I think climate change has had a very great effect on the ice cover, Nellie, and it is likely to have an even greater effect in the near future - with devastating results far away from the Poles, too. The earth is not a series of separate compartments but a unified whole. The climate in one region affects all the rest.
I did a Futurelearn course on this, and I shall try to remember enough of it to make sense!
The interaction of different mechanisms over centuries and millenia keep the temperature more or less constant and comfortable, but with cycles due to the different mechanisms each having their own cycles. There are long cycles of how near the earth is to the sun over time, how active volcanoes are, and how active the sun is, and short ones of which bit of the earth is getting more sunlight at any one time of year, plus the effect of ocean currents and winds. That is all natural and has been going on ever since the earth began. The sum total of all the natural cycles is calculated to predict that we should at the moment be in a colder period, not the warmer wetter windier one we are experiencing.
The other very strong natural influence is the effect of the atmosphere and the amounts of the various gases and water vapour it contains. This has also gone on for millenia too, but human activity of all kinds has led to more of the"wrong" gases and more water vapour.
Some gases reflect back more of the extra heat which would otherwise disperse into space Water vapour forms clouds, which wrap the earth like a blanket and reflect back even more heat.
More heat means that more Arctic ice is lost in the annual summer melt (and Antarctic ice in their summer) and it doesn't reform so fast in the winter. Less ice means that less sunlight is reflected back up from its shiny surface and the winds blowing over the warmer waters carry more warmth to other regions.
It all works like a snowball (bizarre comparison), gathering momentum as it goes.