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"lf Farage succeeds in destroying the Torieswe are doomed to perpetual Left-wing rule" (Telegraph headline)

(43 Posts)
Casdon Tue 31-Dec-24 08:38:25

Monica, I think it’s a case of getting the most controversial plans implemented at the beginning of the term. They haven’t got the implementation right in a number of elements, but that’s a different issue to act first think later, because the plans are deliberate and are happening.

M0nica Tue 31-Dec-24 08:32:22

So often it is not what you do, but the way that you do it.

And this is the problem with this government. They act first and think later. The removal of WFA was a disaster because it came out of the blue, without preparation or thought, and while better off pensioners can just shrug the loss of it off, those whose living standards, health and peace of mind depended on it, those whose income is just above pension credit level suddenly had a significant tranche of their income taken away, right at the start of winter, when it was most needed. Those affected had no chance to plan or prepare for less money for heating this winter.

The same with the tax on agricultural assets. Yes, there was good reason to remove it from the wealthiest estate owners, who will have already taken avoidance measures, but for small farm estates, or even some tenant farmers, the result could be disastrous, Breaking up small farms into unviably small parcels of land will do nothing to help new entrants into farming. The land will be sold to adjacent big estates or for housing - and how will that help new entrants into agriculture - assuming there are many.

The average age of farmers in the UK is 60, and this is not a British phenomena. From Kenya to Japan, the average age of farmers is around 60. The majority of young people, even in rural area do not want to work in agriculture. This new measure exacerbate the situation

Another case of act first, think later.

I find Spabbygirls callous dismissal of all those most seriously affected by the loss of the WFA and the agricultural assets tax quite troubling. Essentially she is saying 'I do not give a toss about the poor, as long as we tax the rich' Is this how Labour thinks? They should have told us.

Whitewavemark2 Tue 31-Dec-24 03:29:46

I’m not saying that it does, because isn’t it a description of what happens to money flow and not a full blown economic theory?

It has nothing to say about much global economic activity, which is why I find it so unsatisfactory.

One major reason I find it wanting is that it doesn’t take into account the globalisation of money, and the ability of major players, like international hedge funds, global bond markets and powerful currencies like the dollar to influence sovereign currencies.

I think that it needs to speak more to what sovereign currencies can do within a global market, rather than focusing on a state as an entity. So as an example, yes I think it certainly speaks to government and public spending through its bank. But I dont see that private capital from outside of this system is very well accounted for. Musk is a recent example where private capital from outside of the U.K. governments influence is being introduced- and this is happening all the time by different players outside of any government influence.

Sorry to go on. I will stop now😊

MaizieD Mon 30-Dec-24 21:52:04

Whitewavemark2

Yes that’s right, but not as some suggest that the pot is bottomless. That would cause inflationary headaches.

Nobody who understands how sovereign currency financing works suggests that the pit is bottomless.

spabbygirl Mon 30-Dec-24 21:31:35

Boz

I am disappointed to see Labour pursue Tribal grievances:

Hit the Pensioners (Usually Tory) with removal of WFA.

Hit the Private Schools .

Hit the Farmers - usually County and Tory.

I agree with those 3 policies, loads of people don't need the WFA, but maybe they should have stopped it at those whose income is in the higher tax bracket. But it does stop the right wing press saying Labour spend too much on benefits.

It's way over time when private schools should pay their way. People pay £40k for Eton, it's a great idea for that VAT to go to state schools. Countries that don't have private schools have great state schools so I'm told.

I think it's great that farmers will pay some inheritance tax, independent experts say it will only be 6-700 a year max. Round here we have various toffs hugely wealthy & paying little tax and imposing large housing estates on us which the locals don't want to earn themselves vast sums from companies that are based in tax havens.

It'll democratise the country if farmers sell off some land and stop it fetching inflated prices that keep out those who'd like to farm.

I love that Labour have stopped the Rights of Way grab the Tories planned, we should have access to the country via rights of way

Whitewavemark2 Mon 30-Dec-24 20:04:20

I read that the outlook for growth is improving.

“A majority of UK businesses expect a positive start to 2025, according to two economic confidence surveys that show managers planning for growth after a difficult period.
About 70% of UK businesses expect their turnover to increase over the next year, up from 62% in December 2023. Meanwhile, 73% are confident of greater profitability, according to research from the high street bank Lloyds.

Hann-Ju Ho, a senior economist at Lloyds, said: “It is exciting to see that businesses have ambitious plans for next year and are confident of growth. Overall, businesses have responded well to the changing external environment. While the economic outlook has been challenging, the steps firms are taking to grow should put them in a strong position for success in 2025.”
The survey by Lloyds, which polls 1,200 businesses monthly and aims to provide early signals on UK economic trends, was mirrored by research into expectations in the financial sector, a key driver of the economy. Seven in 10 financial services bosses said they were confident the government’s plans would drive growth and competitiveness in the sector during 2025, according to data collated by the accounting group KPMG.”

Guardian.

Whitewavemark2 Mon 30-Dec-24 19:59:27

Yes that’s right, but not as some suggest that the pot is bottomless. That would cause inflationary headaches.

MaizieD Mon 30-Dec-24 18:38:15

Whitewavemark2

? Inflation

Only if there is nothing for the government to spend its 'overdraft' on. As there is clearly masses on which it could be spent I wouldn't have any worries about inflation.

I might be a bit worried about effective government procurement, e.g contractors making inflated charges. But that would be a problem wherever the money came from.

I haven't quite worked out how Biden financed his Inflation Reduction Act, but spending extra money into the US economy was certainly successful...

Visgir1 Mon 30-Dec-24 18:23:13

The Times reported the opposite yesterday.

Whitewavemark2 Mon 30-Dec-24 18:02:40

? Inflation

MaizieD Mon 30-Dec-24 16:53:46

Notagranyet24

Boz

I am disappointed to see Labour pursue Tribal grievances:

Hit the Pensioners (Usually Tory) with removal of WFA.

Hit the Private Schools .

Hit the Farmers - usually County and Tory.

Where would you suggest they get the funds needed to put the country back on its feet?

Well.

They could borrow the funds from the Bank of England (a bank which the government just happens to own) at a low rate of interest for an indefinite length of time.

As the BoE is well used to creating money out of thin air for various governments (for the GFC, for holding up the value of the £ after Brexit vote and to finance the covid pandemic) I can't see it being a problem.

Then the money spent on righting all our wrongs will create lots of jobs, sustain lots of businesses and enhance direct and indirect tax revenue.

Will they do that? of course not...

Notagranyet24 Mon 30-Dec-24 16:11:45

Boz

I am disappointed to see Labour pursue Tribal grievances:

Hit the Pensioners (Usually Tory) with removal of WFA.

Hit the Private Schools .

Hit the Farmers - usually County and Tory.

Where would you suggest they get the funds needed to put the country back on its feet?

Wyllow3 Mon 30-Dec-24 13:47:02

I don't think it's anything to do with "Tribal Grievances" in some kind of revenge way as you suggest. Far more complicated.

So is the Telegraph now backing Farage?

Boz Mon 30-Dec-24 13:31:13

I am disappointed to see Labour pursue Tribal grievances:

Hit the Pensioners (Usually Tory) with removal of WFA.

Hit the Private Schools .

Hit the Farmers - usually County and Tory.

Notagranyet24 Mon 30-Dec-24 13:03:01

Ilovecheese

I look forward to the "left wing rule" beginning. When is it supposed to start?

Me too!!! Tory rag scaremong!

Ilovecheese Mon 30-Dec-24 12:40:54

I look forward to the "left wing rule" beginning. When is it supposed to start?

Cossy Mon 30-Dec-24 12:39:53

Can’t even think that far ahead! I’ll just take each day at a time and see where that takes us all.

PoliticsNerd Mon 30-Dec-24 12:37:15

I suppose someone must love, or at least like, Annabel Denham. On brand, in the Telegraph, her piece is headlined "lf Farage succeeds in destroying the Tories we are doomed to perpetual Left-wing rule".

This seems to be either describing their fear that a) Farage Limited could wipe out the Tories and b) that Farage Limited still could not win.

This could, of course be attempted manipulation of Telegraph readers rather than or in addition to fear that this iteration of the far-right is doomed but either way it's interesting.

Personally I think Farage Limited will just move the Tories further to the right - and Labour will be judged on 5 years not 5 months in an election. You, and I, then get our choice.