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Europe’s voting for the right just as we're turning left!

(182 Posts)
Urmstongran Sun 09-Jun-24 20:55:59

KEY MOMENTS
Chosen by us to get you up to speed at a glance

8:08pm
France’s Macron calls for new elections after EU vote
7:51pm
Spain’s Sanchez suffers defeat
7:12pm
Huge defeat for Macron
6:07pm
EU centre right leads in election in five countries, exit polls show
5:09pm
Blow for Scholz as exit poll shows AFD surge.

Blimey.

Cold Tue 11-Jun-24 00:29:54

The press seem to have decided on a narrative before the election of a shift to the right - however not all countries have followed this.

In Finland the left have made dramatic gains

In Sweden the far right "Swedish Democrat" party has dropped from 2nd biggest party to 4th - even the Greens beat them

... and in some countries they are still counting the votes

Joseann Tue 11-Jun-24 06:06:55

The reasons why the results are given so quickly in France are several. The polls close at 7 pm. The ballots are immediately verified and counted manually there and then on the spot. A clear estimation is given at 8 pm, and the right winner is announced.
In France, you don't get a ballot paper with all the candidates' names on against which to put your cross. You simply put the one person's name you want to vote for in the envelope.

Joseann Tue 11-Jun-24 06:45:38

The impression I got from French friends yesterday, Urmstongran, wasn't one of any great surprise at Macron's actions. He is well known for making bold decisions, and this could be a clever one. They do actually respect his judgment.
French people I spoke with seem to be aware that a turn to the far right could be very dangerous, but they are also aware of the injustices towards the poorer, hard working nationals who they see as being overlooked and receiving a raw deal. The SMIC - the minimum wage - featured heavily in conversation because it offers workers no quality of life, especially when they see inactive people (including immigrants) receiving support on a plate.

I did have a little smile though when one friend said Monsieur Macron wants it all done and dusted by 14th July so everyone can let their hair down! Liberté, Égalité, Fraternité!

Mamie Tue 11-Jun-24 07:02:37

I agree with all of that Joseann. I also thing 38 candidates meant a lot of protest votes (there were a lot of candidates with one or two votes in our village and about 16 with no votes). In the second round of the election on 7th July, I think a straight choice will concentrate the mind.

Mamie Tue 11-Jun-24 07:05:56

Though I am not sure about "support on a plate". Still a huge amount of bureaucracy to fight your way through.

Joseann Tue 11-Jun-24 07:43:07

👍 Mamie

Whitewavemark2 Tue 11-Jun-24 08:02:41

Does anyone understand why German far right populism is flourishing?

The AFD - which is so fascist, that even Le Pen won’t have anything to do with them, and strong Nazi supporters has come second 😮😮.

I find this so bewildering, given their history!

What on earth are the Germans doing?

MayBee70 Tue 11-Jun-24 08:09:43

Joseann

The impression I got from French friends yesterday, Urmstongran, wasn't one of any great surprise at Macron's actions. He is well known for making bold decisions, and this could be a clever one. They do actually respect his judgment.
French people I spoke with seem to be aware that a turn to the far right could be very dangerous, but they are also aware of the injustices towards the poorer, hard working nationals who they see as being overlooked and receiving a raw deal. The SMIC - the minimum wage - featured heavily in conversation because it offers workers no quality of life, especially when they see inactive people (including immigrants) receiving support on a plate.

I did have a little smile though when one friend said Monsieur Macron wants it all done and dusted by 14th July so everyone can let their hair down! Liberté, Égalité, Fraternité!

But surely if it’s about injustices towards the poorer and hard working people getting a raw deal, a swing towards socialism would make more sense? If only we had a say in what happens in Europe these days sad

Oreo Tue 11-Jun-24 08:13:06

MayBee70

If we were still in the EU we’d have some sort of control over this swing to the far right wouldn’t we? As it is we have no say in it even though it will affect us.

No, we would have no control at all, what makes you think that?

Oreo Tue 11-Jun-24 08:15:50

Whitewavemark2

Does anyone understand why German far right populism is flourishing?

The AFD - which is so fascist, that even Le Pen won’t have anything to do with them, and strong Nazi supporters has come second 😮😮.

I find this so bewildering, given their history!

What on earth are the Germans doing?

It’s the obvious reaction to Angela Merkel’s policy of ‘let them all come’ this is what it leads to, the rise of the right.

petra Tue 11-Jun-24 08:24:19

MayBee70

If we were still in the EU we’d have some sort of control over this swing to the far right wouldn’t we? As it is we have no say in it even though it will affect us.

What control did we have when we were in the eu as to how other people voted?

Whitewavemark2 Tue 11-Jun-24 08:31:17

Oreo

Whitewavemark2

Does anyone understand why German far right populism is flourishing?

The AFD - which is so fascist, that even Le Pen won’t have anything to do with them, and strong Nazi supporters has come second 😮😮.

I find this so bewildering, given their history!

What on earth are the Germans doing?

It’s the obvious reaction to Angela Merkel’s policy of ‘let them all come’ this is what it leads to, the rise of the right.

Thankyou for that in-depth and well thought out analysis.

My point is that there is something more going on than what you suggest.

I may be against a high level of immigration - Germany has never been against immigration because they understood that it expands their economy - but I would never vote for a Nazi party.

Oreo Tue 11-Jun-24 08:33:10

Oooh, sarky.
Immigration on a massive scale seemed to be something you hadn’t considered.

Oreo Tue 11-Jun-24 08:34:39

When you say Germany you mean the government and not the people.

Whitewavemark2 Tue 11-Jun-24 08:36:57

Of course I considered it and yes I mean the people not the government.

None of it explains why on earth they are turning the clock back to the 30s

Oreo Tue 11-Jun-24 08:43:38

In your eyes Whitewavemark2
Massive immigration added to any economic reasons mean the people want change.
We are a more tolerant nation here but even so people are ticked off with big numbers of legal and illegal immigrants.

keepingquiet Tue 11-Jun-24 08:45:14

Cold

The press seem to have decided on a narrative before the election of a shift to the right - however not all countries have followed this.

In Finland the left have made dramatic gains

In Sweden the far right "Swedish Democrat" party has dropped from 2nd biggest party to 4th - even the Greens beat them

... and in some countries they are still counting the votes

There is nothing more right-wing in this country than the media. The reportage I heard yesterday was stirring the pot again and people get so taken in by it.

Let's have some objective reporting please and not this constant anxiety inducing bias all the time.

MaizieD Tue 11-Jun-24 08:45:37

But surely if it’s about injustices towards the poorer and hard working people getting a raw deal, a swing towards socialism would make more sense? If only we had a say in what happens in Europe these days

But 'socialism' equals 'communism' in the rhetoric of fighting to attract votes. The horror of the Soviet Union is all too close to us in Europe, both physically and temporally, so it is very easy to turn voters off socialism by equating it with the worst excesses of state control.

We also subscribe to an economic theory which was initially formulated by the Soviet born economist, Hayek. The title of his influential book, The Road to Serfdom, tells you his judgement of a 'socialist' economy. His views absolutely suited the non communist section of a world separated by an 'iron curtain', one part utterly repressive (and poor), the other liberal and wealthy.

The problem is that economics based on Hayek and his followers theories have created the culture in which much of Europe lives, wealth at the top of society and increasing relative or actual poverty at the middle to lower end.

Socialism cannot be the answer because of its strong association with communism, so right wing populism, which appears to offer much the same as socialism in many ways, is the only alternative to the system which is damaging people's lives.

MayBee70 Tue 11-Jun-24 08:48:47

petra

MayBee70

If we were still in the EU we’d have some sort of control over this swing to the far right wouldn’t we? As it is we have no say in it even though it will affect us.

What control did we have when we were in the eu as to how other people voted?

Because we could have voted too? Couldn’t we?

Dickens Tue 11-Jun-24 08:54:08

I think the move to the Right is because of immigration, especially in Germany.

I doubt all are against it in principle - but people have the feeling that the EU doesn't have a grip on the situation and there's no real integrated plan for dealing with the problem. Some countries are taking more than their 'fair share'.

Merkel's gesture "we will cope" was magnanimous, but the reality is that those who are coping are not those who made the decisions. And there have been some atrocities in both Germany and France, they are rare, but they put people on their guard.

Immigrants have mostly a strong sense of tribal loyalty to their culture and their religion (understandably) - what some politicians and people don't understand is that those in the host country also have the same attachments, and when their culture changes rapidly, it unnerves them.

Immigration is now a fact of life, but it has to be dealt with pragmatically, and fairly. Not least for the sake of the immigrants themselves if there is to be peaceful co-existence.

MaizieD Tue 11-Jun-24 09:03:07

I acknowledge that immigration is a key factor, but without an economic system which exacerbates inequality and deprivation I think it would have been much harder to target immigrants as the ones who are to blame for deprivation and inequality.

Getting rid of immigrants will no more be the answer to people's problems than Brexit was in the UK, despite being promoted as such.

Economics is always a key driver of political change.

Hiraeth Tue 11-Jun-24 09:03:59

whitewavemarket apparently the AFD ( right wing party) won young voters through Tik-Tok . 16-17 year olds were allowedto vote

Dickens Tue 11-Jun-24 09:04:20

Galaxy

The left have on the whole embraced identity politics and completely lost touch with those they purport to want to help. The idea of social class/poverty is not a regular feature of the discourse. They treat a large part of the electorate with disdain. They are losing many people like me who have been centre left all our lives.

You make a good point Galaxy.

Dickens Tue 11-Jun-24 09:05:57

MaizieD

I acknowledge that immigration is a key factor, but without an economic system which exacerbates inequality and deprivation I think it would have been much harder to target immigrants as the ones who are to blame for deprivation and inequality.

Getting rid of immigrants will no more be the answer to people's problems than Brexit was in the UK, despite being promoted as such.

Economics is always a key driver of political change.

Getting rid of immigrants will no more be the answer to people's problems than Brexit was in the UK, despite being promoted as such.

As is proving to be the case. Because it was not the cause.

MaizieD Tue 11-Jun-24 09:13:07

Dickens

Galaxy

The left have on the whole embraced identity politics and completely lost touch with those they purport to want to help. The idea of social class/poverty is not a regular feature of the discourse. They treat a large part of the electorate with disdain. They are losing many people like me who have been centre left all our lives.

You make a good point Galaxy.

I'm sorry, but if Galaxy's point is 'good', how come Comrade Corbyn's 'for the many not the few' turned off Labour voters in large numbers? It was hardly 'disdainful' of most of the electorate.

(I realise this isn't really the right thread for this)