Just reading very well balanced article in the Economist
It reports that with cases rising exponentially larger numbers of people will need treatment in hospitals and more will die. Obvious, but I think important to remember. The government are warning that they might surpass 100,000 a day in August. The writer points out that we would need to rise to about 150,000 a day—three times their winter peak—for hospital admissions to approach the levels experienced in January. That could occur in about four weeks.
Unsurprisingly, the hospital admissions will be highest among the unvaccinated. This includes the young waiting or too young to be vaccinated and the small pockets of vaccine hesitancy.
The article goes on to comment on Johnson's insistence that we must learn to live with the virus and the scientists view that we can better cope with the inevitable deaths and hospitalisations that we come from following this view while the schools are closed and the winter flu, etc., is not burdening the hospitals. It points out that scientists have expressed concern about levels of long covid expected and the government has replied that it is investing £50m into research on the chronic effects of the disease.
