I’m a bit guilty of that here as it seems impossible to discuss any aspect of SP without someone coming along and repeating the fallacy that people on basic SP are so much worse off than those on new SP. I always feel duty bound to rebut. Apologies for derailing.
It is reassuring to hear that the triple lock will remain because Trump’s tariff wars are sure to create high inflation. We did see the triple lock suspended due to post-pandemic inflation though. I can’t see it happening this time around as there is such as surplus in the National Insurance Fund.
Means-testing may come in time but it would have to have a long lead of 10-15 years and, as I said upthread, it would be very risky when workplace pension funds are invested in the stock market and subject to the serious fluctations sometimes caused by government incompetence.
Pension funds would fail if Reform ever got near Number 11 with no mechanism to save them as it wants to abolish Quantitative Easing, that is, to stop the government creating new money in times of crisis as it did in 2008, 2020 and 2022.
I did watch the Torsten Bell video. He’s right about short-termism being at the root of so much that is wrong. Although not mentioned there, I believe he’s in favour of a smoothed earnings link rather than the triple lock. From the Resolution Foundation in 2020 (so the % quoted relate to then):
The policy answers to these challenges are to replace the triple lock, and pay more attention to the contrast with working-age benefits. A minimal and temporary fix would be to operate the triple lock over the coming two years as a whole, so that the State Pension would be likely to rise by 5 per cent (twice 2.5 per cent) over two years (given this should exceed two-year growth in earnings or prices).
A better approach would be to replace the triple lock with a smoothed earnings link, which maintains the peg to earnings over the medium term, but allows short-term deviations to protect the State Pension’s value during periods of weak wage growth, or fast price growth. If the Government wants the State Pension to continue to rise faster than earnings, it should in addition set a clear objective for the level of the State Pension relative to pay – as it does for the National Living Wage – and supplement the ‘smoothed earnings link’ with a fixed additional annual rise until that target value is reached.
www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/locked-in/
Good Morning Thursday 25th June 2026
A better word than 'apologise'?
“We start school too early in the UK!”


