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Have the Conservatives signed their own death warrant?

(225 Posts)
M0nica Wed 09-Oct-24 16:33:43

The finl choice is between Jenrick and Badenoch, both Reformist Conservatives. Might suit the Conservative party membership, but what matters is nott he membership but the voter.

If you are to the right of the right, why not just vote Reform and get the real deal, but the majority of voters straddle the centre left/right and the Centre right will not vote for a right wing Reformist Conservative party.

Casdon Thu 10-Oct-24 12:47:37

growstuff

Lilyflower

Judging by the opprobrium generated in Labour supporters for the two Conservative leadership candidates, surely this implies the selection process was something of a success?

How do you work that out?

I think you could justifiably say that if there was support for one of the two chosen by all Tory Gransnetters, but that’s not the case?

growstuff Thu 10-Oct-24 12:40:17

Lilyflower

Judging by the opprobrium generated in Labour supporters for the two Conservative leadership candidates, surely this implies the selection process was something of a success?

How do you work that out?

Cumbrianmale56 Thu 10-Oct-24 12:34:23

Casdon

The winners here will be the Lib Dem’s for the disenfranchised Tory voters I think, not Reform. The acid test will be the by elections.

The Lib Dems probably will take votes from Conservatives who are wotried about their party moving to the Right. Ed Davey comes across as very decent and doesn't have the sleaze attached to him like leaders of the two main parties. I liked Charles Kennedy, who sadly died young.
The other thing both main parties have to look out for is Reform. A weak Tory leader will gift Reform votes from Brexit voting Tories and also disenchantment with Labour from their working class voters could see more votes for Reform. Where I live, Reform took 20% of the vote.

Lilyflower Thu 10-Oct-24 12:30:12

Judging by the opprobrium generated in Labour supporters for the two Conservative leadership candidates, surely this implies the selection process was something of a success?

winterwhite Thu 10-Oct-24 12:26:22

Not at all GFT2. Grieve, Stuart and others did not 'lose their seats', they were barred from standing in them by their local constituency parties being forbidden to select them. (So much for democratic votes, since you mention it 😂)

undines Thu 10-Oct-24 12:26:00

The 'tune' of Alli is his own vested interests which are quite probably many, varied and less than obvious. There is corruption all around. I do not believe Labour are any better than the Conservatives despite all the virtue signalling.

ronib Thu 10-Oct-24 12:24:43

MaizieD do you think so? I get the impression that no politician would ever please Richard North.
I am definitely warming towards the Lib Dems …. as the lesser evil.

MaizieD Thu 10-Oct-24 12:18:05

ronib

MaizieD and growstuff Ed Davey definitely fits ‘our own kind’ label. Starmer should but somehow doesn’t. Sunak well probably not but he’s past history. So bring it on Ed Davey 😀.

Goodness my, ronib. You're narrowing the 'our own kind' definition even further, you seem to be making it political as well as racist.😱 Of course Starmer fits the bill as defined by North.

ronib Thu 10-Oct-24 12:10:36

MaizieD and growstuff Ed Davey definitely fits ‘our own kind’ label. Starmer should but somehow doesn’t. Sunak well probably not but he’s past history. So bring it on Ed Davey 😀.

Sarnia Thu 10-Oct-24 12:03:20

Jenrick is yet another slippery politician so he will be right at home if he wins the Leadership race. He was very keen to rush through a friend's Westferry planning application a day before a change in the law would have resulted in his friend having to pay an eye-watering tax bill. E-mails and texts between the two showed they were dealing under the radar and hoping to distance themselves from each other in case questions were asked. Badenoch may be a loose cannon at times with what she says but I think, hope, she will be more honest than Jenrick, which should not be hard.

BevSec Thu 10-Oct-24 12:02:44

Doodledog, your posts are funny in a nice way. Love the anecdote about the lunch with your friends! I suppose that is why I am conservative, because I do believe in a small state as opposed to state interference but then I have always been capable, and do realise many need protecting. We all have our beliefs in the best way forward. I wonder if maybe the NHS does need dismantling in some way. France seems to have much better healthcare, maybe with people paying in a reasonable amount in exchange for better healthcare perhaps.

MaizieD Thu 10-Oct-24 12:01:10

On the other hand, Reform has picked up (and exploits) the disillusionment of people in former industrial areas and those who haven't been served well by the current educational systems and industrial strategies of the UK.

I don't think that Reform is any more 'concerned' about them than is Badenoch. I think you hit the nail on the head with 'exploits'.

Doodledog Thu 10-Oct-24 12:00:39

MaizieD

Cumbrianmale56

Record numbers of voters are choosing other parties than the main two and there is huge disillusionment with the two main parties. The Tories were worn out, had no new ideas and had a succession of shortlived leaders, but I had no time for Labour. They've actually proven themselves to be worse.

They've actually proven themselves to be worse.

If this was a measured judgement a year or two into the Labour administration with the country falling even further apart I might be inclined to agree with you.

As it is it's a tribute to the success (and hypocrisy) of the right wing media.

Quite.

growstuff Thu 10-Oct-24 11:49:52

Maizie You're right about Richard North. It's also why I wouldn't see Badenoch as a natural bedfellow with Reform. She's not the slightest bit concerned about so-called 'left behind voters' in the UK. I doubt she's even ventured far in the UK beyond Wimbledon and Westminster. She couldn't care less about equality, 'levelling up' or minority (including women's) issues. She comes from a middle-class, highly educated family and was educated at one of the best private schools in Nigeria. Her father was considered to be a political 'elder'. In Nigeria, politics isn't really based on class or wealth - it's mainly tribal/sectarian. It's also socially conservative and every man/woman for him/herself.

On the other hand, Reform has picked up (and exploits) the disillusionment of people in former industrial areas and those who haven't been served well by the current educational systems and industrial strategies of the UK. Badenoch would just see them as losers.

Fleurpepper Thu 10-Oct-24 11:45:00

FriedGreenTomatoes2

Fleurpepper

Grantanow

The Tory talent pool has been whittled down - first by the Buffoon getting rid of some of the most intelligent Tory MPs and second by the electorate voting many out. So they are left with a very limited talent pool.

Exactly this. I have never voted Cons, but we are from a very Conservative voting family and have many excellent friends who are too. There was some amazing talent in the Cons Party- but all gone now, kicked out or left. People I did not agree with but with intelligence and integrity, and I could respect. Top of the list Dominic Grieve, Rory Stuart, but so many more.

Eek!
I was glad they were voted out. Lost their seats.
Good riddance - riding roughshod over a democratic vote (Brexit).
Glad Anna Soubry was ousted too.

Oh yes, Anna- very much on that list.

Surely by now, you must KNOW, without any doubt whatsoever, that this so-called 'democratic' vote was nothing of the sort, as agreed with the Electoral Commission.

MaizieD Thu 10-Oct-24 11:37:44

Cumbrianmale56

Record numbers of voters are choosing other parties than the main two and there is huge disillusionment with the two main parties. The Tories were worn out, had no new ideas and had a succession of shortlived leaders, but I had no time for Labour. They've actually proven themselves to be worse.

They've actually proven themselves to be worse.

If this was a measured judgement a year or two into the Labour administration with the country falling even further apart I might be inclined to agree with you.

As it is it's a tribute to the success (and hypocrisy) of the right wing media.

GrannyGravy13 Thu 10-Oct-24 11:36:57

Casdon

The winners here will be the Lib Dem’s for the disenfranchised Tory voters I think, not Reform. The acid test will be the by elections.

This disenfranchised Conservative could never vote Lib Dem in a GE.

If /when our current MP (Conservative) stands down I doubt I will vote in another GE.

I will continue to vote in local and county elections though.

MaizieD Thu 10-Oct-24 11:28:35

ronib

The blog Turbulent Times today takes a very different approach. It suggests that Badenoch is biased in favour of Nigeria and basically how about a potential pm from a proper British family. I sort of gulped when reading this.

Aaah, Turbulent Times... Richard North, founder member of UKIP who fell out with Farage when he swanned up and took it over...

What he actually says is this:

In fact, I would prefer it public office in the UK was limited to those who were British citizens by birth, born to parents who were also British citizens by birth. As a nation, I take the view that we are entitled to a parliament and a government run by our own kind.

One can almost nod along with it until the last sentence... I think we know what he means by 'our own kind'

I'd point out that we do have a PM from a 'proper British family' as defined by North but North isn't too keen on him..

In fact, from my experience of North (whose earlier blog about Brexit I followed for a while back in 2016/17, I get the impression that he isn't too keen on anyone...😁

www.turbulenttimes.co.uk/news/front-page/politics-the-only-possible-candidate/

Casdon Thu 10-Oct-24 11:02:00

The winners here will be the Lib Dem’s for the disenfranchised Tory voters I think, not Reform. The acid test will be the by elections.

Cumbrianmale56 Thu 10-Oct-24 10:52:26

Record numbers of voters are choosing other parties than the main two and there is huge disillusionment with the two main parties. The Tories were worn out, had no new ideas and had a succession of shortlived leaders, but I had no time for Labour. They've actually proven themselves to be worse.

Wyllow3 Thu 10-Oct-24 10:52:08

ronib

The blog Turbulent Times today takes a very different approach. It suggests that Badenoch is biased in favour of Nigeria and basically how about a potential pm from a proper British family. I sort of gulped when reading this.

It is a big gulp.

I don't know if it will come into play.

FriedGreenTomatoes2 Thu 10-Oct-24 10:48:40

Fleurpepper

Grantanow

The Tory talent pool has been whittled down - first by the Buffoon getting rid of some of the most intelligent Tory MPs and second by the electorate voting many out. So they are left with a very limited talent pool.

Exactly this. I have never voted Cons, but we are from a very Conservative voting family and have many excellent friends who are too. There was some amazing talent in the Cons Party- but all gone now, kicked out or left. People I did not agree with but with intelligence and integrity, and I could respect. Top of the list Dominic Grieve, Rory Stuart, but so many more.

Eek!
I was glad they were voted out. Lost their seats.
Good riddance - riding roughshod over a democratic vote (Brexit).
Glad Anna Soubry was ousted too.

NotSpaghetti Thu 10-Oct-24 10:48:12

Good point Casdon - most people forget the early days of Blair.

Wyllow3 Thu 10-Oct-24 10:48:02

Good post Doodledog. As things stand I have little idea how the candidates stand on social issues.

BigBertha1 Thu 10-Oct-24 10:44:39

I'm with you 'Trueloveways' very amusing in a dark way.