Key points in Budget
National insurance
Employees will not pay more directly, Reeves says, but she will raise employers’ national insurance contributions by 1.2 percentage points to 15% from April 2025.
The government will also reduce a secondary threshold when contributions are due from £9,100 to £5,000.
Those measures will raise £25bn a year by the end of the forecast period, the biggest single tax raising measure in the budget.
Income tax
Reeves says the government will increase personal tax thresholds on income tax and national insurance in line with inflation from 2028-29, something that had been floated as a possibility. This avoids dragging people into higher tax bands.
Capital gains and inheritance tax
Capital gains tax will be increased. The lower rate will be raised from 10% to 18%, and the higher rate from 20% to 24%. There will, however, be no increase on the 18% and 24% capital gains rate imposed on the sale second homes.
The government will extend a freeze on the threshold for inheritance tax to 2030, allowing £325,000 to be inherited tax free. From 2027 inherited pension pots will also be subject to the tax.
Reliefs will be reformed for business and agricultural assets. After £1m, those assets will attract inheritance tax of 20%.
The minimum wage
Reeves confirms that the “national living wage”, the legal minimum for over-21s, will increase by 6.7% to £12.21, equivalent to £1,400 a year for an eligible full-time worker.
There will be a single-adult rate phased in over time to eventually equalise pay for under-21s.
Tobacco and alcohol
The government will implement a levy on vapes, which will be increased in line with tobacco.
Tobacco taxes will rise by 2% above retail prices index (RPI) measure of inflation for the rest of this parliament, and tax on hand-rolling tobacco will increase by 10%.
Taxes on alcohol will rise in line with the RPI, but Reeves announces a cut in draught duty by 1.7%, which she says is a penny off a pint in the pub.
Fuel duty
Reeves says increasing fuel duty next year would be wrong, so she extends the freeze for a year and maintains the last government’s 5p cut.
Fuel duty was frozen between 2011 and 2022, and cut by 5p in March 2022 after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
Private school fees
VAT will be brought in on private school fees from January 2025.
Schools and education
Reeves says the Department for Education will receive £6.7bn of capital investment, a 19% real-terms increase. That includes £1.4bn to rebuild more than 500 schools in the greatest need.
The schools budget will increase by £2.3bn to support the hiring of teachers.
There will be £2.1bn for school maintenance, a £300m increase.
Reeves announces a £1bn increase in funding for special educational needs.
There will be another £300m for higher education.
NHS
Reeves promises a 10-year plan for the NHS in the spring, targeting 2% productivity growth next year.
She announces a £22.6bn increase in the day-to-day health budget, and £3.1bn increase in the capital budget. That includes £1bn for repairs and upgrades, and £1.5bn for new beds in hospitals and testing capacity.
Housing
The government will spend £5bn on housing investment in 2025-26, including increasing the supply of affordable housing.
The government will reduce right-to-buy discounts, and local governments will retain the earnings from council housing sales to allow them to reinvest.
The government will hire “hundreds of new planning officers” to accelerate housebuilding.
Transport
Reeves commits to the Transpennine Route Upgrade, improving capacity at Manchester Victoria and electrifying the Wigan to Bolton route. She also promises to support east-west rail links between Oxford and Cambridge.
Reeves confirms the government will fund tunnelling of HS2 to London Euston.
There will be a £500m increase in the roads budget next year to target potholes.
Energy
Reeves announces £3.4bn for the warm homes plan to upgrade buildings, lowering energy bills.
The government will fund Great British Energy, a new body to be based in Aberdeen.
Public spending
There will be a 1.5% increase in real spending on government departments, and 1.7% when including capital spending.
Defence
Reeves announces a £2.9bn increase in military spending next year, as well as funding for second world war commemorations next year.
Local government
There will be £1.3bn for additional grant funding for local government, including £600m for social care.
Greater Manchester and the West Midlands will get integrated settlements next year, allowing them to take more control of their spending.
Public investment
Reeves says more public investment is needed in the UK. A new rule will target debt falling as a share of the economy. She confirms that debt will be measured as public sector net financial liabilities, recognising benefits from investments.
The rule will apply in 2029-30, and then net financial debt will fall by the third year of every forecast.
There will be regular reports on government investments from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
She says the government will invest £1bn in aerospace, £2bn in automotive to support electric vehicles, and £500m for life sciences.
Government research and development spending will reach £20.4bn in 2025-26, including £6.1bn in sectors such as engineering, biotechnology and medical science.
Planes and private jets
Air passenger duty will increase by up to £2 for each economy short-haul flight, Reeves says.
Private jets will attract an extra 50% air passenger duty, up to £450 per passenger for a flight.
Business taxes and non-doms
The government will introduce permanently lower business rates for retail, hospitality and leisure businesses from 2026-27. Until then they will receive 40% relief on business rates up to a cap of £110,000.
Employment allowance will be increased from £5,000 to £10,500, reducing national insurance for smaller businesses.
Taxes on carried interest, generally paid by private equity managers, will rise from 28% to 32% from April.
Reeves confirms the oil profits levy will be increased to 38% and extended.
The concept of non-domicile residents will be abolished from April.
Compensation schemes
Reeves says the government will compensate victims of the infected blood scandal with £11.8bn, and there will be another £1.8bn for victims of the Post Office Horizon IT scandal.
Other measures
Reeves says the government will raise £6.5bn through targeting tax avoidance, including by umbrella companies.
OBR
Reeves says Labour inherited a £22bn “black hole” with allegedly unfunded pledges by the Conservative government.
The OBR, the government’s budget watchdog, has published a review saying that the previous government did not disclose details of spending. Those details would have made forecasts materially different, Reeves says.
Reeves says the government will implement 10 recommendations from the OBR’s review.
nflation and growth forecasts
The chancellor will maintain the Bank of England’s 2% target for inflation.
Inflation will average 2.5% in 2024, rising to 2.6% in 2025, before gradually dropping to 2% in 2029, according to OBR forecasts. Inflation was at 1.7% in September, below the Bank of England’s 2% target, and down from 11% in October 2022.
The OBR slightly upgrades its growth forecast for this year and next, but adjusts them down in later years. GDP growth is forecast to be 1.1% in 2024, then 2%, 1.8%, 1.5%, 1.5%, and 1.6% in 2030, Reeves says. At the spring budget under the then Conservative chancellor Jeremy Hunt the OBR had forecast 0.8% growth this year, 1.9% in 2025, and 2% in 2026.
Government borrowing
Reeves announces new rules to not borrow for day-to-day spending. The current budget will be balanced within three years of forecasts.
The government will run a deficit of £26.2bn in 2026, but will achieve a surplus of £10.9bn in 2027-28, £9.3bn in 2028-29 and £9.9bn in 2029-30.
Public sector net debt will fall from £127bn in 2024-25, falling gradually to £70.6bn by 2029-20.”
This was a massive amount to take in, and I think that it will take a few days for the full details and implications to emerge.