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Coronavirus

Second waves - dealing with the virus part 2 ??

(232 Posts)
MawB Tue 23-Jun-20 08:59:01

It’s not gone, it’s not even going to be gone - but it’s how we deal with it that will make the difference.
Beijing faced lockdown after reporting an outbreak last week after being declared virus-free for a whole day.
An Anglesey chicken plant has had 175 new cases recently.
Germany has had a serious outbreak in and around Gütersloh starting in an abattoir and meat processing plant, it is suspected involving unsanitary living conditions for migrant workers.
Berlin has had a surge in the poor and densely populated Neu-Kölln area of the city
And now South Korea , previously held up as a shining example is facing a worrying surge as health authorities in South Korea admitted yesterday it was experiencing a “second wave” in Seoul.
Jeong Eun-kyeong, director of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, is reported as saying it had become clear that a holiday weekend in early May marked the start of a new wave of infections in the densely populated greater Seoul area, which had previously seen few cases.
There are some common factors such as working temperatures in the meat processing plants but also the lamentable living conditions where migrant workers have been involved and of course predictable consequences in lapses in social distancing, but in all cases prompt identification, testing, tracking and isolating have been paramount in stopping these second waves from becoming countrywide.
I just hope that this time the government and our public health authorities can learn from the experience of others.

BBbevan Sat 27-Jun-20 11:36:32

Callistemon we very nearly bought a house overlooking the sea at Ogmore. But DH said “ There will be ‘oiks‘ on that grass in the summer”. He was proved right.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 11:17:01

So who's in charge?

It's hardly a conspiracy theory when anybody with half open eyes can see what's happening.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 11:16:02

www.nbcnews.com/news/world/china-declares-new-outbreak-contained-after-massive-testing-effort-n1232084

Beijing (a city with a population of over 20 million) has had 270 locally transmitted cases since 11 June. To put that into context, the UK has had over 100 deaths on most days since 11 June.

As soon as cases were reported in the new flare up, the city went into "wartime emergency mode" and infection appears to have been contained.

Callistemon Sat 27-Jun-20 11:08:07

Anyway, Johnson's not in charge, nor is Cummings although Cummings may be part of the elite group that wants a new world order.

I can do conspiracies too.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 27-Jun-20 11:07:57

I do hope that none of the Liverpool Fans catch a fatal dose of Covid-19 after their celebrations over the last two nights.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 10:59:26

The plan appears to be working.

Some people want to lift lockdown restrictions and get people back to work, whether or not it's safe for everybody to do so.

Some sensible MPs and advisors point out that it's not a good idea because people will get sick and some will die. The public doesn't seem to be swallowing the message, will blame the government and we'll lose votes. Some MPs might even begin to vote against the government.

"No problem! We have a cumming plan"

Johnson does his usual affable clown act and tells an MP in Parliament to have some guts about welcoming visitors to the seaside, tells the public they can go out and enjoy themselves and, if necessary, take it on the chin.

He later retracts some of the messaging, but it's too late. People are already looking forward to a few days of light relief after three depressing months.

Cummings and Co know perfectly well what it will be like. Thousands of people will go to beaches and other beauty spots. Some will get drunk and behave badly. There's likely to be tonnes of litter. That's how people behave when they're excited and nobody's in control.

And then people on random sites will start complaining about the "others" behaving like animals. They'll claim they have too much time on their hands because they're all furloughed and living the high life at the taxpayers' expense. "Get them all back to work!" they'll shriek.

And so it will come to pass ...

PS. It doesn't really matter how many die ... they all have underlying health conditions and are on death's door anyway.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 10:41:17

All they need to do is "show some guts" angry

“I will be calling on local representatives such as himself to show some guts and determination and champion their communities as venues for people to return to and support."

Callistemon Sat 27-Jun-20 10:13:42

BBbevan

Callistemon I absolutely agree with you about Mark Drakeford. I hope he continues to ‘stick to his guns’, and not pander to others as Boris seems to do. A doctor on tv this morning said she really fears a second wave and that the government is unlocking too quickly.
We live near the sea in SW Wales and as yet there has been no influx of people, camper vans or caravans. Long may it last

BBbevan I was horrified to see on the Welsh news the invasion of Ogmore-by-Sea by hundreds of young people who ended up brawling and left their filth and litter behind for locals to start to clear up, helped then by the Council workers.

I despair and fear this could become the norm as the feral take over and said to DH that I wish we'd emigrated years ago.

MayBee70 Sat 27-Jun-20 10:05:48

Dr John Campbell in his excellent daily blog constantly points out that we are still, actually, at the beginning of this pandemic. And yet people are behaving as if it’s all over. It beggars belief.

GrannyGravy13 Sat 27-Jun-20 10:04:57

I think that the majority of people are careful and adhere to Social Distancing.

However, the powder keg situation in the inner cities is simmering, getting very close to boiling point and certainly in London has boiled over with the so called block parties illegal music, drinking and probably illegal substances. These could be another flash point whereby our brave Police Officers are in the firing line.

We have no idea of the home situations of the thousands of people that flocked to the beaches this week. I do
not know what I would do if I was from an inner city high rise flat desperate for some sea air and water play for my children.

I am not justifying their actions but I am trying to see things from their point of view. We are not all fortunate to have gardens, pools and personal space.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 09:55:18

I agree with you Franbern. It's all about distraction and blaming the "stupid" people.

Having encouraged people to celebrate and go to the beach, Johnson is now telling people to be more careful. I don't believe for one moment that's not deliberate. It's a ploy to get people blaming others, while he can can claim he did warn people.

BBbevan Sat 27-Jun-20 09:50:28

Callistemon I absolutely agree with you about Mark Drakeford. I hope he continues to ‘stick to his guns’, and not pander to others as Boris seems to do. A doctor on tv this morning said she really fears a second wave and that the government is unlocking too quickly.
We live near the sea in SW Wales and as yet there has been no influx of people, camper vans or caravans. Long may it last

Franbern Sat 27-Jun-20 09:06:08

Do think that all the talk about social distancing and football celebrations, people on beaches, etc. is exactly what the government wants us to be talking about.

Takes away any real discussion on the total lack by that government to sort out a proper test and track system after the highly expensive and much lauded one they insisted would be a world beater - and failed dismally""

Also, lack of proper testing. Every country in the world where this virus is being brought under control has done so mainly by testing, testing and even more testing.

Both of the above the government now seems to have metaphorically washed their hands off.

So, they wish to encourage the future victims of this disease to blame it on the actions of everyone else, to take attention away from the real reason - the government.

Forget the crowds, start writing to and nagging your local parliamentary representative to get a proper track and trace system and more and more tests in place

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 08:08:56

Just reread my post from yesterday afternoon.

"who don't seem to pushing the limits" should read "who seem to be pushing the limits".

I think it was the result of a hasty edit.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 07:59:16

When Brighton and Hove Labour MP Peter Kyle asked the following question in Parliament:

“It’s good news that people can start socialising and meeting in public again. But what is he going to do to make sure that destination communities such as the one I represent in Brighton and Hove are extra safe?

“Because there will be people meeting and drinking in places like the seafront and in parks where it will be impossible to get the names and addresses of every customer.

“There will be other pinch points where people from various destinations will be rubbing up against each other.

“What will he do in the absence of the promised app to make sure these communities are destinations for investment and not destinations for Covid?”

This was Johnson's reply:

“I will be calling on local representatives such as himself to show some guts and determination and champion their communities as venues for people to return to and support."

So people took him at his word. They did see beaches as venues for people to return to and support.

growstuff Sat 27-Jun-20 07:50:56

Jane10 You're the one going on about gloom merchants now. I can understand why. Covid-19 has been almost eradicated in Scotland, whereas the rates in England, particularly in pockets, are still dangerously high. It's not about gloom and doom. It's about not becoming one of the statistics as just another "poor, unfortunate vulnerable" one.

The downward curve of new infections and deaths in England has stopped going down. It's levelled off over the last 10 days or so and could, in fact, be increasing. I sincerely hope it isn't, but it's not looking good.

paddyanne Fri 26-Jun-20 23:37:36

You are absolutely right Jane10 we got it wrong because we had to play by Boris' rules.Not "allowed" to lockdown until nearly three weeks after we wanted to ...and the evidence is there in a Sky TV interview ,having to change suppliers for PPE because Westminster told THEIR suppliers NOT to supply Scotland and Wales etc etc etc.Hopefully this will open eyes about how Westminster expets us to toe their line even when we know whats best for US here in Scotland and Independence cant be far away now with the number of folk I see who tell me they didn;t realise devolution was as limited in power as it is .NOT that a tory /unionist like you will ever agree.There would be no chance of any Empire "honour" without the WM noose around our necks !!

Jane10 Fri 26-Jun-20 20:18:59

Yes. Torrential rain would be ideal. Our parks are packed with large groups. The level of litter and human waste is appalling. A health hazard in itself apart from the fights going on. The coronavirus seems the least of the problems this weather.

Callistemon Fri 26-Jun-20 19:21:11

I think Mark Drakeford does care.

He seemed like a kindly headmaster to me, previously but I think he may have a core of steel.

What happened at Ogmore was shocking - the cream of Welsh youth! And we don't want a repeat.

suziewoozie Fri 26-Jun-20 19:00:11

May I expect A and E departments are in despair as well for 4 July. He just doesn’t care, does he?

MayBee70 Fri 26-Jun-20 18:51:36

Why did Johnson impose the lockdown on a Monday having given people a whole weekend to have a last hurrah (which, as the weather was good, they did) but is now, to the despair of the police opening up pubs on a Saturday ?

AGAA4 Fri 26-Jun-20 17:38:08

Growstuff. I know. I see it by just looking out of my window.
People just don't seem to be bothered now and social distancing is not for them.

Callistemon Fri 26-Jun-20 17:24:49

Wales opens the floodgates next week.
This area had the highest number of cases in the country (UK) at one point

Let's hope it rains.

Jane10 Fri 26-Jun-20 17:12:46

Er no growstuff Scotland got things very wrong early on resulting in a far higher level of deaths per hundred thousand. Maybe things look better now as the poor, unfortunate vulnerable ones have already gone. A dreadful thing to have to say. sad

growstuff Fri 26-Jun-20 17:01:27

AGAA4 It's not just the people on beaches. I went out last weekend for the first time since mid March and I was horrified to see the lack of social distancing. I'm just as horrified to see some people on GN who don't seem to pushing the limits.

The government could (and I believe should) have closed beaches, banned the BLM and anti-BLM marches, etc but it can't do much about the widespread, small scale lack of social distancing, which is keeping the virus endemic.