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The decision to end restrictions is dangerous and premature, unethical and illogical.

(561 Posts)
Whitewavemark2 Sun 11-Jul-21 15:41:20

Scientists have published a letter in the Lancet, saying that they have 5 main concerns over the governments plans for unmitigated infection.
I have taken this from John Campbell’s site.

First - disproportionately affecting children and young people
There are 17 million people with no covid protection.
Exponential growth will continue until millions more people are infected
This will leave hundreds of thousands of people with long term illness and disability
Risks leaving a generation with ill health.

Second - transmission in schools will lead to educational disruption.
There should be strict mitigation in schools and eventual vaccination of children.
Important for clinically vulnerable children and socially vulnerable children.

Third - emergent of vaccine resistant mutations, with their potential spread.

Fourth - there will significant impact on exhausted clinicians.
There is no break yet between infection and hospital admission.
Rising case numbers will inevitably mean more hospital admissions.
Millions of people are waiting for procedures and many will die waiting.

Fifth
Deprived communities are very exposed.
The deprived and marginalised will be disproportionately affected.

Given that vaccine offers the same protection and herd immunity, the governments strategy is unethical and illogical.

The U.K. government must reconsider its current strategy and take urgent steps to protect people and children.
We believe that the U.K. government is embarking on a dangerous and unethical experiment, and we call on it to pause its planned endings of all mitigation on 19 July.

MayBee70 Sat 24-Jul-21 11:08:23

Things have got better in that we have a vaccine. Having said that, it’s quite obvious to people on here that I’m a worrier and err on the side of pessimism but even I thought this pandemic would run its course and be over by now. And now Israel are finding the effect of the vaccine isn’t lasting as long as everyone thought it would. I just hope it’s just a blip and maybe the figures are wrong. It’s on DrJohns latest blog if anyone wants to check it out and let me know what they think.

Juicywords Sat 24-Jul-21 11:06:18

Alegrias1

Whitewavemark2

PHE have said that a new variant is under investigation in England.

There is no evidence to suggest it makes the vaccines less effective or causes more severe illness, PHE said.

Incidentally, with regard to Beta:

Real-world data out of Canada shows one dose of AstraZeneca’s vaccine is highly effective against preventing hospitalization and/or death caused by SARS-CoV-2 VOCs

•Alpha (B.1.1.7): 90%
•Delta (B.1.617.2): 87%
•Gamma (P.1): 82%
•Beta (B.1.351): 82%

twitter.com/Coronavirusgoo1/status/1418564785570996228

I really do hope this information coming from Canada is correct, as it would help me feel more confident about AZ.

I wonder how they acquired it as Canada were recommending Pfizer or Moderna as a 2nd shot if first vaccine was AstraZeneca? abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/canada-pfizer-moderna-preferred-2nd-dose-astrazeneca-78346055

Unfortunately the Forbes information wasn’t so positive suggesting AZ was only 10% effective against the beta variant.
www.forbes.com/sites/jvchamary/2021/06/30/coronavirus-vaccines-effective-variants/?sh=1b1bcc4e37a5

Alegrias1 Sat 24-Jul-21 10:49:31

We're getting there maddyone.

When we recall where we were a year ago things have got so much better. And they are improving, its just that I think we are programmed to always look for the negatives. DH and I play a "game" now watching the news...waiting for the "but".

Here's some good news BUT the end of the world is nigh.

rosie1959 Sat 24-Jul-21 10:45:59

maddyone tedious isn’t it but it will pass For me best to get on with life as normal and not give it so much thought.
This pingdemic is causing problems but have solved that one I pressed delete
Pointless worrying about what may or may not happen Most of the experts can’t agree some upbeat some doom and gloom

maddyone Sat 24-Jul-21 10:35:58

Can I just say, stop the world now, I want to get off. I’ve had enough of it now. It’s just so depressing. When will it end? It feels like never. I’m talking about Covid, not the restrictions.

rosie1959 Sat 24-Jul-21 04:08:41

I can see why they didn't wait until the younger age groups had received two doses that would be September that's coming into Autumn when all the children are going back to school.
Summer surely is a better time when other respiratory illness is lower.
They probably knew uptake was going to be lower amongst the young they in the main do not suffer as much also one dose with their prime immune systems will have a good effect.
My DIL has just tested positive she is a bit older early 30s and only received 2nd dose a day before catching it she has no symptoms whatsoever and is asthmatic

MayBee70 Fri 23-Jul-21 23:45:16

I just don’t think any of this has been thought through. I mean, most of us can work out that doing certain things will have a knock on effect but the government seem blind to it all.

Summerlove Fri 23-Jul-21 23:42:46

MayBee70

According to DrJohns latest blog the main age group that are contracting the virus are 18 + therefore most of them won’t have been vaccinated yet. imo that age group should try to avoid vulnerable people and it would be good if they wore masks. It’s great that they’re now able to lead a slightly more normal life but until they’ve been vaccinated they do have a responsibility towards younger and older age groups. And, of course, themselves. It’s sh** that so many young people are not living the sort of life they expected or deserved to, though, and my heart does go out to them.

This is why I feel restrictions shouldn’t have been lifted until every has had an opportunity to have both doses.

Incredibly unfair to the young

MayBee70 Fri 23-Jul-21 20:48:24

According to DrJohns latest blog the main age group that are contracting the virus are 18 + therefore most of them won’t have been vaccinated yet. imo that age group should try to avoid vulnerable people and it would be good if they wore masks. It’s great that they’re now able to lead a slightly more normal life but until they’ve been vaccinated they do have a responsibility towards younger and older age groups. And, of course, themselves. It’s sh** that so many young people are not living the sort of life they expected or deserved to, though, and my heart does go out to them.

Casdon Fri 23-Jul-21 18:03:05

I think the other issue at the moment is that vaccinated people often have a very mild dose, so they aren’t aware they have been infected, and don’t test, but can still pass it on.

growstuff Fri 23-Jul-21 17:57:51

A number of people never have a PCR test, which also affects the stats.

growstuff Fri 23-Jul-21 17:55:44

Casdon

The ONS survey uses a different methodology not the positive test results, , it random samples from households each week.
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation.

I know, which is why I always look at a number of sources. ZOE uses different methodology too.

growstuff Fri 23-Jul-21 17:54:36

GrannyGravy13

Alegrias1

No appreciable change in the level of testing, up until yesterday.

Several possible reasons for lower amount of tests all U.K. schools are now closed along with many people now on holiday.

I doubt if many school pupils were testing properly anyway. The teenagers I teach admitted they didn't, unless their parents were standing over them. The first they knew was when when they were infected. The reporting arrangements for schools changed very recently, so it's probable that quite a number of teenagers haven't been reported. If you look at the cases broken down by age, it's noticeable that reported cases in 10-19 year olds have decreased.

Casdon Fri 23-Jul-21 17:47:01

The ONS survey uses a different methodology not the positive test results, , it random samples from households each week.
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/methodologies/covid19infectionsurveypilotmethodsandfurtherinformation.

GrannyGravy13 Fri 23-Jul-21 17:25:49

Alegrias1

No appreciable change in the level of testing, up until yesterday.

Several possible reasons for lower amount of tests all U.K. schools are now closed along with many people now on holiday.

Alegrias1 Fri 23-Jul-21 17:13:32

No appreciable change in the level of testing, up until yesterday.

Juicywords Fri 23-Jul-21 17:03:32

Many people are no longer testing, worried about being told to isolate and therefore not being paid if they are self employed. Apparently 25% have deleted the NHS app. These people obviously won’t show up in the figures.

growstuff Fri 23-Jul-21 16:46:35

GrannyGravy13

The U.K. figures for today and yesterday are considerably down on Thursday & Friday last week today’s 36,389 compared to last Fridays 51,870, yesterday’s 39,906 as opposed to 48,553 last Thursday.

Let’s hope they continue to go in this direction.

I agree. Fingers crossed. It's a bit baffling that Tim Spector (from ZOE) thinks that cases are about 50% higher than the "offcial" figures. Usually, he's very cautious about case numbers. The cases in my district are still 20 times higher than they were a couple of weeks ago and the ONS is still reporting a rise, so who knows?

growstuff Fri 23-Jul-21 16:42:40

Who on earth thinks that Covid is the only thing to fear or is the only killer around?

I'm as safe as I could ever be from Covid, but I'm acutely aware that some other condition could affect me. If I do catch Covid, my risk of being severely affected is higher than average, despite vaccinations. I'd like to know that if I'm struck down with something else that the NHS has spare capacity to treat me. I try me best to avoid another heart attack and do what I can to keep my diabetes under control. Why shouldn't I try not to catch Covid?

love0c Fri 23-Jul-21 16:33:34

That is to answer you JenniferEccles

love0c Fri 23-Jul-21 16:32:16

Yes. To highlight that to think that covid is the only thing to fear is so sad. To think that covid is the only killer around is misguided. To think that if you are safe from covid, then you are safe, is misguided. I say hug your nearest and dearest while you can.

GrannyGravy13 Fri 23-Jul-21 16:32:04

The U.K. figures for today and yesterday are considerably down on Thursday & Friday last week today’s 36,389 compared to last Fridays 51,870, yesterday’s 39,906 as opposed to 48,553 last Thursday.

Let’s hope they continue to go in this direction.

Alegrias1 Fri 23-Jul-21 16:18:34

Whitewavemark2

PHE have said that a new variant is under investigation in England.

There is no evidence to suggest it makes the vaccines less effective or causes more severe illness, PHE said.

Incidentally, with regard to Beta:

Real-world data out of Canada shows one dose of AstraZeneca’s vaccine is highly effective against preventing hospitalization and/or death caused by SARS-CoV-2 VOCs

•Alpha (B.1.1.7): 90%
•Delta (B.1.617.2): 87%
•Gamma (P.1): 82%
•Beta (B.1.351): 82%

twitter.com/Coronavirusgoo1/status/1418564785570996228

JenniferEccles Fri 23-Jul-21 16:07:35

Incidentally is there a reason why you wrote covid in inverted commas LoveOc ?

Whitewavemark2 Fri 23-Jul-21 16:03:55

PHE have said that a new variant is under investigation in England.