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Thanks Wyllow for bringing the thread back to Burnham.
Replying to Lemon Jam’s post at 8:25
You only have to read posts on Gransnet to understand how unpopular [Starmer] has become.
I would never regard GN as an accurate barometer of public opinion simply because it is a very small platform with a demographic of mostly older women. It’s a demographic which traditionally favours the right as has been evidenced here by the repeated anti-Labour threads and remarks. It started on the very same day Labour won the election and hasn’t let up despite the very good things that Labour has achieved to date, not least rebuilding bridges with Europe that it predecessors and other opponents did their best to tear down.
Other social media has far more people showing support for Starmer (and thankfully there are some here too).
Labour lost the May 2010 General Election so Burnham's tenure ended and the Conservatives reversed many of his policies.
And that is precisely the danger if Burnham turns his back on Manchester right now, leaving it exposed to Reform in the hope (and it is by no means certain) that he could win a by-election to get back into Westminster to stage a coup. Presumably he would want a Manchester constituency. I wouldn’t say any of them are a slam dunk in these febrile times.
www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/area_nwest.html
If, as Wyllow says, there is a different manifesto developing which is more left of centre than surely that’s a matter for Conference which is only six months away. We are not far off summer recess now.
One of the criticisms of Starmer (c/f a very interesting discussion between Andrew Marr and Tom McTague on the New Statesman podcast some months back) is that change is happening too slowly and too conservatively under his leadership, that change needs to be happening faster and really should do with such a large house majority.
Nevertheless Parliamentary procedure is a slow horse. I’m thankful that we don’t have a system where much can be changed on a whim by executive orders as we see in happening the USA. Even if it's tried (through secondary legislation) there are still some checks and balances.
I agree that Gransnet is not an accurate barometer, just one barometer. I also said that it won't be Gransnetters that decide Starmer's fate after the May elections- I posted regardless of Gransnetter's views, it would be Labour MPs and/or the Conservative Party that may propose a no confidence vote.
Burnham has been a successful GM Mayor for many years, elected three times. Firstly in May 2017, secondly in May 21 and three years later in May 24. It's reported that he has worked towards and has now found a credible successor if and when he leaves. Greater Manchester residents may well be happy with said credible successor and speculation that it will left "exposed" may not come to pass. Burnham's successor way well go on to win a further term in the next Mayoral election that may take place in May 2027.
I don't share your view that anyone choosing to leave one job to seek another after many years service is "turning their back" on those that they previously served. The expectation that a person must stay in a job, even after many years and not be able to choose their own career moves doesn't sit well with me. To find a credible successor seems fairly responsible to me. Burnham does not seek to leave serving Labour voters or the L party, he seeks to leave one role to continue to serve in another role and has been open and transparent with his party. Unlike others that have defected from one party to another surrepetiously.
I agree it is by no means certain Burnham would win a bye election. It appears that is the risk he is willing to take and it will be up to the public whether they vote for him as their preferred candidate.
I have not set out in any of my posts to undermine Starmer. Starmer's position is as it is; he has his detractors and supporters and may or may not face a no confidence vote, irrespective of Burnham I have also posted.
I am also thankful we in the UK have a government with more checks and balances on executive power that in the US.