What Europe thinks of a new Trump administration
As Donald Trump takes the oath in Washington, most European leaders, even as they clamour to congratulate the new president, will be anxiously buckling up for a bumpy four years.
A Kamala Harris victory would have been a win for the status quo but instead Europe is bracing for a second Trump term that threatens to be every bit as tumultuous and combustible as his first.
There is uncertainty over the unpredictable Mr Trump’s plans to end the war in Ukraine. He expects Europe to pay much more for its own, and Ukraine’s, defence, and reportedly wants European armies to police a demilitarised zone in post-ceasefire Ukraine.
There are concerns over the possible consequences for Europe if he pursues a trade war with China. Europe is also in Mr Trump’s tariff crosshairs because he believes countries like Germany have got rich off trade surpluses with the US.
Mr Trump’s plans for the Middle East, Iran and international agreements on issues such as climate change will weigh on European minds, as old world governments struggle to stay relevant as the US tilt to the Indo-Pacific intensifies.
European leaders, including Keir Starmer, have been discussing how to tame Trump, who diplomatic sources stress is a “transactional” leader who can be negotiated with. They have been echoing Trump’s talking points on defence spending, while warning Russia won’t negotiate peace in Ukraine if Washington cuts off arms supplies to Kyiv.
Not all leaders regard a Trump presidency with dread. Hungary’s nationalist leader Viktor Orban is overjoyed. Meanwhile Italy’s hard Right Prime Minister Georgia Meloni, who is attending the inauguration, is expected to be Europe’s “Trump-whisperer”, thanks to her friendship with Mr Trump and Elon Musk.”