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Science/nature/environment

Climate Change

(336 Posts)
JessM Wed 15-Jun-11 18:45:01

Well there is a very good answer baggy to "where did the carbon come from"
In the age when the coal was laid down, for instance, the world was warm and steamy and plant life was booming. Tree ferns at the south pole etc. As the vegetation gradually went in the coal direction vast amounts of carbon went out of circulation. This carbon has been underground for millenia. Then we go releasing it in a 150 years or so.
When that carbon was all up and cycling in the carboniferous era, the world was hot. Sea levels were meters higher than they are today. Now we are bringing the carbon back into circulation and artificially pushing the natural cycle of the earth in the warmer, higher free carbon, higher sea level direction.
It seems to be that the rate at which the sea level will rise is the only topic for debate amongst climate change experts. Is Bangladesh going to be underwater in 20 years, 100 years, 500 years or 5000 years. No-one knows. That is what scientists are grappling with because the science involved is very difficult.

baggythecrust! Wed 15-Jun-11 15:39:31

And where did that carbon come from in the first place? All living things contain carbon, including us. The coal and oil seams are made of decayed organic material (e.g. Plants). How did those plants grow? By utilising carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. I'm sure you have heard of the carbon cycle. This is it. We are part of it. Carbon dioxide is less than half of one percent of the atmosphere. That's a trace gas. The world has been warmer than it is now many times, and colder, and life thrives in warmer conditions. The poles have been free of ice before. And so on and so on and so on. Nothing new is happening except that governments want to tax us for releasing carbon dioxide. You might as well stop breathing and have done with it.

As you say, the world has been much warmer before. It survived and life on it thrived. So why would it be a problem if it should happen again?

I have read several books on the subject on each side of the debate and what strikes me most is the contrast between the cool, calm, evidence-justified arguments of the sceptical side and the alarmist ranting of the other side. I used to be extremely concerned about climate change. I investigated the available evidence on both sides of the debate and now I am not worried at all.

JessM Wed 15-Jun-11 15:13:56

Baggythecrust - I don't think carbon dioxide is a minor trace gas. When you stop and think about the last 200 years. All the coal and oil that has been burnt. All those millions of tonnes of carbon were trapped beneath the ground. The carbon in coal for instance was trapped when the world was a much warmer place. Tropical forests on the south pole sort of place.
All that extra carbon is now been added back to the atmosphere. The plants etc can only get rid of so much - it is as if we have had the taps running into a bath and the plug has been out. But the taps are running in faster than the water is going down the plughole. The science that more CO2 in the atmosphere is going to warm us up is very very clear. It is just a case of when, and how bad it is going to be.
What to do about it not that easy though.

effblinder Wed 15-Jun-11 12:36:24

I can see where you're coming from carboncareful. I think it is really important to think about the future, and not give up! It's only by individual actions that the world can change. Yes, it's a mixture of big picture, but the pressure to change the big picture CAN come from individuals if they push hard enough. The "self-glorifying apes" made enough of an impact on the planet to change the climate once, hopefully they should be able to change it back!

When you look at the consequences of continuing to use fossil fuels etc it does make you want to shout about it, but this is a place to chat too, and making people feel bad I think does more harm than good. Can we just talk about how great it is that most people have recycling facilities now?

It's a contribution to the kind of mindset that will make cutting packaging, switching off lights etc a part of 'what people do', like not dropping litter or letting your dog foul the street - something that people naturally feel bad about but not because you told them to, because they know it's socially wrong.

baggythecrust! Wed 15-Jun-11 12:27:57

And the majority are not going to be convinced, not after Climategate and all the other shenanigans of Warmist brigade — shenanigans that are still going on too.

harrigran Wed 15-Jun-11 12:19:17

A few well meaning people are not going to change the climate, to make a difference you have to convince the whole world to change. It is not going to happen, enjoy what you have now and stop trying to influence the future.

baggythecrust! Wed 15-Jun-11 06:37:33

jessm — well said. There are plenty (too many) of climate missionaries already and not enough sceptical enquirers. Climate science is in its infancy. We are kidding ourselves if we think we know how it all works yet. We are also kidding ourselves (megalomaniacs that we are) if we think adding a bit of a minor trace gas (which, incidentally, plants absolutely adore) to an atmosphere and a biosphere that has coped with much bigger changes over millenia already, and still is doing in my opinion. Right now I'm more concerned about getting clean water, health care, education and other benefits that we currently enjoy to those people who don't have them. The climate will change whatever we do. It always has and it always will. It is far too complicated for a bunch of self-glorifying apes to control.

JessM Tue 14-Jun-11 18:53:04

Carboncareful I am sure there are many gransnetters that are very concerned about the environment. I speak as someone who has solar electricity panels all over the roof. But didn't feel moved to respond to your post.
Possibly you arrived on the site full of missionary zeal, waving your green flag and people were taken aback a bit. Or felt they were being preached at. Or that you had joined just to promote a single cause. Your choice of name is interesting. It is a bit like if someone joined the forum with the name ONAFEMINISTMISSION or DAVECAMERONFAN. It gives a certain message and may put backs up before you get a hearing.

It is a new forum and we are all learning how to get on with each other at the moment. Group norms are being established.

Had to stop typing then 'cos a woodpecker arrived on the peanut feeder 5 meters from where I a sitting. Doing our bit for wildlife in the backyard.

carboncareful Tue 14-Jun-11 18:22:29

Very disappointed to see only one response to this subject. Climate Change is the MOST IMPORTANT subject we could possibly discuss. What is the matter with all you grans - don't you care what happens to your grandchildren?????

Anneof20000days Thu 09-Jun-11 07:15:56

Very good idea carboncareful! We can all pass on any tips we have to each other on lifestyle changes small or larger.
I think one of the best ways to help us all live with climate change is to be able to predict what the weather will do - accurately. Resources need to be put into this quickly, look at all those terrible tornadoes in the states recently and the loss of life there.

carboncareful Wed 08-Jun-11 19:09:27

I would like to sugest that there be a continuous discussion on Climate Change in gransnet (i.e. not just for a few days or weeks) - in fact I have suggested to gransnet that there should be a new branch called climatenet (and I think they may be interested if there is enough interest from you). There is a need for discussion about how to combat climate change; how to reduce our personal carbon footprints and how to deal with effects of climate change as they arise. It could also could be a place to air ideas big or small for sustainable living and clean energy.
As grandparents we owe this to our grandchildren. Please, all of you out there, respond to this plea.