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Coronavirus

Covid risk calculator - have your taken one?

(58 Posts)
Daisymae Mon 29-Nov-21 17:37:28

Well, I found this today and was interested.' QCovid® is a clinical decision tool intended to support conversations between clinically trained professionals and patients about COVID-19 risk.' this is a quote from the website. Have you taken one? This was commissioned at the request of the Chief Medical Officer in England, so assume it has some validity.
qcovid.org/

Tiggersuki Tue 30-Nov-21 12:01:45

Just scored 74, I too think it does not ask indepth questions but as I am slightly overweight and had a stroke 12 years ago with medication that causes weight gain the fact that I am not yet 70 and active and eat a good balanced no meat diet is ignored

Harmonypuss Tue 30-Nov-21 13:07:39

Overweight, CV, disabilities, 53, triple-jabbed and it gave me only 4% likelihood of contracting and dying of covid - not sure what to make of that ? I think I'll just take it all with a pinch of salt ?

Harmonypuss Tue 30-Nov-21 13:20:28

To add to @Marydoll's conversion, (all approx but to nearest 2 decimal points)

1 inch = 2.5cm
1 foot = 30cm
1 pound = 453.6 grams
1 stone = 6.36kg

Also, remember, the basics are

12 inches = 1 foot
14 pounds = stone
100cm = 1 metre
1000g = 1 kilogram

There are a number of conversion calculators available online.

Margiknot Tue 30-Nov-21 13:36:44

Mary doll I’m a similar age. It’s probably best to not look at the score out of 100 but the much lower absolute risk. Statistics understanding has never been my strong point- but the risk of catching and dying is actually quite low, even if in a higher risk category. Risk of catching Covid can be mitigated by the type of precautions most of us former shielders take. Remember young people ( and I presume children) are in among the statistics and are at very low risk from Covid so will take up the lower orders of risk in the risk curves.
I looked at my Covid risk score ( I work in the nhs) early on before vaccines were available, so it interesting to see my score (79) now I am fully vaccinated. It’s actually higher than back then - I suspect because I was advised to shield. My score before was just under 70 which meant I would have still been allowed to work face to face with patients if I had not been on the shielding list. I seem to remember that age was the main risk back in those early days- and being female took a few years off your ‘Covid age’ score. Various medical conditions add to the risk score.

nipsmum Tue 30-Nov-21 13:41:28

I won't bother looking thank you. I'm doing everything I should do. I've had all the vaccines, I don't know anyone who has had Covid. I refuse to panic about something I don't have any control over. I don't read about it and I don't listen to broadcasters who take great delight in telling us facts and figures. With the constant saturation of information it is no wonder people panic.

MaggsMcG Tue 30-Nov-21 13:59:55

Wouldn't this need to be changed now anyway once we have more information on the new variant.
We still don't know if the vaccines are of any use whatsoever against it.

nannypiano Tue 30-Nov-21 14:21:32

I ask Alexa anything I don't know, especially converting metric measurements, for cooking and dress making. But I wouldn't be interested enough to ask about Covid. because I am so fed up with hearing about it. Alexa is making me very lazy though,

esgt1967 Tue 30-Nov-21 14:25:53

Everything in life carries a risk - being pregnant and giving birth carries a risk of becoming ill or dying but still thousands of us get pregnant each year without really thinking about the risk. In the end, this calculator is simply telling you the probability of certain things possibly happening, it really doesn't know what will happen!

Marydoll Tue 30-Nov-21 14:47:56

Unfortunately s number of my clinicians told me I would die if I caught Covid and a DNR was on my record. I was sheilding under three separate categories, one would have been enough. I manage my risks. First time since the Pandemic, that I been in town. Big disappointment! ?I only did the calculator out of curiosity.

Scottishgogo Tue 30-Nov-21 17:56:36

I'm under 1%. I have been double jabbed and have had the Covid booster. I work in the Health and Social Care sector and have seen Covid first hand.

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 18:47:33

Does anybody have an accessible link to a calculator for non-NHS staff?

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 18:52:49

esgt1967

Everything in life carries a risk - being pregnant and giving birth carries a risk of becoming ill or dying but still thousands of us get pregnant each year without really thinking about the risk. In the end, this calculator is simply telling you the probability of certain things possibly happening, it really doesn't know what will happen!

That's the nature of risk. It can't give an accurate prediction.

Yes, everything in life carries risk, but some things carry a greater risk and some can be mitigated.

Catching Covid does carry a risk - higher for some people than others, but it is possible to mitigate and take some control.

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 18:59:12

MaggsMcG

Wouldn't this need to be changed now anyway once we have more information on the new variant.
We still don't know if the vaccines are of any use whatsoever against it.

I don't think anybody has the required information to know whether the new variant has more or less severe effects.

We know absolutely that vaccines have some effect, despite uncertainty how long protection lasts.

We also know that certain groups have a higher risk of being more severely affected. Almost everybody has the same risk of being infected, unless they take precautions, such as social distancing and avoiding indoor spaces. Having a "healthy" lifestyle makes almost no difference. The critical factors are age, gender (reason unknown) and some underlying chronic health conditions.

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 19:00:17

nipsmum

I won't bother looking thank you. I'm doing everything I should do. I've had all the vaccines, I don't know anyone who has had Covid. I refuse to panic about something I don't have any control over. I don't read about it and I don't listen to broadcasters who take great delight in telling us facts and figures. With the constant saturation of information it is no wonder people panic.

But you do have some control over it. If you're doing everything you could, you are already controlling it.

Marydoll Tue 30-Nov-21 19:22:40

Growstuff, perhaps you will find this useful.

alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment

MayBee70 Tue 30-Nov-21 19:39:10

BlueSky

Mine was 65 out of 100, no conditions (they didn’t ask about BP) so I guess a lot is to do with age (70).

I was 66. Not sure if that’s good or bad. Said if I caught it I had a 1/348 chance of dying which was higher than I expected.

LtEve Tue 30-Nov-21 19:57:26

Between the ages of 65 and 74 you are estimated to have a 1 in 65 chance of dying in any one year according to government statistics anyway which does put it into perspective I think.
www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/dyingage.html

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 20:06:03

I think that's your "Covid age" MayBee70. It means that your risk of dying is higher than average for the population as a whole, but nowhere near what it would be if your Covid age were in the late 80s (or older).

Mine is 70 (4 years older than my real age) as a result of being diabetic. The mid point chance of dying is 1 in 76 (1.3%), which I knew. I read somewhere else that the excess deaths (ie Covid deaths minus those of my Covid age expected to die anyway) is currently about 70 a week.

PS. Looks as though 70 is my unlucky number confused.

growstuff Tue 30-Nov-21 20:07:32

LtEve

Between the ages of 65 and 74 you are estimated to have a 1 in 65 chance of dying in any one year according to government statistics anyway which does put it into perspective I think.
www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/dyingage.html

Yes, please see my previous post. Covid definitely increases your risk of dying - and for many it's avoidable. If you want to risk it, that's up to you.

maddyone Wed 01-Dec-21 11:04:53

BlueSky

I’m interested having had Covid as well as three jabs.

Me too Bluesky and I definitely don’t want Covid again.

Alegrias1 Wed 01-Dec-21 11:08:48

growstuff

LtEve

Between the ages of 65 and 74 you are estimated to have a 1 in 65 chance of dying in any one year according to government statistics anyway which does put it into perspective I think.
www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/dyingage.html

Yes, please see my previous post. Covid definitely increases your risk of dying - and for many it's avoidable. If you want to risk it, that's up to you.

That's not fair growstuff

Of course Covid is avoidable if you stay in your house, never go out and never get within 100 yards of anybody else, ever. But telling people they are risking it if they just want to have a bit of normality in their lives is just not fair.

growstuff Wed 01-Dec-21 11:13:54

How is it not fair? It's the truth.

Nobody needs to stay at home or within a 100 yards of another person. That's a gross exaggeration.

Most infection is transmitted in confined spaces, including in schools and at home.

Nobody's telling the virus to play fair.

Alegrias1 Wed 01-Dec-21 11:17:00

Some people can't avoid public places. The risk is never zero, even if triple vaxxed and wearing a face covering. So telling people that the disease is avoidable and risking it is up to them, that is the gross exaggeration. It's almost victim blaming.

Imagine if someone blamed people for getting T2 diabetes hmm

maddyone Wed 01-Dec-21 11:22:50

Alegrias1

Some people can't avoid public places. The risk is never zero, even if triple vaxxed and wearing a face covering. So telling people that the disease is avoidable and risking it is up to them, that is the gross exaggeration. It's almost victim blaming.

Imagine if someone blamed people for getting T2 diabetes hmm

Quite!
Or if people were blamed for getting on a dingy and trying to cross the Channel.

maddyone Wed 01-Dec-21 11:25:08

I was blamed by one poster for getting Covid, back in the early part of the year. I couldn’t prevent myself from getting Covid, and those people on dinghies can’t be blamed for trying to make a better life for themselves.