Gracey
Strange OP.
The voters of Clacton voted for Farage, as was their democratic right.
Should we see the voters of Makerfield as stupid for choosing Burnham?
Why would someone vote twice for an MP who doesn’t care about them? Only they know.
Nobody knows how many did.
The total electorate of Clacton is 79,785.
In 2024, 21,225 people voted for Farage. On Thursday, 22,230 voted for him, an increase in raw votes of only 1,014.
It could be that a completely different lot of people voted for him this time. I’m joking, of course, but the reality is that he will have lost some supporters and gained others.
Clacton has an elderly population, much higher than the national average. General voting statistics show that around 60% of elderly people vote either Tory or Reform.
Official demographic estimates for Tendring record approximately 2,264 deaths over a one year tracking period say 5,000 over two years. The law of averages means some Reform voters from 2024 will have died.
In 2024, 12,820 people voted Tory. Where has their vote gone? Have any transferred their allegiance to Reform?
That only 28% of the Clacton electorate voted for Farage isn’t a ringing endorsement and he knows it despite all the hyperbole.
The real test will be if there's another by-election as a result of the investigation and the Tories put up a strong candidate. We shall see.
I think we need to get away from saying “the people want this” and “the people say that” or "the voters want this or that" when, in so many cases, only a minority do.
Our FPTP voting system doesn't work in a multi party democracy and we need to get rid of it. Had we had PR, then the major parties would not have ignored this by-election and nor would Farage have wanted it.