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Governments First Budget

(565 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Wed 30-Oct-24 07:55:04

We won’t know too much until we can read tomorrows analysis , but we do know of this government’s intended direction of travel, and whether it meets with our expectations as voters and what we all voted for, which of course changes with each individual.

My vote and expectation was for

First and foremost to save our NHS and crumbling public services.

Second was to address the state of our environment, the polluted seas and rivers, and the lack of diversity.

Next -to address the fact that economic growth has been more or less stagnant since 2010. We need a Keynesian type budget for growth, that is imaginative and forward thinking to produce the revenue to invest in out country.

Personally I have never thought it possible to have this type of successful economy where citizens can be confident of a cradle to grave welfare state, where education is first class, health is free at the point of use and available within a very reasonable time limit, where public services are well run and invested in and care for all in need comes as a right, can be obtained by the tax payer on the cheap. This type of economy must be paid for and we will need to see tax at Scandinavian levels in order to achieve this.

Looking at the state the country is in, we knew in July that this would be a mighty task. Mighty tasks need research/planning and massive effort. They always start painfully slowly but momentum will gather as each year passes and we will gradually see the result of the effort put in to save our country from the ravages of 14 long years of economic blows our public services received.

Of course the right wing media - childlike - is insisting on jam today without spending any of their pocket money, but as wise parents we know that all jam does is rot your teeth. Instant gratification is only for the hard of thinking, the more intelligent know that time is the master.

So now looking back at the few short months Labour has been in government, i am pretty supportive of the direction of travel, and the achievements to date - which probably need listing to remind everyone - but not for this thread.

Some stuff has been announced but I think it best until we begin to see how it fits into the overall picture before we begin to comment.

It looks as if this is going to be a massive budget though - so hold onto your hats!

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:35:25

Rosie51

growstuff The figures were a quote (c&p) from the piece you linked, I didn't make them up.

Well as long as we can all expect to live another 15 years after age 70 that's fine, not much chance of getting caught out. Maybe the state pension age should be raised even higher if 70 is considered young!

No, we can't all expect to live for 15 years beyond 70 (some people die before 70) - it's an average - some people will live for much longer than 15 years.

I think you should read the piece again.

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:36:19

David49

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

So what sort of income do you think a 500 acre farm would generate?

I agree that 200 acres is more a hobby farm than a profitable farm enterprise, but there's a lot of diversification at that level, surely?

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:37:30

ronib

LD well actually HM Inspectors of Tax know quite a lot too. They are paid a fraction of £5 million for their efforts.
90 per cent tax bands surely need to be reintroduced when this country is on its knees?

What are you on about?

Are you claiming that Dan Neidle doesn't understand tax? I don't really care how he made his money, so long as it was legal and he paid his own taxes.

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:40:58

MaizieD

David49

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

So what sort of income do you think a 500 acre farm would generate?

I agree that 200 acres is more a hobby farm than a profitable farm enterprise, but there's a lot of diversification at that level, surely?

Well, that's my understanding too. If a £6 million farm can only make £20k profit, something is going very wrong. Quite honestly, the farmer might as well sell up and invest the money in high street savings account and not even bother about IHT.

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:41:29

growstuff what am I on about? Rachael Reeves has done a great job of targeting poor people and has left the highest paid completely untouched by a tax raid. It’s quite obvious to me if no one else!

FriedGreenTomatoes2 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:44:20

Paul Johnson, the IFS director, accused the Government of playing “silly games” with the finances, under which officials “pencil in implausibly low spending increases for the future in order to make the fiscal arithmetic balance”.

He warned: “I am willing to bet a substantial sum that day-to-day public service spending will in fact increase more quickly than supposedly planned after next year.”

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 09:46:43

Yep, she’s targeted poor people by increasing the minimum wage, and ‘left the highest alone’ by increasing IHT, CGT and introducing VAT on private educationconfused

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:46:57

I have just seen this, as it is from a farmer I wouldn’t be so presumptuous to say he is wrong.

^A 500 ac farm worth £5m with past APR relief had no IHT liability now incurs a liability of 20% on £4m, a £800k bill, amortised over 25 years at 8% has an annual repayment of £75.2k.
That won’t work financially.
Who’s going to break the news to their children who want to farm?^

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 09:49:58

… oh, forgot stamp duty increase on 2nd homes - that’s left the highest paid ‘completely untouched’ as well.

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:51:48

LizzieDrip

Yep, she’s targeted poor people by increasing the minimum wage, and ‘left the highest alone’ by increasing IHT, CGT and introducing VAT on private educationconfused

I am guessing that there are a fair few small businesses with over five employees who will not get relief on extra NI, along with having to pay employees more will in all probability close.

Not every small to medium business makes enormous profits, a fair few are just about keeping their heads above water.

More people on the dole, empty business premises, higher prices for all.

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:53:03

ronib

growstuff what am I on about? Rachael Reeves has done a great job of targeting poor people and has left the highest paid completely untouched by a tax raid. It’s quite obvious to me if no one else!

ronib If she's done such a grand job of targeting poor people, how come (apart from WFP) the budget hasn't affected me directly in any way? (That's not to say I won't eventually be affected indirectly.)

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:54:08

LizzieDrip

… oh, forgot stamp duty increase on 2nd homes - that’s left the highest paid ‘completely untouched’ as well.

Only if they sell them.

The so called mega rich have already got their tax accountants beavering away in order to mitigate some if not all of these extra taxes.

This budget is and will hit those who have saved for retirement, invested in a rental instead of a pension pot.

The U.K. will be the only country in Europe to charge VAT on education, not something to boast about is it?

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:56:19

LD you do realise that tax lawyers make millions from advising clients on tax evasion?

Rosie51 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:57:40

growstuff If a £6 million farm can only make £20k profit, something is going very wrong. Quite honestly, the farmer might as well sell up and invest the money in high street savings account and not even bother about IHT.

I've missed this, who has said a £6million farm can only make £20k profit? A link would be good.

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 10:04:18

The U.K. will be the only country in Europe to charge VAT on education, not something to boast about is it?

VAT is being charged on education businesses. Education shouldn't be a profit taking exercise.

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 10:09:47

This budget is and will hit those who have saved for retirement, invested in a rental instead of a pension pot

In what way will it hit them? Genuine question.

As I’m not a 2nd home owner I haven’t drilled down into this aspect of the budget. Perhaps those with greater knowledge in this area can inform me.

Allira Fri 01-Nov-24 10:11:06

MaizieD

David49

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

So what sort of income do you think a 500 acre farm would generate?

I agree that 200 acres is more a hobby farm than a profitable farm enterprise, but there's a lot of diversification at that level, surely?

Why would 200 acres be a hobby farm?

Many productive farms are less than 200 acres, or about 70 hectares you prefer, many fruit farms may be less than that.

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 10:11:29

MaizieD

^The U.K. will be the only country in Europe to charge VAT on education, not something to boast about is it?^

VAT is being charged on education businesses. Education shouldn't be a profit taking exercise.

Play on words MaizieD

VAT is being charged on school fees for those who chose not to go down the conventional route of state education, this is a tax on education.

Education business aren’t Academies run as businesses?

Allira Fri 01-Nov-24 10:14:01

Perhaps the Government considers farmers to be in the category of Landowners rather than Working People.

🤔

V3ra Fri 01-Nov-24 10:14:13

GrannyGravy13

LizzieDrip

… oh, forgot stamp duty increase on 2nd homes - that’s left the highest paid ‘completely untouched’ as well.

Only if they sell them.

Stamp duty is paid when you purchase a property.

We completed on the purchase of our "second home," ie retirement flat, last month. We're glad we missed the increase!
(We're anything but "highest paid.")

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 10:14:56

LizzieDrip

^This budget is and will hit those who have saved for retirement, invested in a rental instead of a pension pot^

In what way will it hit them? Genuine question.

As I’m not a 2nd home owner I haven’t drilled down into this aspect of the budget. Perhaps those with greater knowledge in this area can inform me.

I know folks who have opted to invest in one or two properties to rent as opposed to investing in a pension plan, shares etc.,

With the higher stamp duty this will make them think twice about future purchases along with the added CGT when they come to sell their existing property/ies

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 10:15:53

Allira

Perhaps the Government considers farmers to be in the category of Landowners rather than Working People.

🤔

I think you are correct 👍

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 10:28:20

Thanks GG.

I’ll keep my views to myself about people who own 2 or 3 properties to be used as a cash cow.

Allira Fri 01-Nov-24 10:29:54

GrannyGravy13

Allira

Perhaps the Government considers farmers to be in the category of Landowners rather than Working People.

🤔

I think you are correct 👍

What has that to do with farming?

🤔

Allira Fri 01-Nov-24 10:35:03

One angry farmer in Scotland has many questions for what he calls the "metropolitan elite" in this government: One is - how does farming fit in with Angela Rayner's proposed four day working week?