I'm not implying any wrong doing but it shows that the government had links with Fujitsu all through the post office enquiry.

NotSpaghetti Tue 25-Jun-24 07:41:08

maddyone - when Tony Blair's government won the election I felt it was yet another Tory. As a left-leaning person it seemed very sad that we had moved so far to the right. I have never liked him but realise that his emollient language was what got Labour "in". Once in, he did do some good things such as prioritise SureStart. Penny Mordaunt - No! Just no!

David49 Tue 25-Jun-24 07:20:54

Germanshepherdsmum

How many in the shadow cabinet have experience in government MayBee?

That’s just daft, how many in Blair's government had experience, in any case they have to follow existing commitments until changes are approved by parliament. Starmers policies in manifesto seem reasonable to me, more taxes for the wealthy are long overdue.

maddyone Mon 24-Jun-24 23:46:28

No problem Maybee, but yes, I think admire is a much more appropriate word. There have been a few politicians that I have admired but not many. The one I admire the most is Winston Churchill. I was constantly told by my mother how he saved Britain in WW2. Actually a lot of people saved Britain but he was certainly an inspirational leader at the time I think. The words that do always move me are the we will fight them on the beaches speech. I recently rewatched The Darkest Hour and it pretty much ends with that speech. I know everyone in the country used to huddle around the radio during the war (my mother told me that too) and listen to his speeches, and I’m sure they found him to be inspirational, which of course was what he needed them to be. He was very much an imperfect man, but he was a great leader.

There are a few others I admire or did admire. Tony Benn, Charles Kennedy (even though he did die of alcoholism) and Kenneth Clarke. There could be one or two others but I’d have to root around in my brain to find them. Generally I don’t really care for politicians and I just expect them to do their job.

I rather liked Tony Blair till he took us into two wars, and today I like Penny Mordaunt, but I think she’s very likely to lose her seat, which is sad because I think she’s a genuine person. I loved watching her carry that sword at the coronation. But Churchill definitely takes the prize in my book.

growstuff Mon 24-Jun-24 20:23:52

GrannySomerset

*westendgirl*, I think that Liverpool Blue Coat would challenge your assertion about which is the top performing co-ed secondary school in Liverpool. On whose judgement have you bases your statement?

"Top performing" and "outstanding" aren't the same thing. Liverpool Blue Coat is a selective school, so I would expect its exam results to be very good. Liverpool College has a comprehensive intake.

MayBee70 Mon 24-Jun-24 20:13:35

maddyone

^quite unashamedly adore some of them^

Goodness!
I don’t adore any politician and never have. What an extraordinary thing to say.

Apologies for being so pathetic then maddyone. I probably get more emotional about politics than some people and when a politician makes a great speech in parliament ( thinking of speeches by Chris Bryant, Jess Phillips, Chris Leslie ( sadly no longer an MP), Hilary Benn; going back a long way Robin Cooks resignation speech etc) I do adore them for publicly voicing just what I am thinking and feeling. Would you feel happier about it if I substituted the word admire: if so I’ll ask HQ to change what I’ve written. Or ask them to remove it as I’ve obviously, in your opinion, made a complete fool of myself.

GrannySomerset Mon 24-Jun-24 19:55:20

westendgirl, I think that Liverpool Blue Coat would challenge your assertion about which is the top performing co-ed secondary school in Liverpool. On whose judgement have you bases your statement?

Luckygirl3 Mon 24-Jun-24 19:50:53

Whitewavemark2

I don’t vote for crime, law breaking, corruption, cronyism or fraud, whatever the colour of the party.

Never have, never will

That about sums it up. When we reach a point where we no longer care about these things then we truly are jn a mess.

maddyone Mon 24-Jun-24 19:44:40

quite unashamedly adore some of them

Goodness!
I don’t adore any politician and never have. What an extraordinary thing to say.

Cossy Mon 24-Jun-24 19:41:09

MayBee70

Think I’d rather have Reeves as chancellor who at least has a background in the subject ( and Mark Carney think highly of her) than someone that wasn’t a particularly good health Secretary whose austerity cuts made us ill prepared for a pandemic. But the main problem with this Conservative government is that most of the good, decent experienced MP’s have gone and we’re left with the Bravermans, Patels etc. Plus a new intake ( if they get elected) of MP’s with no experience in government at all. The party is tired and fragmented. So it isn’t a case of better the devil we know because we won’t know many of them and those we do know of don’t exactly inspire confidence.

Completely agree.

keepingquiet Mon 24-Jun-24 19:30:40

When you point out Starmer's flaws I think about Boris Johnson... it isn't about image anymore, thank goodness.

MayBee70 Mon 24-Jun-24 19:25:58

Sparklefizz

I think GSMs judgment and common sense has been very good all along.

I was referring to the picture of Starmer. Have you seen and, if so do you agree that it’s a scared rabbit face? If not you don’t know if her judgement re the picture is correct or not. I await your reply with interest.

Sparklefizz Mon 24-Jun-24 19:22:48

I think GSMs judgment and common sense has been very good all along.

MayBee70 Mon 24-Jun-24 19:19:19

Germanshepherdsmum

westendgirl

This was in yesterdays Sunday Times."Schools hit by VAT rise could join state sector." Liverpool College converted to the State sector in 2013 , is seen as Liverpool's outstanding co-ed school and the head teacher said private school principals had been contacting the school to ask how they went about converting to the state sector. Interesting.

I'm surprised you didn't see this GSM (page 2) as you saw the article about Keir Starmer or at least a footnote .

ex

I haven’t yet read the ST. That’s for this evening. I looked through the ST supplement which had a long article about Starmer. Didn’t you notice that? His scared rabbit face was plastered all over the cover so you surely couldn’t have missed it?

Oh come on. I’ve read that article and he hasn’t got a scared rabbit face in that picture. Your hatred of him is clouding your judgement methinks sad

NotSpaghetti Mon 24-Jun-24 15:51:51

I am also wary of the IFS...

The issue is not that the conclusions of the IFS's studies are predictable and easily anticipated; it is that its studies are not always as objective as they claim. They often apply the wrong tools, and treat macroeconomic issues as if they were microeconomic. As Robert Chote, the former director of the IFS admitted: “they don’t do macro”.

By ignoring social, political and macroeconomic effects, IFS studies do not tell us whether a policy is a good idea, only whether "the numbers add up".

From: www.opendemocracy.net/en/oureconomy/we-need-talk-about-institute-fiscal-studies/

Germanshepherdsmum Mon 24-Jun-24 15:50:22

westendgirl

This was in yesterdays Sunday Times."Schools hit by VAT rise could join state sector." Liverpool College converted to the State sector in 2013 , is seen as Liverpool's outstanding co-ed school and the head teacher said private school principals had been contacting the school to ask how they went about converting to the state sector. Interesting.

I'm surprised you didn't see this GSM (page 2) as you saw the article about Keir Starmer or at least a footnote .

ex

I haven’t yet read the ST. That’s for this evening. I looked through the ST supplement which had a long article about Starmer. Didn’t you notice that? His scared rabbit face was plastered all over the cover so you surely couldn’t have missed it?

westendgirl Mon 24-Jun-24 15:48:29

Casdon, thank you, an excellent article, but how many of the anti labour brigade will read it . They should .

LizzieDrip Mon 24-Jun-24 15:47:16

Thanks Casdon for posting that informative article. It’s good to read fully informed facts.

choughdancer Mon 24-Jun-24 15:34:54

Well said MayBee70!

MayBee70 Mon 24-Jun-24 15:29:51

Thanks Casdon. It’s downright ridiculous the short amount of time some MP’s stayed in their cabinet positions in recent times. Imo Keir will have his cabinet up and running very quickly. I do hope Jess is in it. I know he said that he understood why she stood down but would welcome her back in the future.

Casdon Mon 24-Jun-24 15:18:54

MayBee70

Well, Labour haven’t been in power for 14 years have they. But they do have people that have been MP’s for a long time like Yvette Cooper, Hilary Benn, Stephen Kinnock, Angela Eagle, Stephen Timms ( who, if you remember, was stabbed a few years ago), Barry Gardiner, David Lammy Chris Bryant, Ed Milliband, Bill Esterson, Rachel Reeves, Alex Cunningham, Liz Kendall, Lisa Nandy, Dan Jarvis,Angela Raynor, Jess Phillips, Thangam Debbonaire, Margaret Greenwood, Tulip Siddiq (who worked tirelessly to obtain release Nazanin from prison)Peter Kyle, Wes Streeting, Rosena Allin Khan. I’d be quite happy to see any of those in the cabinet and quite unashamedly adore some of them! I could then throw in relative newbies like Darren Jones and Rosie Duffield. The Conservative MP’s that I do have respect for theses days I could probably count on the fingers of one hand.

It’s choke on your coffee time for some I fear.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/24/keir-starmer-labour-shadow-cabinet-government-tony-blair-gordon-brown

MayBee70 Mon 24-Jun-24 15:16:15

Well, Labour haven’t been in power for 14 years have they. But they do have people that have been MP’s for a long time like Yvette Cooper, Hilary Benn, Stephen Kinnock, Angela Eagle, Stephen Timms ( who, if you remember, was stabbed a few years ago), Barry Gardiner, David Lammy Chris Bryant, Ed Milliband, Bill Esterson, Rachel Reeves, Alex Cunningham, Liz Kendall, Lisa Nandy, Dan Jarvis,Angela Raynor, Jess Phillips, Thangam Debbonaire, Margaret Greenwood, Tulip Siddiq (who worked tirelessly to obtain release Nazanin from prison)Peter Kyle, Wes Streeting, Rosena Allin Khan. I’d be quite happy to see any of those in the cabinet and quite unashamedly adore some of them! I could then throw in relative newbies like Darren Jones and Rosie Duffield. The Conservative MP’s that I do have respect for theses days I could probably count on the fingers of one hand.