There is little anyone can do to prevent the decrease in people following the Christian faith unless we want to return to the (first) Elizabethan or Jacobean eras when people were finded for not attending church. We live in an age of enlightment, science and freedom of thought.
In the 2021 census for England and Wales:
• 27.5 million people described themselves as Christian, a decrease from 33.3 million ten years before.
• 22.2 million said they had no religion up from 14.1 million ten years before.
3.9 million said they were Muslim up from 2.7 million ten years before.
1 million said they were Hindu up from 818,000 then years before.
* The census question is voluntary. 6% of people didn’t answer it.
The population in England and Wales rose by 11 million over the ten years to 2021 from 56 to 67 million. The number of births and deaths tend to be the same at around 600,000 each every year so cancel one another out. In other words, population growth has been driven by migration. However recent reports say that migration is predicted to reduce rather dramatically.
Meantime, the number of deaths is predicted to rise as baby boomers come to the end of their lives. The birth rate in those years was up to 300,000 a year more than it is now.
ONS predict a population of around 72 million by 2031.
If the population rose by 11 million over ten years but there were only 1.2 million more Muslims then who were the other 9.8 million? Is Goodwin alleging that there are many Muslims not declaring themselves as such?
There are no official numbers after that. The Muslim Council of Great Britain estimates that Muslims comprise 6% of the population.
Goodwin’s theories seem predicated on the notion that white Britons do not have as many children as those from ethnic minorities.
I can find no evidence for this. Follow the link to the ONS table here which has data up to 2024/25 and select Table 1.
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/adhocs/3212numberoflivebirthsbyparitysexandethnicityofthebabyenglandandwalesbirthsregistered2021to2025adjustedforfinancialyearsapril2021tomarch2025
The total live births (not shown but I summed them) were 537,422. 411,498 were to White British mothers.
Look at column 3 for the number of previously live born children. Each ethnic group is divided into whether it's a first second or third child. Prsumably larger familes are in that last grouping.
This table doesn’t scream that people from ethnic minorities are generally having more children.
It's always better to get data from the ONS, the people whose job it is to collect and analyse it rather than to believe the scaremongering of a bitter man miffed because he was beaten by a young, white, working-class woman in a by-election.
My favourite cartoon from that edition of Private Eye was: Plumber Hannah stops the cock.
I'm reminded of the wonderful Clive James and his poem, The Book of My Enemy Has Been Remaindered. I predict Goodwin's will be selling for a £1 in The Works very soon.