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Inaccurate weather forecasting

(49 Posts)
Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 20:43:55

ferry23

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

I have every sympathy for those so badly affected by the bad weather, we are often battered more than inland areas here on the coast and I know what devastation can be caused.

I was making an observation about the forecasting and my surprise that it was so wrong for this region. That's all. Not wishing bad fortune to others.

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

There can't be many jobs where you can get paid vast amounts of money to get things so wrong.

🤔

MaizieD Sun 24-Nov-24 20:34:52

Well, our forecast was fairly accurate. We had heavy snow in the early hours of Saturday morning, which persisted til mid day and then turned to rain. Snow had all gone by this morning, just as forecast (BBC) .

Today has been very mild with light wind, as forecast, and tomorrow we are expecting winds of up to 50mph over the morning, dying down at lunch time. I

'll let you know how it goes...😆

P.S we were frozen solid all last week. Also as forecast...

ferry23 Sun 24-Nov-24 17:40:25

Oh really! Do NOT accuse me of moaning about not having the bad weather - how childish.

I have every sympathy for those so badly affected by the bad weather, we are often battered more than inland areas here on the coast and I know what devastation can be caused.

I was making an observation about the forecasting and my surprise that it was so wrong for this region. That's all. Not wishing bad fortune to others.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 17:32:20

Oldbat1

Well they were spot on here! Luckily outdoor christmas markets were cancelled so folk were safe. Christmas light switch on celebrations were cancelled too. RNLI were issuing warnings so coastal areas were avoided. Further up towards the hills which attracts many hillwalkers the snow was deep visibility poor so Mountain Rescue groups werent put at risk.. The rivers in local town caused flooding of car parks but cars had been moved. The weather warnings were on the whole heeded.

Yes, there were warnings here which have proved to be correct.

A river running down a road which we travelled on Friday in bright sunshine, which is on high ground away from rivers.

Water pouring down roads like rivers.

A town centre not far away having to be evacuated due to the High Street being flooded - I've never heard of that happening there before.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 17:10:08

mae13

ferry23: weather forecasting and clairvoyancy/fortune-telling are the two certain professions I can think of that you can't possibly sue for giving misleading information because they are essentially unpredictable. They inhabit worlds that may/may not exist and can be neither proved nor disproved.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

Do you know anything at all about meteorology?

Oldbat1 Sun 24-Nov-24 17:07:42

Well they were spot on here! Luckily outdoor christmas markets were cancelled so folk were safe. Christmas light switch on celebrations were cancelled too. RNLI were issuing warnings so coastal areas were avoided. Further up towards the hills which attracts many hillwalkers the snow was deep visibility poor so Mountain Rescue groups werent put at risk.. The rivers in local town caused flooding of car parks but cars had been moved. The weather warnings were on the whole heeded.

mae13 Sun 24-Nov-24 14:38:27

ferry23: weather forecasting and clairvoyancy/fortune-telling are the two certain professions I can think of that you can't possibly sue for giving misleading information because they are essentially unpredictable. They inhabit worlds that may/may not exist and can be neither proved nor disproved.

Both jobs involve conjuring up a load of waffly hot-air and getting paid for it.

Delila Sun 24-Nov-24 14:18:06

I’m 10 miles inland from the Dorset coast and the BBC weather app has been accurate. Storm Bert, preceded by snow and ice, has lived up to expectations. It looks a though the wind is calming down a bit, but we still have heavy rain, as forecast.

AreWeThereYet Sun 24-Nov-24 14:08:32

I've heard a number of forecasters say that it is almost impossible to accurately forecast more than a few hours in advance. All it takes is for the wind to suddenly veer or drop and people who weren't expecting it get drenched or flooded while those who prepared get very little.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 14:02:36

Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
A very good adage, karmalady.

It's still raining, very breezy and dark out there.

karmalady Sun 24-Nov-24 12:51:05

Allira

People have died, houses flooded, devastation in many parts of the country.

Yes, I would say the warnings were well-advised.

yes absolutely right Allira

Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. You seem to be moaning ferry23 because you never had it as bad as predicted, oh dear. You should actually be grateful

eazybee Sun 24-Nov-24 12:48:34

The South/South-West forecasts have been pretty accurate, from snow to sunshine to storms, rainfall and tearing winds.
Still pouring rain, glad i live many feet above sea-level, despite the extra wind.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 12:44:27

People have died, houses flooded, devastation in many parts of the country.

Yes, I would say the warnings were well-advised.

Calendargirl Sun 24-Nov-24 12:42:46

Our regional weather forecast is usually pretty accurate.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 12:42:12

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/nov/24/storm-bert-batters-britain-bringing-flooding-and-power-cuts

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14117635/Storm-Bert-victim-man-dies-car-spins-road-airports-close.html

Be thankful if you have escaped the devastation.

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 12:38:53

www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgdewxwj8xo

Allira Sun 24-Nov-24 12:36:00

I think we have your terrible weather in the West country, ferry23.
Yesterday got worse and the wind and rain battering on the window woke me up this morning.

The wind's died down now but it's still raining and dark.

joannapiano Sun 24-Nov-24 12:33:57

I have just read the forecast for this week in The Telegraph. Apparently by the end of this week our weather will either be dominated by low pressure, or high pressure.

M0nica Sun 24-Nov-24 12:32:00

Do not start me on this ssubject. The day I see a weather forecasr that gets it right, I will probably die of shock.

Jaxjacky Sun 24-Nov-24 10:07:02

I’ve never rated the BBC forecasts, I use AccuWeather who are generally spot on.

keepingquiet Sun 24-Nov-24 09:16:53

I blame mother nature- not the forecasters. I think in a world where we think we have an illusion of 'control' I find it refershing that we still have no 'control' over the weather or its whims.

cornergran Sun 24-Nov-24 08:33:23

Here in the South West the wind and rain forecast has been very accurate. We’d be very happy if it hadn’t been, incredibly rough out there. I do understand the frustration around needlessly cancelled events though.

BlueBelle Sun 24-Nov-24 08:23:51

Well ours has been exactly as they said it will be so they got the eastern coast right I guess there’s always going to be pockets or areas that buck the trend They seem to be more right than wrong in our area

ferry23 Sun 24-Nov-24 08:20:26

I'm on the SE coast and whilst we weren't expecting quite so much of a battering as other parts of the country, the outlook was pretty grim for the whole weekend.

Fb was full of notifications of cancelled Christmas events, and efforts of organisers to try and move everything into an indoor space if there were any available. I know how much time and effort goes into organising these events and I felt so sorry for all those volunteers.

Yesterday was a bit wet and blowy, but nothing that would have prevented you going out. Today is lovely, the sun is shining and there's barely a breeze. Lots of blue sky.

The BBC weather forecast now tells me it's going to be like this all day - despite right up until late yesterday afternoon showing heavy rain all day and strong winds.

I accept that weather forecasting isn't an exact science but how can they get it SO wrong? All those events cancelled for no reason. sad.

There can't be many jobs where you can get paid vast amounts of money to get things so wrong.