Listening to the talk and looking at the slides, I was left puzzled because since the first wave when doctors had no idea how to treat (COVID) and the second wave, medical knowledge of the disease and it's treatment has progressed by leaps and bounds so that far fewer people are being taken into hospital and if taken in, are much more likely to survive. Also with the huge increase in testing meaning that so many more people are being diagnosed with the disease. At no time did I hear them mention exactly what the source of their figures was, how they had been adjusted or the effect of new medical techniques.
As well as that, looking at various charts of growth in numbers diagnosed with COVID shows that in many area the figures are going down and have been for a week or more.