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Cliff Edge anyone?

(1001 Posts)
whitewave Fri 30-Jun-17 07:31:33

This term gets bandied about in relation to Brexit without any of the consequences attached to it.

I have just done some research/ reading and thought it was time we all had the opportunity to discuss what exactly a "cliff edge Brexit" means and whether it can be taken seriously as a "no deal is better than a bad deal" deal.

So talks have failed and our government decides to go it alone.

It is day one of Britains great adventure

We have no trade deals with the EU or the rest of the world.
The economy goes into recession
We now have in front of us several years of negotiating trade deals both with our potentially biggest customer -Europe and the rest of the World.
Countries like Argentina and others that bear a grudge will block any dealings with the WTO.
Getting exports to Europe will become an absolute nightmare, as even if we have successfully arranged our borders for a post Brexit scenario, Europe has only just begun to get their border controls in place for the flow of goods to and from the UK.
The SE becomes a huge lorry park as good stand waiting to be processed. There is a potential for shortages to occur- particularly in relation to food, as there is only one port in Europe that is set up to deal with this commodity, and that is not yet functioning.
Issues like "country of origin" causes complete chaos for business and everything becomes a bureaucratic nightmare.
Flights are delayed/cancelled until the UK can do its own deals with regard to flight rights.
And of course as we have read only recently, nuclear material will dry up, threatening cancer and other treatment.

References are available on request????

whitewave Tue 01-Aug-17 20:15:42

That caused a flurry of excitementgrin Yougov of course not you gob as my iPad keeps trying to say or you Gove.

durhamjen Tue 01-Aug-17 20:10:52

I'm just guessing. Couldn't imagine that doing anything for Gove's chances of getting the top spot.

Jalima1108 Tue 01-Aug-17 20:08:13

or 'taking the Michael' as we could say

Jalima1108 Tue 01-Aug-17 20:07:56

ha ha, sorry, I really misread that as the Michael

Jalima1108 Tue 01-Aug-17 20:07:24

Oh!! grin

durhamjen Tue 01-Aug-17 20:06:07

Yougov?

rosesarered Tue 01-Aug-17 20:05:53

grin nor me Jalima

Jalima1108 Tue 01-Aug-17 20:03:49

Gove didn't ask me

whitewave Tue 01-Aug-17 20:01:06

Mumsnet post

You Gove have found that people who no longer work (but whose income is provided and protected by those who do work )I.e. Over 65s, and who have largely paid off their mortgage, say that people loosing their jobs is worth it for Brexit. Mainly because they don't carry the risk or pay the price.

durhamjen Tue 01-Aug-17 19:58:00

I like your list of euromyths, Maizie.
I wonder how many of them Boris started.

whitewave Tue 01-Aug-17 19:48:56

Nicky Morgan has requested that the Bank of England provides the Finance Committee with details of contingency plans in the case of a hard Brexit.

It is estimated that 40,000 jobs in the wholesale baking service will be lost. But there is a high risk that even more jobs will be lost.

Bank of America is picking Dublin as the post Brexit hub?

Barclays is also picking Dublin.

Morgan Stanley is picking Frankfurt

Citi are expanding into Europe.

Mitsubishi UFJ is moving to Amsterdam.

Frankfurt and Dublin are to be the main destinations for banking sales and trading activities.

Guardian today.

Welshwife Tue 01-Aug-17 19:21:05

As long as the employment is legal I thought pension contributions were now compulsory. Why should anyone working in UK and paying NI and tax not be entitled to the same benefits of everyone else?

Penstemmon Tue 01-Aug-17 19:15:24

A solution to "cheap foreign labour" post Brexit, (whenever that is) will be to say businesses can employ foreign nationals but must be responsible for private health care and pension contributions. We blame those who come to work here for 'taking' jobs but who is offering them??

petra Tue 01-Aug-17 17:32:51

GracesGran
Strange that you should use the word 'lazy'
That's just the word I used this morning discussing this subject. And that goes for all parties.

MaizieD Tue 01-Aug-17 17:07:54

New video from Professor Dougan

www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xN7tw61-vE

Transcript here:

news.liverpool.ac.uk/2017/07/31/watch-project-fear-to-project-reality-prof-michael-dougan-one-year-on-from-eu-referendum/

E.g. several countries have expressed their interest in a future trade deal with the UK in principle; but in practice, they intend to prioritise their own economic relations with the EU and (by the way) would prefer us to clarify our position first please.

By contrast, the Government treats every random statement about some great, very powerful, very quick trade deal, uttered from the mouth or keyboard of the terrifyingly unstable President Trump, as if it were gospel – conveniently forgetting that Trump has been absolutely consistent about just one aspect of US international relations: America First.

GracesGranMK2 Tue 01-Aug-17 17:07:23

I think there were always enough countries in the EU who at least wanted to modify Freedom of Movement that something could have been done ... but I have always thought it Petra it doesn't change my opinion on being in or out. Also, it does go with the thought that the EU was never the problem - it was our lazy and disconnected governments which caused the issues and persuaded the electorate that all the troubles originated with the EU whilst they should, in fact, have been laid at door of the government/s.

petra Tue 01-Aug-17 16:58:14

Is anyone aware that the French and Swedish presidents are getting together to stop the free movement of people from Eastern Europe.
They are both fed up with the influx of cheap labour and undermining working conditions.
Do they not know that all this cheap labour is a boost to the economy wink
It appears that the eastern states are a little confused and upset as Macron said he was going to revamp the eu.
Little did they know which way the revamp was going to go grin I wonder if either of them run this over herr Merkel first.
I wonder how some of you think now, now that two of the paragons of the eu are against free movement of 'some' people.
It's quiet ironic isn't it that this is a 'stumbling block' in the negotiations and here we have two eu countries demanding exactly the same grin

whitewave Tue 01-Aug-17 16:28:19

Misconduct in public office?

Welshwife Tue 01-Aug-17 16:25:00

Just spoken on phone with my Parisian friend - been friends for 60 years - she mentioned Brexit and asked me what we thought and said the French all think it is madness and they can see no benefit for the UK.

TriciaF Tue 01-Aug-17 16:22:34

Good link about Lord Sugar, GG
As well as suing them, their constituents should remove them as MP, and select someone truthful instead..
But it won't happen.

GracesGranMK2 Tue 01-Aug-17 16:12:25

Cabinet split over how best to wreck ordinary people’s lives

GracesGranMK2 Tue 01-Aug-17 16:06:04

Lord Sugar Says Pro-Brexit Ministers Should Be Charged Over £350m NHS Claim

GracesGranMK2 Tue 01-Aug-17 15:53:51

Crumbs.

MaizieD Tue 01-Aug-17 15:47:45

I remember that from the FT last year. Brexit & bent bananas. It was an article about the crazy fake regulations from the EU.

Here are some more, Primrose

An impresive list of euromyths and their perpetrators started in 1992

blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/

Welshwife Tue 01-Aug-17 14:35:31

Will be interesting to see if permits are needed again in EU and how much they are this time round. USA is hundreds for renewal of the Green card plus an interview with some Fed official - citizenship is about $2K each - these prices are for minors too and they all need one.

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