Inaccurate weather forecasting

ferry23

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

I have every sympathy for those so badly affected by the bad weather, we are often battered more than inland areas here on the coast and I know what devastation can be caused.

I was making an observation about the forecasting and my surprise that it was so wrong for this region. That's all. Not wishing bad fortune to others.

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

There can't be many jobs where you can get paid vast amounts of money to get things so wrong.

🤔

Well, our forecast was fairly accurate. We had heavy snow in the early hours of Saturday morning, which persisted til mid day and then turned to rain. Snow had all gone by this morning, just as forecast (BBC) .

Today has been very mild with light wind, as forecast, and tomorrow we are expecting winds of up to 50mph over the morning, dying down at lunch time. I

'll let you know how it goes...😆

P.S we were frozen solid all last week. Also as forecast...

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

I have every sympathy for those so badly affected by the bad weather, we are often battered more than inland areas here on the coast and I know what devastation can be caused.

I was making an observation about the forecasting and my surprise that it was so wrong for this region. That's all. Not wishing bad fortune to others.

Oldbat1

Well they were spot on here! Luckily outdoor christmas markets were cancelled so folk were safe. Christmas light switch on celebrations were cancelled too. RNLI were issuing warnings so coastal areas were avoided. Further up towards the hills which attracts many hillwalkers the snow was deep visibility poor so Mountain Rescue groups werent put at risk.. The rivers in local town caused flooding of car parks but cars had been moved. The weather warnings were on the whole heeded.

Yes, there were warnings here which have proved to be correct.

A river running down a road which we travelled on Friday in bright sunshine, which is on high ground away from rivers.

Water pouring down roads like rivers.

A town centre not far away having to be evacuated due to the High Street being flooded - I've never heard of that happening there before.

mae13

ferry23: weather forecasting and clairvoyancy/fortune-telling are the two certain professions I can think of that you can't possibly sue for giving misleading information because they are essentially unpredictable. They inhabit worlds that may/may not exist and can be neither proved nor disproved.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

Do you know anything at all about meteorology?

Well they were spot on here! Luckily outdoor christmas markets were cancelled so folk were safe. Christmas light switch on celebrations were cancelled too. RNLI were issuing warnings so coastal areas were avoided. Further up towards the hills which attracts many hillwalkers the snow was deep visibility poor so Mountain Rescue groups werent put at risk.. The rivers in local town caused flooding of car parks but cars had been moved. The weather warnings were on the whole heeded.

ferry23: weather forecasting and clairvoyancy/fortune-telling are the two certain professions I can think of that you can't possibly sue for giving misleading information because they are essentially unpredictable. They inhabit worlds that may/may not exist and can be neither proved nor disproved.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

I’m 10 miles inland from the Dorset coast and the BBC weather app has been accurate. Storm Bert, preceded by snow and ice, has lived up to expectations. It looks a though the wind is calming down a bit, but we still have heavy rain, as forecast.

I've heard a number of forecasters say that it is almost impossible to accurately forecast more than a few hours in advance. All it takes is for the wind to suddenly veer or drop and people who weren't expecting it get drenched or flooded while those who prepared get very little.

Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
A very good adage, karmalady.

It's still raining, very breezy and dark out there.

Allira

People have died, houses flooded, devastation in many parts of the country.

Yes, I would say the warnings were well-advised.

yes absolutely right Allira

Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. You seem to be moaning ferry23 because you never had it as bad as predicted, oh dear. You should actually be grateful

The South/South-West forecasts have been pretty accurate, from snow to sunshine to storms, rainfall and tearing winds.
Still pouring rain, glad i live many feet above sea-level, despite the extra wind.

People have died, houses flooded, devastation in many parts of the country.

Yes, I would say the warnings were well-advised.

Our regional weather forecast is usually pretty accurate.

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/24/storm-bert-batters-britain-bringing-flooding-and-power-cuts

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14117635/Storm-Bert-victim-man-dies-car-spins-road-airports-close.html

Be thankful if you have escaped the devastation.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgdewxwj8xo

I think we have your terrible weather in the West country, ferry23.
Yesterday got worse and the wind and rain battering on the window woke me up this morning.

The wind's died down now but it's still raining and dark.

I have just read the forecast for this week in The Telegraph. Apparently by the end of this week our weather will either be dominated by low pressure, or high pressure.

Do not start me on this ssubject. The day I see a weather forecasr that gets it right, I will probably die of shock.

I’ve never rated the BBC forecasts, I use AccuWeather who are generally spot on.

I blame mother nature- not the forecasters. I think in a world where we think we have an illusion of 'control' I find it refershing that we still have no 'control' over the weather or its whims.

Here in the South West the wind and rain forecast has been very accurate. We’d be very happy if it hadn’t been, incredibly rough out there. I do understand the frustration around needlessly cancelled events though.

Well ours has been exactly as they said it will be so they got the eastern coast right I guess there’s always going to be pockets or areas that buck the trend They seem to be more right than wrong in our area