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Governments First Budget

(565 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Wed 30-Oct-24 07:55:04

We won’t know too much until we can read tomorrows analysis , but we do know of this government’s intended direction of travel, and whether it meets with our expectations as voters and what we all voted for, which of course changes with each individual.

My vote and expectation was for

First and foremost to save our NHS and crumbling public services.

Second was to address the state of our environment, the polluted seas and rivers, and the lack of diversity.

Next -to address the fact that economic growth has been more or less stagnant since 2010. We need a Keynesian type budget for growth, that is imaginative and forward thinking to produce the revenue to invest in out country.

Personally I have never thought it possible to have this type of successful economy where citizens can be confident of a cradle to grave welfare state, where education is first class, health is free at the point of use and available within a very reasonable time limit, where public services are well run and invested in and care for all in need comes as a right, can be obtained by the tax payer on the cheap. This type of economy must be paid for and we will need to see tax at Scandinavian levels in order to achieve this.

Looking at the state the country is in, we knew in July that this would be a mighty task. Mighty tasks need research/planning and massive effort. They always start painfully slowly but momentum will gather as each year passes and we will gradually see the result of the effort put in to save our country from the ravages of 14 long years of economic blows our public services received.

Of course the right wing media - childlike - is insisting on jam today without spending any of their pocket money, but as wise parents we know that all jam does is rot your teeth. Instant gratification is only for the hard of thinking, the more intelligent know that time is the master.

So now looking back at the few short months Labour has been in government, i am pretty supportive of the direction of travel, and the achievements to date - which probably need listing to remind everyone - but not for this thread.

Some stuff has been announced but I think it best until we begin to see how it fits into the overall picture before we begin to comment.

It looks as if this is going to be a massive budget though - so hold onto your hats!

Rosie51 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:57:40

growstuff If a £6 million farm can only make £20k profit, something is going very wrong. Quite honestly, the farmer might as well sell up and invest the money in high street savings account and not even bother about IHT.

I've missed this, who has said a £6million farm can only make £20k profit? A link would be good.

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:56:19

LD you do realise that tax lawyers make millions from advising clients on tax evasion?

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:54:08

LizzieDrip

… oh, forgot stamp duty increase on 2nd homes - that’s left the highest paid ‘completely untouched’ as well.

Only if they sell them.

The so called mega rich have already got their tax accountants beavering away in order to mitigate some if not all of these extra taxes.

This budget is and will hit those who have saved for retirement, invested in a rental instead of a pension pot.

The U.K. will be the only country in Europe to charge VAT on education, not something to boast about is it?

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:53:03

ronib

growstuff what am I on about? Rachael Reeves has done a great job of targeting poor people and has left the highest paid completely untouched by a tax raid. It’s quite obvious to me if no one else!

ronib If she's done such a grand job of targeting poor people, how come (apart from WFP) the budget hasn't affected me directly in any way? (That's not to say I won't eventually be affected indirectly.)

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:51:48

LizzieDrip

Yep, she’s targeted poor people by increasing the minimum wage, and ‘left the highest alone’ by increasing IHT, CGT and introducing VAT on private educationconfused

I am guessing that there are a fair few small businesses with over five employees who will not get relief on extra NI, along with having to pay employees more will in all probability close.

Not every small to medium business makes enormous profits, a fair few are just about keeping their heads above water.

More people on the dole, empty business premises, higher prices for all.

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 09:49:58

… oh, forgot stamp duty increase on 2nd homes - that’s left the highest paid ‘completely untouched’ as well.

GrannyGravy13 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:46:57

I have just seen this, as it is from a farmer I wouldn’t be so presumptuous to say he is wrong.

^A 500 ac farm worth £5m with past APR relief had no IHT liability now incurs a liability of 20% on £4m, a £800k bill, amortised over 25 years at 8% has an annual repayment of £75.2k.
That won’t work financially.
Who’s going to break the news to their children who want to farm?^

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 09:46:43

Yep, she’s targeted poor people by increasing the minimum wage, and ‘left the highest alone’ by increasing IHT, CGT and introducing VAT on private educationconfused

FriedGreenTomatoes2 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:44:20

Paul Johnson, the IFS director, accused the Government of playing “silly games” with the finances, under which officials “pencil in implausibly low spending increases for the future in order to make the fiscal arithmetic balance”.

He warned: “I am willing to bet a substantial sum that day-to-day public service spending will in fact increase more quickly than supposedly planned after next year.”

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:41:29

growstuff what am I on about? Rachael Reeves has done a great job of targeting poor people and has left the highest paid completely untouched by a tax raid. It’s quite obvious to me if no one else!

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:40:58

MaizieD

David49

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

So what sort of income do you think a 500 acre farm would generate?

I agree that 200 acres is more a hobby farm than a profitable farm enterprise, but there's a lot of diversification at that level, surely?

Well, that's my understanding too. If a £6 million farm can only make £20k profit, something is going very wrong. Quite honestly, the farmer might as well sell up and invest the money in high street savings account and not even bother about IHT.

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:37:30

ronib

LD well actually HM Inspectors of Tax know quite a lot too. They are paid a fraction of £5 million for their efforts.
90 per cent tax bands surely need to be reintroduced when this country is on its knees?

What are you on about?

Are you claiming that Dan Neidle doesn't understand tax? I don't really care how he made his money, so long as it was legal and he paid his own taxes.

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:36:19

David49

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

So what sort of income do you think a 500 acre farm would generate?

I agree that 200 acres is more a hobby farm than a profitable farm enterprise, but there's a lot of diversification at that level, surely?

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:35:25

Rosie51

growstuff The figures were a quote (c&p) from the piece you linked, I didn't make them up.

Well as long as we can all expect to live another 15 years after age 70 that's fine, not much chance of getting caught out. Maybe the state pension age should be raised even higher if 70 is considered young!

No, we can't all expect to live for 15 years beyond 70 (some people die before 70) - it's an average - some people will live for much longer than 15 years.

I think you should read the piece again.

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:34:16

MaizieD The o/p is about the government’s first budget. My comment is not irrelevant.

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:32:19

LD well actually HM Inspectors of Tax know quite a lot too. They are paid a fraction of £5 million for their efforts.
90 per cent tax bands surely need to be reintroduced when this country is on its knees?

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:31:41

ronib

MaizieD The main thrust of the government is to raise taxes. It needs to broaden its remit to include the ridiculously paid partners in top law firms. She doesn’t seem inclined to take them on.
£5 million a year amounts to what kind of tax bill?

It's still irrelevant.

LizzieDrip Fri 01-Nov-24 09:29:02

Dan Neidle, “described by taxation law specialist Jolyon Maugham[5] and tax publication ITR[6] as possibly the UK's leading tax lawyer”.

Isn’t it great that some GN posters appear to know more about IHT than him!

But, I suppose if his expert knowledge doesn’t fit your chosen narrative…

ronib Fri 01-Nov-24 09:21:36

MaizieD The main thrust of the government is to raise taxes. It needs to broaden its remit to include the ridiculously paid partners in top law firms. She doesn’t seem inclined to take them on.
£5 million a year amounts to what kind of tax bill?

David49 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:21:19

growstuff

Interesting thread by Dan Neidle about IHT on small farms:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1851956384167776598.html

The figures are misleading because the value under 500k are not commercial farms, it’s been decades since a living can be made from 40acres on a lowland farm. It represents retired farmer who have sold off land over the years and paid CGT on that sale or gifted land previously.

To be commercial 200 acres might be profitable if it’s very intensive, growing crops 500 acres is needed to survive. So the capital there is £6m at current values. IHT on that is substantial, if property has to be sold CGT is payable, add to that sale costs over 30% of value is lost and the reduction in acreage makes the farm uneconomic.

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:19:54

growstuff The figures were a quote (c&p) from the piece you linked, I didn't make them up.

Nothing wrong with the original figures, Rosie51. You just forgot to factor in the 'paid over 10 years' bit.

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:17:25

ronib

Rosie51 Dan Neidle ex Clifford Chance partner on mega bucks before he took early retirement. Rachael Reeves could find rich pickings in this group?

I never cease to be amazed at your ability to introduce irrelevancy to a discussion, ronib. Neidle was a high powered tax lawyer. Exactly the person to know what he is talking about.

What he earned has nothing to do with farmers and IHT

Rosie51 Fri 01-Nov-24 09:16:54

growstuff The figures were a quote (c&p) from the piece you linked, I didn't make them up.

Well as long as we can all expect to live another 15 years after age 70 that's fine, not much chance of getting caught out. Maybe the state pension age should be raised even higher if 70 is considered young!

MaizieD Fri 01-Nov-24 09:12:17

£20,000 over 10 years is, unless my maths is wrong, £2,000 per year, so not an entire year's profit.

I realise that small farms aren't particularly profitable, and the loss of the EU farm payments hasn't helped, but it should be do-able.

growstuff Fri 01-Nov-24 09:08:17

ronib

Rosie51 Dan Neidle ex Clifford Chance partner on mega bucks before he took early retirement. Rachael Reeves could find rich pickings in this group?

Yes, he was earning megabucks, which is why he knows a thing or two about taxation.