Chris Whitty - another lockdown

So for cases to drop then we must assume that the R is below 1.

That 0.5 makes a massive estimated error doesn’t it?

If cases are set to double how does that work?

And yet…. Forget masks because of our liberty ..oh and our glasses misting up and feeling a bit hot when we spend hours shopping.
And yet…. Full capacity crowds at sporting events.

I’m sure it’s because of the school holidays, England and Wales will probably go down over the next few weeks as most break up for the summer today, and Scotland will go back up again soon when the children return at the beginning of August.

Has it always been an estimate then?
I'm not being facetious; I really don't understand it all.
Would they be hinting at another lockdown based on an estimate?

Because it's an estimate. Because it's historic. Because one measure is not enough to base the whole trajectory of a pandemic on.

Not panicking.

Just bloody annoyed.

Can you explain how if the R is 1.5 the cases are in fact dropping? Maths are not my best subject.

I'm not sure anyone is panicking.
It's just the same old, same old.

I think it's time for us all to start running around with our hands in the air again isn't it?

The media has so much to answer for.

Just one thing to say....the R rate in Scotland has been between 1.3 and 1.5 for about 3 weeks. Cases are going down.

Stop panicking.

If anyone credits Johnson and his pals any credibility after this carnage then they need to give their head a wobble.

No point in ever listening to him as nothing he says is true.

Yes.
I have morning tv on, and they are saying that Whitty has said a rise in cases could result in another lockdown.
Well, we have a rise in cases.

Well for your sakes I hope it isn't like ours. No visitors except one in your 'bubble'. Only a 5 km radius allowed for essential shopping/exercise. Shops etc all shut except chemists and supermarkets. Masks indoors and outdoors. Only allowed one other person to exercise/walk with. Lockdown seems to be more often than not round here. They will let you go out to get a vaccination or have a Covid test. Aren't we lucky? Might go just for something to do....

I think that we will certainly have to expect something like this.

Cases are at 50k and set to at least double. We were told last year that covid is expected to drop throughout the summer months and rise in winter. The greater the spread, the higher the chance of a new variant.

R is between 1.3-1.5

Deaths lag by at least 3 weeks - 43 yesterday

The young are being seriously affected by covid attacking their major organs and by long covid.

Pfizer supply is slowing down - the vaccine of choice for the young.

But we knew all this didn’t we? We don’t need telling when it is common sense.

I think that is exactly what is going to happen, as unpopular opinion as it is.

I think that's exactly what is going to happen, as unpopular as it is to hold that opinion.

Ease off in the summer back into lockdown just in time for the new school year.
That would be disastrous.

Thank you for the BBC reference.

No mention of lockdown within weeks ? Not the article that OP has read .

It is a repeat pattern of last year.

Ease off in the summer back into lockdown just in time for the new school year.

There isn’t a single other country behaving like this.

Gwyneth

Check the BBC website Chris Whitty talks about being cautious etc but doesn’t mention another lockdown. The Press may be just using scaremongering tactics again.

Unfortunately that’s what they do to sell newspapers.

GG13 found it, thanks. He says the PM may have to consider further restrictions.

Check the BBC website Chris Whitty talks about being cautious etc but doesn’t mention another lockdown. The Press may be just using scaremongering tactics again.

I have just googled this and it came up with a story in the Daily Mirror.

Echoing the request from NotaGran please can you add the reference for your post Curlygirl.

CurlyGirl could you add the link please where you have read this?

I think this is from a speech he made recently urging extreme caution as we could find ourselves in another rapidly rising wave.

I would add the scientists also in that equation. Netherlands also possibly going back into lockdown because of Government failings.