Claremont
Maremia
Yes Claremont, but Netanyahu said they were soooooo close to a nuclear bomb, even though Tulsi Gabard, who actually did the most recent inspections, said not. Just who should Trump have believed?
(sarcasm alert)
Yes, US spies said Iran was not ready at all- but Trump apparently replied that he had a 'feeling'!
We forget that it was Trump who decided to pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal in 2018. Obama and others explained at the time that it was massively dangerous and would lead to war.
The Deal is pulled out of would have meant:
Reducing Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium by 97 percent, and banning them from possessing any uranium potent enough that it could be used to fuel a bomb
Capping its number of nuclear centrifuges, devices used to enrich uranium, at roughly 5,000 — and only permitting it to use old, outdated, and slow centrifuges
Stopping Iran from operating its Arak facility used to make plutonium that could fuel a bomb
Permitting wide-ranging and intrusive IAEA inspections designed to verify that Iran isn’t cheating on any portion of the deal
These provisions, taken together, would have made it functionally impossible for Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon so long as they are in place. And the IAEA has repeatedly confirmed that Iran is complying with all of its obligations under the deal.
I think that you must be reading a different IAEA Report to the one I am looking at. These are some of the Findings from the Report dated 31st May 2025:
‘Findings
Iran can convert its current stock of 60 percent enriched uranium into 233 kg of WGU in three weeks at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP), enough for 9 nuclear weapons, taken as 25 kg of weapon-grade uranium (WGU) per weapon.
Iran could produce its first quantity of 25 kg of WGU in Fordow in as little as two to three days.
Breaking out in both Fordow and the Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP), the two facilities together could produce enough WGU for 11 nuclear weapons in the first month, enough for 15 nuclear weapons by the end of the second month, 19 by the end of the third month, 21 by the end of the fourth month, and 22 by the end of the fifth month.
In front of the inspectors’ eyes, Iran is undertaking the near-final step of breaking out, now converting its 20 percent stock of enriched uranium into 60 percent enriched uranium at a greatly expanded rate, although this rate cannot be sustained much longer.
Iran has no civilian use or justification for its production of 60 percent enriched uranium, particularly at the level of hundreds of kilograms.’
Do I think that this conflict is over: sadly, not. I doubt that the US will be pulling its two carrier groups; aircraft and submarines out of the area anytime soon despite the US President’s extraordinary posts on social media over the past 24 hours.