To expand on that, Maizie.
Technically, an MP cannot resign. They must apply for one of two unpaid stewardships from the Chancellor of the Exchequer. Those are: Crown Steward and Bailiff of the Chiltern Hundreds and of the Manor of Northstead.
In 1842, the government refused to allow Viscount Chelsea to resign his seat because there were strong suspicions that the subsequent by-election was being manipulated.
So it’s up to Rachel Reeves to accept or deny. Even if she accepts, the next stage would be for Reform’s chief whip (Lee Anderson?) to “move a writ” to ask for a by-election - which the House of Commons must vote on. They could vote against it.
It can happen, especially if a general election is imminent. Assuming Burnham becomes PM, we don’t know what he might do. He could decide to call a snap election to get a five year mandate. In that case the House of Commons could deny the writ and leave the Clacton seat empty.
I doubt the constituents would be any worse off than they are now with an MP who had largely ignored them for two years.
I can’t be the only one who guffawed when Farage started his speech yesterday with:
… have to say the last two years I've really enjoyed the job of being an MP. The people, the constituency, it's an office that I genuinely, genuinely adore.
I wonder what he genuinely, genuinely adores? Is it being paid almost £100,000 a year for doing very little?
What a sham he is.
Giles Watling, who held the seat for five years from 2019 has said he would be willing to stand again.
Previous results:
In 2010, (Clacton was a new seat) Douglas Carswell won for the Tories on 53%.
In 2014, after Douglas Carswell defected to UKiP, he was reelected on 59% in the by-election.
In 2015, Douglas Carswell was reelected on 44%, with Giles Watling for the Tories on 37%
In 2019, Giles Watling won for the Tories on 72%.
In 2024, Farage won for Reform on 49% from Giles Watling on 28%. Labour were on 16%, Lib Dems and Green taking 9% in total.
I believe Watling was a decent constituency MP. If other parties stood aside in a GE, I could see him retaking the seat for the Tories.